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California Faults Are Under Their Highest Stress in 1,000 Years, Stoking Fears of the ‘Big One’
gizmodo ^ | 06/09/2026 | Ellyn Lapointe

Posted on 06/10/2026 6:41:20 AM PDT by BenLurkin

The critical role of Cajon Pass

Cajon Pass is the tectonically complex junction where the San Andreas and San Jacinto faults converge. It’s located near several densely populated communities, including Los Angeles, San Bernadino, Riverside, and Coachella Valley.

Burkhard and her colleagues determined that Cajon Pass can act as a so-called “earthquake gate,” controlling whether large ruptures remain confined to a single fault or cross both fault systems.

When stress on both faults accumulates simultaneously toward similarly high levels, it’s more likely that a large joint rupture will cross both systems, according to the study.

The model showed that stress has reached 3.6 megapascals (MPa) on the San Jacinto-Bernadino section, the highest level seen anywhere in the 1,000-year simulation. Meanwhile, the neighboring Mojave South section of the San Andreas fault has accumulated 2.8 MPa of stress, indicating that both segments are under similarly high levels of strain.

Again, this study does not predict when the next major earthquake could rock Southern California, nor does it show that such an event is necessarily imminent. Rather, it offers a clearer picture of the region’s seismic hazard. This critically stressed fault system could rupture at any time, so communities need to prepare for the worst-case scenario.

(Excerpt) Read more at gizmodo.com ...


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: california; ohnoanyway
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1 posted on 06/10/2026 6:41:20 AM PDT by BenLurkin
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To: BenLurkin

In reality, I don’t wish for that kind of carnage. But with what I’ve seen of CA lately, in fantasy, it would be fun.


2 posted on 06/10/2026 6:42:36 AM PDT by brownsfan (We are already on the slippery slope.)
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To: BenLurkin

Caused by global warming


3 posted on 06/10/2026 6:44:13 AM PDT by j.havenfarm (25 years on Free Republic, 12/10/25! More than 12,750 replies and still not shutting up!)
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To: BenLurkin

Maybe God finally has had enough of California’s godless Woke BS and is going to send it off into the ocean?


4 posted on 06/10/2026 6:44:47 AM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard (When the people find that they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.)
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To: BenLurkin

The measurements made by the Native Americans a thousand years ago may not have accurately recorded the stress levels present at that time.


5 posted on 06/10/2026 6:44:58 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Enoch Powell warned us about Rivers of Blood. Well, I sure hope they're coming. It's the only fix.)
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To: BenLurkin

Well, my grandson in SFO called me the other day. He was a bit uptight.


6 posted on 06/10/2026 6:47:05 AM PDT by ComputerGuy
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To: j.havenfarm

Heat-—expansion.....


7 posted on 06/10/2026 6:50:31 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? On hold! Enlisted USN 1967 proudly. 🚫💉! 🇮🇱🙏! Winning currently!)
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To: BenLurkin

With any luck, LA, San Francisco and Sacramento will all suddenly slide beneath the waves one day soon.


8 posted on 06/10/2026 6:51:39 AM PDT by FLT-bird
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To: BenLurkin

1000 years?

Who measured them a 1000 years ago? Vikings?................


9 posted on 06/10/2026 6:52:16 AM PDT by Red Badger (Iryna Zarutska, May 22, 2002 Kyiv, Ukraine – August 22, 2025 Charlotte, North Carolina Say her name)
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To: BenLurkin; SunkenCiv; Kaslin; PJ-Comix; Libloather
And yet the actual Cascadia Fault off of the BC-Washington-Oregon-NorthCal coast for 0ver 680 miles, is overdue for an actual Mag 8.6 to Mag 9.2 earthquake. The last was in January 1700, dated by the records of villages in Japan destroyed by its tsunami. (Over the past 10,000 years, Mag 8.4 or greater quakes have tripped off every 246 years, on average. Mag 9.0 or greater quakes are slightly less regular, with a 450 years recent interval.)

But. A “new model” showing a “potential” earthquake in southern California at the triple junction of the San Andreus Fault, gets the latest publicity. Because, this model sends money to Southern California?

10 posted on 06/10/2026 6:52:21 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE
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To: BenLurkin
"Under Their Highest Stress in 1,000 Years, Stoking Fears of the ‘Big One’"

They say that like it's a bad thing.

11 posted on 06/10/2026 6:59:50 AM PDT by Governor Dinwiddie ( O give thanks unto the Lord, for He is gracious, and his mercy endures forever. — Psalm 106)
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To: ComputerGuy

I’d be uptight if I lived in San Francisco, too.


12 posted on 06/10/2026 7:00:50 AM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: BenLurkin
If the "Big One" hits Los Angeles, how would anyone even know?

1F8DC0F3 023C 4E21 9D91 1138BD56B58C 4 5005 c

44B6AFF4 E585 412C 9921 B0476E0A4CF7 4 5005 c

Re-elected mayor Karen Bass will fly off to a ceremony in Africa with her entourage claiming "no one told her about it."

13 posted on 06/10/2026 7:12:40 AM PDT by Bon of Babble (You Say You Want a Revolution?)
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To: Governor Dinwiddie

It will be bad.

The Pacific Plate won’t move just north. It will also lift 5-10 feet severing every track, road, aqueduct. All the people west of the San Andreas will be cut off from water and more except as can be brought in along the coast (and by sea and air after the ports and runways are repaired.)

That’s about ten million people.


14 posted on 06/10/2026 7:15:21 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: BenLurkin

Makin’ way for Otisburg.


15 posted on 06/10/2026 7:17:14 AM PDT by Sirius Lee ("Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the difference.)
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To: BenLurkin

Cool. Bring on some excitement.


16 posted on 06/10/2026 7:26:01 AM PDT by lefty-lie-spy (Stay Metal)
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To: BenLurkin

Which side would be higher; east or west of the fault?


17 posted on 06/10/2026 7:27:02 AM PDT by Bernard (“Insanity in individuals is something rare…but in groups, <SNIP> it is the rule." Nietzsche)
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To: BenLurkin

Everyone that I know who lived in CA has left, mostly to Texas and GA. So if CA fell into the ocean I might miss some of the wine but that’s about it.


18 posted on 06/10/2026 7:28:59 AM PDT by ByteMercenary (Election 2020 was stolen by mail-in voting. Mail-in voting and RCV counting should be abolished.)
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To: BenLurkin

I don’t really want it to happen but I have to ask. Does the nation respond to a catastrophe in Democratic blue California the same way that the Democrats responded in North Carolina mountain people after Helene?


19 posted on 06/10/2026 7:30:32 AM PDT by Pete Dovgan
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To: BenLurkin
California Tumbles Into The Sea
20 posted on 06/10/2026 7:32:17 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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