The DF typically performs very well in the first six days ahead, but it can become unreliable at the seven to ten-day lead times, often showing an increasingly unlikely evolution.
But we ABSOLUTELY know the earth is gonna warm up over the next WH years.
More science than I want to get into at my age, but always tried to understand the forecast and why of the AO I would be in for a job site.
Wished more people people in Texas this past 4 July had understood that tropical low that crossed into Big Bend from Mexico and paid attention to the weather forecast.
I and many others understood that it would be a big rain event once it picked up gulf moisture.