Posted on 01/30/2016 3:24:55 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
As Donald Trump continues his pundit-defying dominance of the national polls, with early primaries just days away, the once-unthinkable has become all too thinkable: Could Trump actually pull this off? Could he become president?
I'm going to stake out a firm answer: no. Absent extreme and unlikely circumstances*, Trump will never be president.
Jack Shafer argues that Trump's success so far is a "black swan" event, an unpredictable and unrepeatable concatenation of improbable circumstances. That sounds about right.
But just because some political rules and conventions have been violated doesn't mean they've all vanished. Just because Trump makes no sense doesn't mean common sense has become worthless. One black swan does not foretell a flock of black swans....
(Excerpt) Read more at vox.com ...
He’s coming.....
Scroll down, and you can see the historical polls going back several months. In ALL of the polls (and there are quite a number) Trump wins precisely four ... the one 1% win above and three others where he pulls it off by 5% each.
At the top of the page, you can choose other “head-to-head” matchups. Cruz, for example, beats Hillary two out of four recent polls and ties one. One of the wins is within the margin of error (2%). Hillary only wins in one of four recent polls against Cruz. Go down the list of historical results, and you find that Cruz has consistently lost to Hillary until just the past month or so. His wins are all recent.
Rubio does even better.
Please, do not take my word for it. Look at the polls. Trump does worse than any other republican candidate against Clinton.
I am sorry. I credited Traderrob6 with your work. I apologize for not crediting the proper source.
Sadly, Hillary no chance, she barley won in Iowa yesterday. Bernie is stronger in NH.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.