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US Navy blockade has caused Iran’s oil exports to crater — and could finally destabilize regime: expert
NY Post ^ | 8/17/26 | Ronny Reyes

Posted on 08/17/2026 5:16:26 PM PDT by Libloather

Iran’s oil exports have dropped to nearly zero under the renewed US naval blockade, according to analysis from a former senior US Treasury official — who predicts that the economic impacts could hit the elite and destabilize the regime within two to three months.

Iran’s ability to ship oil out of the Strait of Hormuz to offset its current economic woes has hit a wall under the new blockade, with little to no activity seen at its Kharg Island hub, according to recent satellite images.

As Iran and the US attempt to use economic pressures to see who will blink first, Miad Maleki, who served in the Treasury under President Trump and Joe Biden, said Tehran’s regime will finally run out of room to maneuver this fall.

“The blockade has exposed Iran’s biggest economic vulnerability,” said Maleki, who now works at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies think tank.

“Iran’s oil clock is running down and the real fiscal shock is going to hit in the fall when all their payments come due,” he added.

Iran notably pays its troops, government employees, security forces and industrial workers in cycles, with about 60% of the money coming from its oil exports, Maleki said.

If its exports continue to be hamstrung in the next cycle, the regime will have few options to shield its soldiers and elites from the economic shock.

While the regime has proven that it can endure economic pains suffered by everyday citizens, its attitude will likely change once members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and the wealthy elite start complaining, Maleki said.

Trump, who has previously boasted that Iran has no money to pay its troops, signaled that he would maintain full economic pressures on Iran.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Conspiracy; Science; Travel
KEYWORDS: blockade; exports; heardthatbefore; iran; oil; regime

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Big Mo can count to twenty on one hand and foot. Time is running out.
1 posted on 08/17/2026 5:16:26 PM PDT by Libloather
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Big Mo can only count to ten. What the heck was I thinkin'?


2 posted on 08/17/2026 5:18:46 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Libloather

Iran would be a LOT worse off had we not reopened the straight for them for a number of weeks. How many fully loaded tankers left Iranian ports and how many empty tankers (for use as auxiliary fuel storage if nothing else) arrived .. don’t know but it provided some temporary relief.

Well, Iran had their chance so let’s NOT give them another one.


3 posted on 08/17/2026 5:43:43 PM PDT by House Atreides (I’m now ULTRA-MAGA-PRO-MAX)
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To: Libloather

Trump threats didn’t work.
Bombs didn’t work.
MOU didn’t work.
Deals didn’t work.
Multiple claims of winning didn’t work.
Pissing off allies didn’t work.
Lather. Rinse. Repeat.

Finally Trump has latched onto something that just might work. I hope.


4 posted on 08/17/2026 5:43:46 PM PDT by Responsibility2nd (TDS: Trump Deification Syndrome)
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To: Libloather

Two or 3 months. What happens at that time?


5 posted on 08/17/2026 5:44:09 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Libloather

I’m not sure how much longer I can stand to hear the words “Iran” and “Finally” in the same headline.


6 posted on 08/17/2026 5:44:53 PM PDT by know.your.why
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To: Libloather

India and China are thrilled about this. They are buying Iranian oil for their Jamnagar refinery on the cheap.


7 posted on 08/17/2026 5:51:09 PM PDT by Organic Panic
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To: House Atreides

Absolutely correct - Iran only had 13 days of capacity storage left before they had to shutdown their rigs. They used the truce to empty all their storage and gained another 60 days of storage.


8 posted on 08/17/2026 6:05:28 PM PDT by 11th_VA ("I got him before he got me.“ - President Trump)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Iran is going to start attacking again right before the midterms, to force Trumps hand. They know that high gas prices are bad news for Trump in the midterms and they want to see Trump lose


9 posted on 08/17/2026 6:31:41 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: 11th_VA; Hephaestus
Iran only had 13 days of capacity storage left before they had to shutdown their rigs. They used the truce to empty all their storage and gained another 60 days of storage.

One might recall how during the Vietnam War, North Vietnam used periodic ceasefires to replenish their stocks of war materiel. In the words of Yogi Berra, it's beginning to look like "déjà vu all over again."

10 posted on 08/17/2026 6:53:45 PM PDT by Fiji Hill (agles)
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To: Libloather

Must not be months away from the nukes, a Big Man. ❓


11 posted on 08/17/2026 7:01:48 PM PDT by Varsity Flight ( "War by 🙏 the prophesied set before you." ) I Timothy 1:18. Nazarite warriors. 10.5.6.5 These Days)
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To: Libloather
could finally destabilize regime: expert

Experts say...

12 posted on 08/17/2026 7:02:57 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Assez de mensonges et des phrases)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
Two or 3 months. What happens at that time?

D+60

13 posted on 08/17/2026 7:03:44 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Assez de mensonges et des phrases)
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To: Sarah Barracuda
bad news for Trump in the midterms and they want to see Trump lose

Trump lost the midterms the day he got suckered into Iran.

14 posted on 08/17/2026 7:04:51 PM PDT by Jim Noble (Assez de mensonges et des phrases)
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To: Varsity Flight

Must not be months away from the nukes, a Big Man❓

But you sure bailed out the yen call under 24hrs. on the United States Bond debt. Real man there.


15 posted on 08/17/2026 7:06:07 PM PDT by Varsity Flight ( "War by 🙏 the prophesied set before you." ) I Timothy 1:18. Nazarite warriors. 10.5.6.5 These Days)
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To: Libloather

Walking Small. Cave in man child 30+ Trillion Big Un-Big Government Signed Bill.


16 posted on 08/17/2026 7:08:54 PM PDT by Varsity Flight ( "War by 🙏 the prophesied set before you." ) I Timothy 1:18. Nazarite warriors. 10.5.6.5 These Days)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

And 4 months? Think Christmastime-1972. Nixon reelected and Hanoi found out.


17 posted on 08/17/2026 7:25:58 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Jim Noble

I know you dream about it at night. You libertarians are USELESS against the left.


18 posted on 08/17/2026 7:30:00 PM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA!)
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To: Libloather

Hindsight is 20-20, as is said, but yeah, the blockade & shutdown of I-ran revenue sources should have been ironclad and constant from February onward.

The bombings have been quite effective but Trump is dealing with a religious fanatic mullah regime, not any sort of sensible ruling leaders who would normally have surrendered by now.


19 posted on 08/17/2026 7:43:48 PM PDT by citizen (Say it with me.....the UK is now UKistan. Short & to the point.)
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To: Jim Noble

I know one guy who is going to be *very* upset & disappointed when the Dems don’t win the House & Senate. boohoo, no impeachments for you.


20 posted on 08/17/2026 7:49:34 PM PDT by citizen (Say it with me.....the UK is now UKistan. Short & to the point.)
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