Posted on 06/11/2026 6:12:06 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin
El Niño has officially begun, and it is forecast to intensify into a very strong or “Super” El Niño with major shifts in global weather patterns and an even hotter climate, according to a new report released Thursday morning from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
El Niño is a periodic weather pattern in the tropical Pacific Ocean that alters winds and features unusually hot waters in the central and eastern Pacific. These changes in winds and ocean temperatures have knock-on effects on weather patterns worldwide.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center is giving this El Niño a 63% chance of becoming a “very strong” event (colloquially known as a Super El Niño) and one of the “largest El Niño events in the historical record going back to 1950.” In a sign of the center’s certainty in the forecast, it’s giving 100% odds of El Niño continuing through the fall and extremely high odds continuing into the winter.
For it to be considered a Super El Niño, tropical Pacific water temperatures must be more than 2 degrees above average. Some reliable computer models suggest that bar will be greatly exceeded.
For the past few months, large volumes of unusually hot water have been sloshing from the western Pacific to the eastern tropical Pacific, forced by shifting winds. This unusually hot water has traveled about 600 to 1,000 feet beneath the ocean surface and is beginning to rise to the sea surface thousands of miles to the east, closer to South America. Similar dynamics have played out during past intense El Niños.
Super El Niño events are relatively rare, with the most recent ones occurring in 2015-16, 1997-98 and 1982-83.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
So far, it seems like it means more rain, which we need to fill up some lakes and reservoirs.
Obama Presidential Library
Thanks for the help there.
So tomorrow—first light or whenever the black coffee kicks in—I will do the dance for you. The real one. Not the tourist version they peddle at powwows for ten bucks and a photo. This will be the Real Rain Dance of the Upper Midwest, a full-tilt, heart-attack rhythm performed in cutoff jeans, a faded 1966 Packers cheesehead helmet, and nothing else except a necklace of dried morels and a pair of work boots held together with baling twine and spite. The chant will rise from somewhere deep in the gut: “Hey-ya, hey-ya…
Had 12” in 12 hrs in ‘82. near Santa Claus Ca.
4 day pain but I’ll take it over tornadoes or hurricanes.
It was awful to think of Weena getting turned into Morlock chow.
Haha...”Warmer-than-average conditions are typically seen from the northern US to western Canada and Alaska, although this doesn’t preclude periods of colder weather at times.”
I am at the bottom of the 4 in 104 by Pensacola..............
Until this week its been a very cool spring in Georgia.
I thought that was one of Hitler’s flack towers.
> I thought that was one of Hitler’s flack towers. <
It sure looks like one. I still think somebody gave Obama’s construction crew a Nazi flak tower plan as a joke, and nobody caught on. So now we have a Nazi flak tower in the middle of Chicago.
Useful if the Rooskies or the ChiComs try to bomb Chicago, I guess.
🤔
Family in Niceville.
Dad is retired USAF.
Great little town............Val-p, though is a different question........
“even hotter climate,”
“unusually hot waters”
“unusually hot water”
“unusually hot water”
And that’s just the excerpt. We’re all gonna burn up and die!
“Satan is here and rapidly strengthening. Here’s what it means for your life.”
It would be a wonderfully cruel joke on the fools.
Quite a string of 100+ days lined up.
Glad I am not getting back to Tucson until September.
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