Posted on 05/16/2011 10:47:33 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
If she decides to run...
With both Mike Huckabee and Donald Trump announcing that they will not be running for President, it eliminates two major variables from the scrambled GOP primary field. Huckabee, in particular, would have been one of the frontrunners had he decided to run, so his decision to sit out has major ramifications on the rest of the field.
Huckabee would have once again been the favorite to win Iowa. His departure leaves a major void with Iowa's large Republican evangelical Christian base, a group that is now up for grabs. Sarah Palin likely won't run, but you have to wonder what her thought process is right now since she'd likely have the best shot at swooping up those remains in Iowa. Doing so would give her a very good shot at winning Iowa, and with the type of money she'd be able to raise, she'd have just as good a shot at winning the nomination as anyone else in the field.
If Palin doesn't run, someone like Michelle Bachmann or Rick Santorum, two other Republicans who wear their religion on their sleeve, could benefit in Iowa. The question with those two is can they generate enough name ID and buzz for it to matter.
Trump turned out to be a one gimmick candidate and was never able to recover once President Obama released his long-form birth certificate and chopped up Trump's birther base. His departure though also frees up a 5-10% chunk of primary voters, a major opportunity for someone like Herman Cain, another "non-political" businessman with a no-non-sense approach, as well, again, someone like Sarah Palin who is well liked by the same Tea Party types that were supporting Trump.
Mitt Romney also benefits here. With Huckabee out of Iowa, it's one less serious contender he has to worry about in that state, a state he lost last time around. If Romney wins Iowa, he will be in very good position to win the primaries very quickly, since he is likely to do well in New Hampshire and the chances of winning Iowa AND New Hampshire and then going on to lose the primaries, with the type of money and organizational advantages he has, is slim to none.
Still though, the departures of Huckabee and Trump have the potential to benefit Palin more than anyone else, if she opts to run.
the msm was using the misnomer of “social conservative” with hucksters departure with the same growel as one would use the word rapist.
the MSM, along with politicians like newt and romney and cain and daniels, do not understand conservative is conservative. no 1/2 way. (little bit pregnant)
Bay staying out of the way, the msm is flayling away looking for pro-homosexual, pro-abortion, anti-second amendemnt RINOs.
Ya think Mitt doesn’t act like he wants it? Or Bachmann? Or TPaw?
newsbusters:
Experience tells us that the Republican presidential candidate the media prefer is the one they believe is most easily defeated.
On this weekend's "Chris Matthews Show," seven of the twelve regulars said Mitch Daniels "has the best shot to overcome his obvious flaw" (video follows with transcript and commentary):
CHRIS MATTHEWS: We put it to the Matthews Meter, twelve of our regulars including Howard, Katty and Norah, “Which candidate has the best shot to overcome his obvious flaw?” Well this is surprising I guess. Seven said Mitch Daniels. Three said John Huntsman, two, one each for Mitt Romney and one for Pawlenty
Half Cocked: Chris Christie Won’t Fight for Gun Rights:
As far as the Second Amendment’s concerned, he’s no better than a liberal Democrat.
http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/half-cocked-chris-christie-wont-fight-for-gun-rights/?singlepage=true
Just say oops or no to Chris Christie
Mark Levin puzzled by Ann Coulter’s bizarre endorsement of Chris Christie, who supports gun control, amnesty, Obamacare, and climate legislation
http://bunkerville.wordpress.com/2011/02/21/just-say-oops-or-no-to-chris-christie/
Chris Christie: Stop playing politics with the Ground Zero mosque
http://hotair.com/archives/2010/08/16/chris-christie-stop-playing-politics-with-the-ground-zero-mosque/
Bwahahaha. Funny! (post 33)
LOL. It's always funny to see CNBC pushing RINOs.
What about the great Michelle Bachman? You know the one that the MSM says has passed Palin in popularity...ROLL EYES
Yes Please run Sarah!!! It`s yours for the taking!
I was home today, and between Fox CNN.MSNBC, they all were really trying to sell me on The Great Michelle Bachman, I guess Matthews was the exception?
Thanks for the interesting report.
So on the Monday after Trump and Huckabee are out as spoilers, the networks, all in unison, suddenly push Bachmann.
With Huck gone, the evangelical card can no longer be played. With Trump gone the angry, F-bombing, guy-with-bad-hair card can no longer be played. So out comes the split the conservatives card.
Folks, who do you think the networks are trying to take down with all of this very transparent maneuvering??
I think once she declares, others should step aside and we may not primaries at all, and we can concentrate all our energies on the general.
A March article, in Politico, states that, according to a recent poll, 68% of conservatives said that Romney is conservative. I don’t endorse him, but many conservatives think that he’s conservative.
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