Atlantic poised to break hurricane record as forecasters watch waters near US

Accuweather ^ | September 07, 2026 | Jack Wojczynski, AccuWeather meteorologist

[Red Badger]

The Atlantic hurricane season reaches its climatological peak this week, and AccuWeather meteorologist are monitoring just one area for potential development.

VIDEO AT LINK..........

As the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season arrives this week, tropical activity remains largely suppressed due to an unusually strong El Niño. The one exception is off the southeastern coast of the United States, where AccuWeather hurricane experts have highlighted an area with a low chance of tropical development into the middle of the month.

"A slow-moving front will drift into the southeastern United States, leading to enhanced thunderstorm coverage. An area of tropical development may take shape offshore in a setup similar to how Edouard formed last week," AccuWeather Meteorologist Nicholas Arman said.

With waters warmer than the historical average across much of the Gulf and Atlantic, tropical threats like this warrant monitoring. Regardless of tropical development, an increase in flooding downpours and locally gusty winds can be expected with thunderstorms, creating hazards to beachgoers and boaters. The next name on the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season list is Fay.

The climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season occurs on Sept. 10.

So far this year, the Atlantic has produced five named storms, but none have strengthened into a hurricane.

Record territory approaching The unusually quiet Atlantic hurricane season is approaching record territory. During the satellite era (1960s - present), the latest date for the season's first Atlantic hurricane is Sept. 11, which occurred in both 2002 and 2013.

If no hurricane forms by Friday, the 2026 Atlantic season will mark the latest point in the satellite era without an Atlantic hurricane. The satellite era began in the 1960s, when the United States started monitoring weather from space.

GET THE FREE ACCUWEATHER APP •Have the app? Unlock AccuWeather Alerts™ with Premium+

The last Atlantic season without a hurricane occurred more than 100 years ago, in 1914. With atmospheric conditions expected to remain unfavorable for tropical development through at least the middle of September, the 2026 season will continue to be monitored for the possibility of approaching that historic benchmark.

One of the main factors limiting tropical activity has been disruptive winds known as wind shear, which can deter new storms from forming. Several plumes of Saharan dust have also moved westward across the Atlantic, bringing dry air that has inhibited tropical development.

"This less conducive environment is expected to persist through the remainder of the hurricane season. This can cause the hurricane season to be less active overall," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said.

---

TOPICS: History; Military/Veterans; Outdoors; Weather
KEYWORDS: ajntsa; alabama; delaware; florida; georgia; globalworming; louisiana; maryland; mississippi; newjersey; northcarolina; runforyourlives; southcarolina; texas; virginia; wereallgonnadie

[ealgeone]

El Rushbo used to say the globull warming was changed to climate change because they’ll never be wrong.

[jerod]

Lots of hurricanes = global warming... No hurricanes = global warming... Some hurricanes = global warming... Wind = global warming... Rain = global warming, etc. etc.

Lets face it... It has to be global warming... What else could it be?

[Keyhopper]

My next roof will be metal

[Retain Mike]

I found an insight concerning hurricanes from an article with a map showing 173 individual hurricanes hitting land on the Gulf and Atlantic coasts from 1850 to present. I decided to see if the upward sloping curve caused by warming ocean temperatures I have always heard about from the climate change people would show more extreme weather. Intensity should be related to the number of land falls and assessment of winds. The number of landfalls seems random. In the second 100 years I counted 13 compared to 9 category four or five storms in the first 100. From what I know of statistics, I doubt that is really significant.

173 Years of US Hurricane Strikes

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/4285273/posts

1851-60: 17

1861-70: 17

1871-80: 20

1881-90: 20 (1)

1891-00: 28 (1)

1901-10: 23

1911-20: 21 (1)

1921-30: 17 (1)

1931-40: 24 (2)

1941-50: 31 (4)

1951-60: 35 (3)

1961-70: 17 (2)

1971-80: 15 (1)

1981-90: 18 (1)

1991-00: 15 (2)

2001-10: 23

2011-20: 19 (2)

2021-24: 12 (1)

Concerning a single event, I had the 20:00 to 24:00 OOD watch on the bridge on our ship as Typhoon Rose passed over Hong Kong in 1971. The eye was six miles from us. The measuring device at the British weather station broke as the winds exceeded 175 miles per hour.

[Red Badger]

We live on Florida’s NW coast near Destin.

Since moving here in 1981 we have been thru Elena 1985, Erin 1995, Opal 1995, Ivan 2004, Dennis 2005, and numerous Tropical Storms..............

[11th_VA]

Fact - No hurricanes (Cat 1 or bigger) have formed in the Gulf since Trump renamed it

[SaveFerris]

(as the winds exceeded 175 miles per hour.)

Yikes 😳

[oldeguy]

“My next roof will be metal”

Amen!

[Retain Mike]

Yep. That was my final exam as bridge officer. We got the buoy right off Fenwick Pier. Hong Kong island sheltered us from the sea waves, but the wind screamed.