Posted on 05/23/2026 12:46:00 PM PDT by RandFan
@Nigel_Farage
The Times have just released a new poll for the Makerfield by-election by Survation.
Robert Kenyon is the only candidate who can stop Andy Burnham.
This is a two horse race - nobody else comes close.
(Excerpt) Read more at x.com ...
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Reform UK are trying to deny Burnham a seat in parliament and ultimately chances of him being Prime Minister
Restore are kind of splitting the vote or peeling off some support.
That could prove costly.
Nigel's message is: "It's a 2 horse race"
Rearranging the deck chairs on The Titanic.
That guy with the Restore Party has to intentionally be trying to help the ruling establishment. He will screw the UK for a generation if he pulls votes from the Reform party.
Blockbuster?
How can you tell with no methodology offered?
As for the outfit conducting it...
https://www.survation.com/who-are-we/
Reads like Deep State to me.
The UK has a parliamentary system.
If Restore’s and Reform’s elected representatives are truly MEGA, they will work together.
I understand very little of UK eelections, due to lack of interest to be honest. Europe is lost, and it isn't to Russia, it's due to self-destruction to the nth degree.
enough voters are not stupid. Reform will be able to get the message across:
“A vote for Restore is a vote for Labour”
“ That guy with the Restore Party has to intentionally be trying to help the ruling establishment. He will screw the UK for a generation if he pulls votes from the Reform party.”
********************************************
Kind of like our LOSERTARIAN candidates in the US.
If I were King, I’d ban political parties. Win on your own merits.
If Burnham wins there will be a leadership fight within Labour. In all likelihood Starmer will lose, but it may be a bloody fight. The new PM does not have to call for a new national election, but the situation may be such that he will feel forced to do it.
If Burnham loses the by-election there will not be any challenge to Starmer, or a very weak one that he will be able to win, in which case he will sit as PM until his five years are up.
If Burnham wins there will be a leadership fight within Labour.
There won’t be a fight, Starmer will stand down for Burnham, without a fight.
Political parties(factions) are part of human nature. If there’s voting or any human social interaction. Humans band together to support an idea, person or gain economic advantage\advancement. That will always happen.
Meanwhile, from Rupert Lowe...
Rupert Lowe MP
@RupertLowe10
Sod it. For the purposes of full transparency, here are our canvassing returns from Makerfield that we’ve had back so far from the door knocking today.
1,010 sample size.
24.6% for Restore Britain.
31.2% definitely against.
24.2% undecided.
20% considering.
Excluding won’t votes.
More teams coming back, so the sample size will grow a lot in the next few hours.
Largely agrees with what we’ve found over the last week - astounding response with the working class, more difficult with wealthier areas. To be honest.
Labour are the opponent in the fancier places, Reform with the working class.
Our campaign has just taken off. Great name recognition already, but clearly room to grow.
Let’s see what happens.
But we’re very happy with progress.
12:46 PM · May 23, 2026
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415.9K Views
https://x.com/RupertLowe10/status/2058228020989571460
That’s more info that Farage gave.
‘I am not going to walk away’, says Starmer as Burnham pitches debate on ’how politics needs to change’
The prime minister said he wouldn’t be setting out a timetable to stand down if Andy Burnham wins the Makerfield byelection.
He’ll get the “Spanish Archer”, El Bow!
:-)
As I said, it is possible, but I’m not so good on Labour’s internal politics that I can call it a certainty. Burnham is not the only possible candidate, and for the other candidates it would be very “unfortunate” if Starmer handed over the leadership to Burnham. They may try do something about it....
OTOH I saw an interview with the Restore leader Rupert Lowe by Jacob Rees-Mogg. Lowe got the question whether it wouldn’t be better to try to cooperate with the other conservative/nationalist parties than trying to go it alone. But he maintained that his party would be able to win the next election, which unfortunately, I think is a pipe-dream.
That right there says, who he is really serving.
“The UK has a parliamentary system.
If Restore’s and Reform’s elected representatives are truly MEGA, they will work together. “
They are both fake “conservatives” and containment.
Along with Tommy Robinson.
Chain Linked Elections, nearly as addictive as chain smoking.
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