Posted on 02/29/2016 5:04:20 PM PST by SatinDoll
A new CNN/ORC national poll (full pdf below) is being highlighted in the media discussion based on the top-line results: Donald Trump 49% !
However, that’s not the real headline in the data. The real lead story should be the damage Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz have done to themselves as they continue a scorched-earth campaign.
The first signals of a backlash appeared over the weekend’s polling when it became clear Senator Rubio and Senator Cruz where losing support at an exponential rate the longer they continued to make unfounded accusations. Donald Trump and Ben Carson are benefactors of the Rubio/Cruz kamikaze mission:
[See poll data here]
There’s an increased possibility Cruz may lose Texas if enough Trump supporters can turn out in any similar proportion to previous state turnouts. Ted Cruz entire campaign apparatus has fallen back upon Texas, and his latest rally (today) drew only a few hundred supporters.
It is increasingly improbable to project Ted Cruz as the likely winner of Texas when all other Super-Tuesday polling, and national polling, shows an entirely divergent reality.
Via CNN – Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are poised to lead the nation’s two major parties in this fall’s presidential election, with a new nationwide CNN/ORC poll finding each well ahead of their closest competitors just as the race expands to a national stage.
Trump has expanded his lead over the diminished field to capture the support of nearly half of Republican voters, while Clinton tops Sanders by nearly 20 points.
On the Republican side, the new survey finds Trump’s lead is dominant, and his support tops that of his four remaining opponents combined. The businessman tops his nearest competitor by more than 30 points: 49% back Trump, 16% Marco Rubio, 15% Ted Cruz, 10% Ben Carson and 6% John Kasich.
Trump’s supporters are incredibly enthusiastic about the coming election, and largely committed in their support for him. Nearly 8 in 10 say that they are more enthusiastic about voting this year than in previous elections, among Republicans who are not supporting Trump, just 39% say they are more enthusiastic than in years past.
Likewise, 78% of Trump’s backers say they will definitely support him vs. 22% who say they could still change their minds. Among those backing other candidates, 57% say they are committed to their chosen candidate.
The survey asked those Republicans not currently backing Trump whether they would support him if he became the party’s nominee, and just a quarter of Republicans overall say they probably or definitely wouldn’t support him in November. That’s about the same as the share saying they wouldn’t back Rubio or Cruz.
Why do you think that is a viable option. Trump already said he wants someone who is “political.” I think to help him navigate K Street.
Bracket /img after each pic to get your text below it. I think that is what is happening.
That’s for sure. Amazing.
His show today hit rock bottom for the excellence that he claims.
He should be more than embarrassed and ashamed.
Thanks, i’ll give it a try
Sundance blog freezes up all the time, runs with lurches and stops scrolling down page.
Help, anyone?
“Going wholly negative wrecked Rubio. He simply cannot pull it off.”
Rubio can’t “pull it off” because he is not an alpha male. Donald Trump is.
Actually, so is Dr. Carson — in a much quieter way. Strong and silent.
His pocket book is doing the talking. Those folks need a FU’d country to make a good living. In a way he is no different than Al Sharpton et all. Pimps!
Rubio has no standing to attack TRUMP in the manner he has taken. Rubio looks bratty, ill mannered and childish, as a punk would when bad mouthing his own father.
Methinks you sterotype by region. It is ignorant to think in these terms. Rather regional snobbery— elitism, is what you’re saying.
You seem to attribute your terms and all “goodness” to the South.
You are, thankfully, losing your argument and broadly losing it, and, across the board.
Pretty much.
If Trumps VP is Alen West I am all in
Not K street Congress. All VPs are a Presidents Lefislative point man
Agreed
That is a GREAT analogy! They just came off as irritating, whereas Trump was bitingly humorous. I think in Trump's case, "It's funny because it's true" applies. With the also-rans, not so much.
Just heard him say that on Hannity (right before I hit the mute button). Lie #3845. Keep 'em coming, Pastor Ted. Some Christian he turned out to be.
Thanks, I’m glad to finally understand where you were getting your 427 from. It is misleading until you drill down far enough.
Cruz is Ty Cobb (nobody he knows likes him). Rubio is Fernando Valenzuela (little hispanic guy with one good season). Christie is John Kruk (fat slob that used to hit hard). Jeb is Mike Schmidt (there is no crying in quitting baseball). Trump is Tug McGraw ( spent most of his time growing tomatoes in the outfield bullpen until he was needed to get things turned around).
Ah yes. The Wikipedia VP job description.
I saw someplace today (???) that 38% of Trump supporters in TX are Dems. I’ve never seen a poll of likely voters of any party, have you?
Since TX is an open primary, the results may be quite shocking to Cruz or Foamio supporters.
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