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Trump economist expects ‘massive’ tax refunds, predicts families will save thousands
NY Post ^ | 12/20/25 | Rich Calder

Posted on 12/20/2025 11:29:05 PM PST by Libloather

Americans should expect to be flush with cash next year, with fat tax-refund checks and more take-home pay in their pockets, says a top contender to become President Trump’s next Federal Reserve chair.

“We are going to see the biggest refund cycle ever in the history of America, and people are going to get massive refund checks,” boasted National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett this week in an interview on FOX Business’ “Varney & Co.”

“We’re expecting just that part of it alone to be worth a couple-thousand-dollar refund … the numbers are striking.”

Hassett’s comments Thursday came a day after Trump predicted “the largest tax refund season of all time” next spring and that many families would save between $11,000 and $20,000 each year.

During the segment, Hassett also threw shade on a recent Fox News Poll that found 44% of Americans saying they are falling behind financially, and 74% viewing the economy as “not so good” or “bad.”

“You saw in the jobs report that … wages for the typical worker were up 3.7%, ” said Hassett.

“So if you’re running 3.7% wage increases at 1.6% core inflation, then real wages are growing at a rate of about 2 [to] 2.5%. By our estimates right now, blue-collar workers have already seen an almost $2,000 raise this year after inflation, because wages are growing so much faster than prices”

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Education; History; Local News
KEYWORDS: cash; loot; refund; riiiiight; taxes; trumpeconomy

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Pelosi could've done this. But she didn't.
1 posted on 12/20/2025 11:29:05 PM PST by Libloather
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To: Libloather

Her eyebrows are tattoos, what did you expect?


2 posted on 12/20/2025 11:35:09 PM PST by Equine1952 (MM1SS )
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To: Equine1952

Should we pray he’s right or are we all confident?


3 posted on 12/20/2025 11:56:02 PM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Not that I’ve got a lot of experience with people who will be affected by the new tax laws, I will say this.

The people affected by the “no tax on tips” change know the law exists but have no idea how it’s been implemented, the way I understand it, the tips will still be reported to the IRS, however, the individuals affected will be able to take up to a $25,000 deduction to reclaim a lot of the tips that were taxed during the year.

Most people have no idea the difference between a tax deduction and a tax credit.

Now, that I’ve been drawing social security for about a year and my wife a couple of years longer, the tax deduction for social security will certainly help us.

Hopefully those affected by the no tax on tips and social security deductions, will take the time to find out how to take the deductions and benefit from the tax law changes, if they do, then millions will get much bigger tax refunds.


4 posted on 12/21/2025 12:04:56 AM PST by srmanuel
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Pard, I ain’t spending the money yet. Reagan said “Trust but verify “. His acting was fair, great Prez, good philosopher. I won’t buy my new Ram Doge yet. Gosh, I ain’t wore out my ‘95 or 02 Cummins yet. I’ve had them since they were new. All this free money 💩 gets on my old nerves. Regards


5 posted on 12/21/2025 12:09:27 AM PST by Equine1952 (MM1SS )
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To: Libloather

Seeing (and counting) will be believing.
Good intentions , even when from very powerful people, cannot be exchanged for U.S. Currancy.


6 posted on 12/21/2025 12:18:13 AM PST by lee martell
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To: Libloather

It’d be nice to receive money you don’t expect, but perhaps it’d be better to simply not pay it and reduce the deficit. The resulting increase in the dollar’s value and the decline in interest rates would be more beneficial overall. Of course, if the idea is to buy votes for the midterms and keep the Demunists out of power…well, refund away!


7 posted on 12/21/2025 12:26:05 AM PST by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." The Weapons Shops of Isher)
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To: lee martell

Trump accounts will be the game changer. It will take time but just think of the first thousand bucks as seed money. Parents will watch the accounts grow and contribute for the future. Then there’s inflation-government caused. Those that hold the accounts will expect government to control spending as well as the printing.


8 posted on 12/21/2025 12:29:29 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Equine1952

Yup.


9 posted on 12/21/2025 12:42:14 AM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Libloather

It’s not good to over promise and raise people’s expectations. If you promise people a thousand dollars or more and they only $500, they’ll be mad.


10 posted on 12/21/2025 1:22:10 AM PST by nuconvert ( Warning: Accused of being a radical militarist. Approach with caution.)
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To: Libloather

The tax rates between 2024 and 2025 remain constant. I’d like to hear precisely what creates this presumed 2025 windfall tax refund.


11 posted on 12/21/2025 1:50:45 AM PST by JesusIsLord
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To: JesusIsLord

Deductions and credits.

EC


12 posted on 12/21/2025 2:10:30 AM PST by Ex-Con777 ("Journalism is about covering important stories-with a pillow, until they stop moving." ~ David Burg)
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To: Ancesthntr

We have money to give billions to other countries and Congress to give themselves huge pay raises, but when it comes to American people, let’s worry about the deficit. I think not.


13 posted on 12/21/2025 2:21:21 AM PST by roving
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To: JesusIsLord
The tax rates between 2024 and 2025 remain constant. I’d like to hear precisely what creates this presumed 2025 windfall tax refund.

There is no tax on tips or overtime up to certain amount. Seniors get an additional $6K standard deduction, $12K for married couples. I don't itemize so I am not sure what the extra goodies are for those deductions. I did see new car loan interest is deductible...

14 posted on 12/21/2025 2:33:55 AM PST by EVO X ( )
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To: roving

There is always money for food stamps, Obama phones, rent subsidy, free Medicaid etc.


15 posted on 12/21/2025 2:35:30 AM PST by Bobbyvotes (Work is worship! .... Bhagavad Geetald )
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To: Equine1952

“All this free money 💩 gets on my old nerves.”

Yup, fully agreed. For that money to be “free”, it first had to be taken from someone else. I’d feel more comfortable if it were used to pay down the national debt. Even if the money is sourced directly from tariffs, it should still be used to pay down debt.

I can see giving the soldiers the $1,776 like they are doing this Christmas, but give aways should stop there.


16 posted on 12/21/2025 4:22:19 AM PST by redfreedom (They’re AWFUL...Affuent White Female Urban Leftists)
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To: Libloather

Just the change in standard deductions and seniors being able to claim another $1,300 - $1,600 (rounded estimates) will save us over $1,000 this year...and not having to pay SS taxes will likely add another $1,000 or so ...


17 posted on 12/21/2025 5:27:16 AM PST by trebb (So many fools - so little time...)
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To: lee martell

Will this be a big windfall for us on S.S. as well? Or should we just keep doing what we’ve been doing?


18 posted on 12/21/2025 5:32:38 AM PST by oldtech
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To: nuconvert

“ It’s not good to over promise and raise people’s expectations. If you promise people a thousand dollars or more and they only $500, they’ll be mad”

This is what I fear will happen and wonder if Republicans will have a net loss of voters. Trump continues to say “no tax on tips” and “no tax on overtime” and “no tax on Social Security”. None of this is true. All three have a cap on them.
Even though these sound bites work better doing a rally, they are misleading, especially about Social Security

Many (most?) people collecting Social Security already pay no federal income tax. People at higher income levels will be phased out of getting any reduction in the taxes they pay on Social Security.


19 posted on 12/21/2025 5:42:13 AM PST by Freee-dame (The left never dreamed that Trump would be back in the White House in 2025. )
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To: Libloather

Let’s just eliminate the IRS and be done with the personal income tax nonsense once and for all.


20 posted on 12/21/2025 5:42:13 AM PST by dinodino ( Shut it down anyway. )
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