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America’s most volatile fault line overdue for earthquake that could devastate millions: ‘Tectonic time bomb’ (only 4.74 years left)
NY Post ^ | 4/29/26 | Ben Cost

Posted on 04/29/2026 8:42:06 AM PDT by Libloather

This has scientists quaking in their boots.

Researchers have found that one of the US’s most dangerous fault lines is overdue for an earthquake, potentially threatening millions of people across California, per an alarming study in the journal Seismological Research Letters.

This terrifying tremor could “cause extensive damage to such a dense population zone,” wrote the team from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), in a statement.

Part of the massive San Andreas Fault Line, the Hayward Fault Line extends 74 miles through major Bay Area hubs, including Berkeley, Oakland and Fremont, an area that’s collectively home to around 8 million people.

This fault is of particular concern as it regularly generates magnitude 7 Earthquakes — more powerful than the 1989 Loma Prieta quake that killed 63 people and injured 3,757 in the Bay Area.

If one of these earthquakes were to occur today, it could potentially kill 800 people and injure up to 18,000, per a previous US Geological Survey report called the “HayWired Scenario.”

While the last event to occur was in 1868, scientists have calculated that Hayward ruptures every 95 to 183 years, meaning we’re overdue for a seismic event.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, Hayward has a 14.3% chance of a 6.7 magnitude or larger seismic event by 2034 and a 33% chance before 2043, making Hayward one of the most hazardous fault lines in the region.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Local News; Outdoors; Science
KEYWORDS: bayarea; bencost; berkeley; bomb; california; earthquake; earthquakes; fremont; haywardfault; newyorkpost; oakland; quake; quakes; sanandreasfault; tectonic
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To: Libloather

I have mixed feelings on this.

I mean.. if only the coastline fell into the ocean, that might actually be a good thing for the country. But still, I hate to see the ocean polluted with so much human garbage


21 posted on 04/29/2026 9:15:47 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Omnivore-Dan

Something massive could happen and the whole state could slide into the Pacific, massive loss of life and the Democrats would still scream that all the Democrats in Congress and Senate would need to stay so they could serve the now dead voters. And somehow still be reelected even though no one would be alive to vote for them.


22 posted on 04/29/2026 9:16:33 AM PDT by rustyboots
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To: DIRTYSECRET

In case of a quake I’m sure the Dems have a plan to cause all the lost quake votes to de-”fault” to Democrat votes for counting purposes...

okay I’ll show my self out....
(snicker!)


23 posted on 04/29/2026 9:19:36 AM PDT by mdmathis6 (A horrible historic indictment: Biden Democrats plunging us into Ukraine wars to hide their crimes!)
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To: Libloather
And just a bit further north...

Cascadia subduction zone


24 posted on 04/29/2026 9:19:57 AM PDT by Bratch
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To: Libloather

One of these faults might let go sooner or later. They’re, really, unpredictable.

What makes them so dangerous is that they run through major population centers, including schools and hospitals.

What’s more, they’ll cause war-like disruption to infrastructure (prospectively increasing death and injury).

I, really, don’t want to see a big one happen but I’m not in control!


25 posted on 04/29/2026 9:23:37 AM PDT by old school
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To: Libloather

Otisburg??


26 posted on 04/29/2026 9:25:08 AM PDT by tnlibertarian
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To: old school

California tumbles into the sea.

That’ll be the day I go back to Annandale.


27 posted on 04/29/2026 9:30:51 AM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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To: PAR35

California faults are pikers compared to the one along the Mississippi River.


The quakes in the Midwest travel a lot farther than the California ones. The New Madrid quakes two hundred years ago rang church bells on the east coast.

In terms of destruction, in many Midwest cities, the older parts of town are made of brick. Brick buildings don’t play well with earthquakes.


28 posted on 04/29/2026 9:34:11 AM PDT by hanamizu
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To: LukeL
If I correctly recall, the Hayward fault also runs beneath (or quite near) the major hospitals in Contra Costa County.

That said, while the Hayward Fault is a significant emergency response worry, America's most "volatile" fault line and "tectonic time bomb" is actually the Cascadia Subduction Zone, a megathrust fault just off the coast of Oregon and Washington States, and is capable of producing an earthquake exceeding M 9.0.

29 posted on 04/29/2026 9:36:01 AM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never...in nothing, great or small...Winston ChurchIill)
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To: Libloather

The CA communists are praying for the San Andreas to destroy their failed attempt at building a high-speed rail line...

Just think of the earthquake catastrophe money that would become available to all those bank accounts previously filled with the rail-line-to-nowhere billions already stolen...


30 posted on 04/29/2026 9:43:44 AM PDT by SuperLuminal (Where is rabble-rising Sam Adams now that we need him? Is his name Trump, now?)
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To: Libloather

The CA communists are praying for the San Andreas to destroy their failed attempt at building a high-speed rail line...

Just think of the earthquake catastrophe money that would become available to all those bank accounts previously filled with the rail-line-to-nowhere billions already stolen...


31 posted on 04/29/2026 9:43:49 AM PDT by SuperLuminal (Where is rabble-rising Sam Adams now that we need him? Is his name Trump, now?)
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To: DIRTYSECRET

“The only Calif. votes counted would be in the Central Valley and red areas. Would they count?”

Amazingly, there would still be massive turnout and the D’s would win resoundingly. Mail in ballots would just appear and reappear in the counting rooms and the ObamaJudges would extend voting and counting for months, if necessary, to ensure a D victory.


32 posted on 04/29/2026 9:46:35 AM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Vermont Lt

The thing about the New Madrid that is spooky is the number of dams that could collapse if it really went off.

Western Kentucky has the Land Between the Lakes and if the New Madrid caused those dams to collapse it would wash away a crap ton of people


33 posted on 04/29/2026 9:51:08 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s, you weren't really there)
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To: Bratch; Libloather; SunkenCiv

Yes, the next Mag 8.6 to Mag 9.1 earthquake through the Cascadia Fault offshore of the entire coast from BC-WASHINGTON-OREGON-NORCAL to Cape Mendacino is now overdue. Last was Jan 1700. They trip


34 posted on 04/29/2026 9:51:56 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE
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To: Libloather

“Part of the massive San Andreas Fault Line, the Hayward Fault Line”

Pretty sure that is NOt correct.


35 posted on 04/29/2026 9:52:14 AM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Libloather

>>If one of these earthquakes were to occur today, it could potentially kill 800 people and injure up to 18,000, per a previous US Geological Survey report called the “HayWired Scenario.”

That doesn’t sound “devastating” at all.. hardly worth popping the cork on a champaign bottle.


36 posted on 04/29/2026 9:53:07 AM PDT by vikingd00d (chown -R us ~you/base)
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To: Libloather

I don’t care if California slips into the pacific . It can become its own country or sink. I don’t give a sh!t.


37 posted on 04/29/2026 10:00:54 AM PDT by spincaster (i)
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To: Libloather

Hey now. I’m within 10 miles of beachfront. :)


38 posted on 04/29/2026 10:01:09 AM PDT by rktman (Destroy America from within? On hold! Enlisted USN 1967 proudly. 🚫💉! 🇮🇱🙏! Winning currently!)
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To: Col Frank Slade

“California tumbles into the sea.”

The Lord works in mysterious ways.


39 posted on 04/29/2026 10:01:38 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam ( "Trouble knocked at the door, but, hearing laughter, hurried away". - B. Franklin)
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To: Libloather

And if California slides into the ocean
Like the mystics and statistics say it will
I predict this motel will be standin’ until I pay my bill


40 posted on 04/29/2026 10:01:38 AM PDT by freedomlover
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