Posted on 11/09/2026 2:33:42 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
46% chance
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 6, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the states and the District of Columbia that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact into law collectively hold a majority of the electoral votes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
(Excerpt) Read more at polymarket.com ...
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Gamblers die broke.
If a Dem wins the '28 White House, then there's a different story in 2029.
Wait, I’m mistaken. It’s optional, not required.
Idiots.
The Constitution stipulates the Electoral College process.
Also, states do not have the power to reverse the will (election majority) of the voters, otherwise, you have a one man, no vote process which the Supreme Court has already ruled on.
Short of a Constitutional Convention, states and compacts of states have no powers to ignore the Constitutional mandates of the electoral college process.
In the coming months you will hear all kind of nonsense on tv and in the media by “constitutional scholars” approving the legality of this nonsense, but they are wrong.
Ironically, the democrats never talked about this in 2024, otherwise, Trump would have also won the electoral votes of California, New York, Illinois, Minnesota, and Massachusetts.
Message: Elect Democrats even once and lose your State Sovereignty.
> It [the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact] requires a presidential signature. <
I don’t think it does. The Compact is not a bill coming out of Congress. It’s an agreement between states.
I’m not a lawyer. But the Compact seems unconstitutional to me. Unfortunately, it won’t be up to me. It will be to federal judges, and probably all the way up to the Supreme Court.
From Article II, Section 1 of the Constitution:
“Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors…”
So a state gets to decide just how its electors are appointed. That’s where these Compact folks are hanging their hat.
But there’s got to be a limit. For example, no state legislature could get away with appointing all Democrat electors, no matter what the popular vote is. That’s wildly unreasonable.
Supreme Court, here we come.
It may also be up to real world predictions on who wins the popular vote. Reminder: Trump won the popular vote in 2024. Thus if the compact had been in place then he would have gotten even more electoral votes.
And in 2028 Democrats will win the electoral college and Republicans will win the popular vote and Democrats will release the participating states from their commitment.
if this was ever passed and some moron state legislature actually overrode the votes of the people of their state to cast votes for someone their state didn’t vote for....
It would be political suicide, and 100% of them would be thrown out in the next election if not recalled sooner.
No State shall, without the Consent of Congress, lay any Duty of Tonnage, keep Troops, or Ships of War in time of Peace, enter into any Agreement or Compact with another State, or with a foreign Power, or engage in War, unless actually invaded, or in such imminent Danger as will not admit of delay.
Even worse scenario is if the Democrats kill 4 Supreme Court justices and won't confirm any replacements, and the liberals have a 3-2 or 4-1 majority to OK the compact. But maybe that would be going a little too far even for the Democrats.
Trump promised me that he would use his veto power.
So contrary to the intent of the Founders. It destroys the regional representation aspect of the system. The electoral college is one part; the Senate another.
The last bucket of cheat-votes wins. They will be counting and challenging forever, especially if a Republican is ahead.
Red-green alliance.....the RATS and the muzzies.
No it does not. Where did you come up with that fallacy? This isn’t a law passed by Congress.
If Republican voters insist in remaining politically illiterate we will keep getting the same results.
And you have standard to argue this before SCOTUS? When do you make arguments?
There’s nothing remotely unconstitutional about the Compact, unfortunately. There is nothing in the Constitution that says the electors should be awarded to the winner of the popular vote in the state. Full stop. Every state is free to decide. The legislature could make it a coin toss if they wanted.
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