Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

America’s most volatile fault line overdue for earthquake that could devastate millions: ‘Tectonic time bomb’ (only 4.74 years left)
NY Post ^ | 4/29/26 | Ben Cost

Posted on 04/29/2026 8:42:06 AM PDT by Libloather

This has scientists quaking in their boots.

Researchers have found that one of the US’s most dangerous fault lines is overdue for an earthquake, potentially threatening millions of people across California, per an alarming study in the journal Seismological Research Letters.

This terrifying tremor could “cause extensive damage to such a dense population zone,” wrote the team from the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), in a statement.

Part of the massive San Andreas Fault Line, the Hayward Fault Line extends 74 miles through major Bay Area hubs, including Berkeley, Oakland and Fremont, an area that’s collectively home to around 8 million people.

This fault is of particular concern as it regularly generates magnitude 7 Earthquakes — more powerful than the 1989 Loma Prieta quake that killed 63 people and injured 3,757 in the Bay Area.

If one of these earthquakes were to occur today, it could potentially kill 800 people and injure up to 18,000, per a previous US Geological Survey report called the “HayWired Scenario.”

While the last event to occur was in 1868, scientists have calculated that Hayward ruptures every 95 to 183 years, meaning we’re overdue for a seismic event.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, Hayward has a 14.3% chance of a 6.7 magnitude or larger seismic event by 2034 and a 33% chance before 2043, making Hayward one of the most hazardous fault lines in the region.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Local News; Outdoors; Science
KEYWORDS: bayarea; bencost; berkeley; bomb; california; earthquake; earthquakes; fremont; haywardfault; newyorkpost; oakland; quake; quakes; sanandreasfault; tectonic

Click here: to donate by Credit Card

Or here: to donate by PayPal

Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794

Thank you very much and God bless you.


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-52 next last
That's a shame. Still waiting for my Nevada land to pay off.
1 posted on 04/29/2026 8:42:06 AM PDT by Libloather
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Libloather

It wont.

The way government works now, if your land massively increased in value, I have no doubt they would exercise eminent domain for the purposes of scientific study, ecological protection, and “public safety”


2 posted on 04/29/2026 8:44:08 AM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

My brother used to live on that fault line. No more.


3 posted on 04/29/2026 8:46:29 AM PDT by KC Burke
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

The fault line runs directly underneath UC Berkeley’s Stadium


4 posted on 04/29/2026 8:48:39 AM PDT by LukeL
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

Well, as long as it’s only democrats affected then let er rip!


5 posted on 04/29/2026 8:49:10 AM PDT by Omnivore-Dan (have to )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: KC Burke

I’m 3 miles from the epicenter of the Loma Prieta quake.
Plenty of distance </s>


6 posted on 04/29/2026 8:49:27 AM PDT by sasquatch (Do NOT forget Ashli Babbit! c/o piytar)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

“Part of the massive San Andreas Fault Line, the Hayward Fault Line extends 74 miles through major Bay Area hubs, including Berkeley, Oakland and Fremont, an area that’s collectively home to around 8 million people.” Well, you gotta go you gotta go, God bless ‘em.


7 posted on 04/29/2026 8:50:02 AM PDT by kawhill (Dywedwch Wrthbym because + Add translation Welsh-English dictionary 'Tell Us')
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LukeL

That’s gotta be the Hayward Fault-heard it’s much worse. You don’t have to be on either one. LA isn’t much better.

Now what if it struck on election day 2028? Or a tsunami hitting the entire left coast? The only Calif. votes counted would be in the Central Valley and red areas. Would they count?


8 posted on 04/29/2026 8:53:16 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

California faults are pikers compared to the one along the Mississippi River. I remember the scare stories that were put out in the early 1990s. They sold a lot of earthquake insurance in Tennessee and Mississippi back then.

Quake still hasn’t happened there.


9 posted on 04/29/2026 8:55:24 AM PDT by PAR35
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

The Hayward Fault usually slips before the San Andreas.

And yes, it poses a big problem, but there is a bright side to that prospect: The damage may be focused upon Oakland.


10 posted on 04/29/2026 8:56:56 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

Reads like someone wants more funding....


11 posted on 04/29/2026 8:57:17 AM PDT by jeffc (Resident of the free State of Florida)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DIRTYSECRET

What’s strange is I’m not worried about a building falling on me. I’m more worried about the dangers of too many people freaking out all at once.


12 posted on 04/29/2026 8:57:21 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Libloather
...one of the US’s most dangerous fault lines is overdue for an earthquake...

How much more proof of Global Warming could anyone ask for?

13 posted on 04/29/2026 8:58:17 AM PDT by sima_yi ( Reporting live from the far North)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

I’m so scared. I called a contractor to see if they could suspend our home on springs and shock absorbers. They told me I was a nut case and hung up. No one is taking any of this doom and gloom serious. How distressing.


14 posted on 04/29/2026 8:58:33 AM PDT by redfreedom (The Forth Estate is the Fifth Column.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DIRTYSECRET

Democrats would just get a tame federal judge to keep the polls open however long needed to get enough democrat votes counted. Or just call a special session of the state legislature to empanel the democrat electors.


15 posted on 04/29/2026 8:58:44 AM PDT by PAR35
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

That’s not even the potentially worst fault in the US.

If New Madrid goes again, St Louis to Memphis will be in ruins.


16 posted on 04/29/2026 8:59:58 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather

“Where can we go,
When there’s no San Francisco?
Better get ready to tie up,
The Boat in Idaho!”

https://genius.com/Shango-rock-group-day-after-day-its-slippin-away-lyrics


17 posted on 04/29/2026 9:04:22 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar (REOPEN THE MENTAL HOSPITALS CLOSED IN THE 1970s!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Libloather
If one of these earthquakes were to occur today, it could potentially kill 800 people and injure up to 18,000, per a previous US Geological Survey report called the “HayWired Scenario.”

The degree of damage is wildly dependent upon the time of year the quake hits. The the hillsides above the East Bay are almost entirely composed of clay. If it is in winter and that clay is saturated, it would turn them into Jell-O. My guess is the death and destruction would then be much worse.

My late teen years were in Lafayette, where the soils are similarly goopy. Did a study on ours in a soils lab while in college. It's why, when it came time to look for raw land to build a house in the Santa Cruz Mountains, the first thing we did was to go to the USGS office in Menlo Park to map out more stable sandstone deposits.

18 posted on 04/29/2026 9:06:06 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The tree of liberty needs a rope.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: redfreedom
I’m so scared. I called a contractor to see if they could suspend our home on springs and shock absorbers.

Just jack up the slab and float it on water. That's what they did with a hotel in Japan in 1923. (AI says they floated it on mud, not water).

19 posted on 04/29/2026 9:06:53 AM PDT by PAR35
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: KC Burke

>> My brother used to live on that fault line. No more.

Whose fault is that? Not his!


20 posted on 04/29/2026 9:10:47 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-52 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson