HUGE Watson Update: Article 32 Finds No Probable Cause on 3 Specifications

YouTube ^ | 9 Sept 2026 | Cody Harnish, Esq.

[DUMBGRUNT]

HUGE UPDATE on Watson's case: the Article 32 found no probable cause for 3 of his 10 specifications, including the big one.

The charge sheet says Maj. Watson's Capitol steps speech calling for impeachment violated Article 92 and DoD Directive 1344.10, partisan political activity. The hearing officer's finding: no probable cause. Same finding on the Jessica Denson interview, and on the leave-form specification.

DoDD 1344.10 defines partisan as tied to a political party or a candidate. Calling for the impeachment of an elected official isn't a campaign. It's a constitutional remedy. No election, no candidate, no party on the ballot.

But under the UCMJ, these findings are not binding. The government can take those specifications to a court-martial anyway, and it probably will. In the civilian world, no probable cause means no felony trial. In the military, it means a recommendation.

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TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: firingsquad; freespeach; hanging; treason

[DUMBGRUNT]

Prosecutorial overcharging, when they could have found an improper knot in his shoelaces... Apparently still in solitary confinement. A ring knocker; very dangerous. Next, they will place him on double secret probation. This comes from the top down, from someone too clever by half and terrified.

[E. Pluribus Unum]

Video Transcript Summary

[DownInFlames]

No 1, conduct unbecoming will land him 5 years in Leavenworth.

[DUMBGRUNT]

One year max, if that.
President AOC will pardon him in late January 2029.
Elections have consequences.

IIRC, his next court appearance is on 17 Nov 2026.

[dfwgator]

AOC will never be president. You still have to get enough conservatives to pull the lever for them.

It’s no coincidence that Trump won both his elections against women.

[jagusafr]

Doing it while in uniform was, to me, the conduct unbecoming an officer. But I didn’t see/hear any of the evidence the Art 32 IO heard. Military prosecutors very often overcharge, because they can and because often they haven’t been defense counsel. I lobbied for years for TJAG to make it policy that no JAG would be assigned as Chief, Military Justice unless that person had served as an Area or Circuit Defense Counsel first. Never went anywhere.

Colonel, USAF JAGC (Ret)
(fmr Chief, MJ, ADC and CDC)