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New York At The Green Energy Wall -- What Is The Exit Strategy?
Manhattan Contrarian ^ | 15 Nov, 2025 | Francis Menton

Posted on 11/16/2025 5:10:41 AM PST by MtnClimber

When New York passed its utopian Climate Leadership and Community Protection Act back in 2019, it set mandatory targets for reductions in greenhouse gas emissions from the state’s energy consumption. But none of the mandates were scheduled to take effect prior to 2030. The earliest mandates were: 70% of electricity from “renewables” by 2030, and 40% overall reduction in GHG emissions by the same year. (Still more ambitious mandates were also set for 2040, followed by a “net zero” mandate for 2050.). These dates all seemed so terribly far away — plenty of time for somebody to invent some new gizmos in the off chance that new technology might be needed to hit the goal.

Our legislators, innumerate to a person, had bought into the fantasy — peddled by lightweight academics like Mark Jacobson and Robert Howarth, and by grifting promoters like the American Wind Energy Association and investment bank Lazard — that wind and solar were now the cheapest way to make electricity. To abolish the evil fossil fuels, all that was needed was some political will.

The legislators definitely did not pay the slightest attention to the Manhattan Contrarian. Beginning in 2016, and consistently from then until the CLCPA was enacted in mid-2019, this site published one clear warning after another that the costs of a wind/solar energy system that would work full time would inevitably be a large multiple of those claimed by the promoters. If you want to entertain yourself for a while on this subject, you might be interested in my series “How Much Do The Green Energy Crusaders Plan To Increase Your Cost Of Electricity?” Part I (August16, 2016), Part II (August 20, 2016), and Part III (November 29, 2018). Well, I tried.

There actually was one other important deadline in the CLCPA, which was not a deadline for emissions reductions themselves, but rather a deadline for the state Department of Environmental Conservation to publish regulations to direct how the mandated emissions reductions would be achieved. The text from the CLCPA setting this deadline was codified in Section 75-0109 of the state’s Environmental Conservation Law. It states that DEC “shall . . . promulgate rules and regulations to ensure compliance with the statewide emissions reductions limits.” The deadline to promulgate these regulations was January 1, 2024.

January 1, 2024 came and went, and then another year went by, and still no regulations, nor any indication of when or whether they would be forthcoming. A reasonable inference would be that Kathy Hochul (who had taken over as Governor in 2021), or more likely some people on her staff, had figured out that this was not going to work. But they also knew that saying that out loud would be political suicide. Thus, silence.

By March of this year, the environmental zealots had had enough. In that month, a collection of environmental groups — Citizens Action of New York, People United for Sustainable Housing Buffalo, Sierra Club, and We Act for Environmental Justice — filed what we call an “Article 78” proceeding in the state Supreme Court of Ulster County, to compel the DEC to comply with the statute and issue the regulations. (Article 78 is a part of the state procedural statute that provides for lawsuits to compel state agencies to comply with the law.). The case was assigned to Justice Julian Schreibman.

The court held a hearing on July 25, and then on August 11 took a supplemental letter submission from the New York Attorney General’s office on behalf of the DEC. Then the court issued its decision on October 27.

The Attorney General’s August 11 letter submission is truly a remarkable document. Basically, it states that the emissions-reduction mandates of the CLCPA are “infeasible,” and it asks the court to refrain from enforcing the mandate to issue regulations on the ground that because the emissions reductions are infeasible the regulations to compel them to happen would cause “damage to the public interest.” As a little background, the letter frequently refers to the state’s draft “Energy Plan,” which was issued on July 25, and which I covered here at Manhattan Contrarian in a post on August 11 titled “New York’s Official Energy Plan Is No Plan,” where I called the Energy Plan “hundreds of pages of fluff.”

Here are a few excerpts from the state’s August 11 letter for your enjoyment:

The draft [Energy Plan] itself shows that a 40% greenhouse gas reduction from 1990 levels by 2030 is infeasible under the Climate Act’s accounting methodology and unaffordable for consumers. . . . [W]hile New York’s current policies and additional action would be expected to raise economywide costs for the state energy system in 2040 by less than 10%, the two net zero scenarios the Board considered raise energy-system costs by at least 35% in 2040, which is $42 billion in additional costs for that year alone. . . . In sum, under even the most aggressive scenario the State Energy Planning Board considered—one that by 2040 would lead to an added $42 billion in annual energy costs—New York would not meet the Climate Act’s 2030 goal. While the draft plan shows that ambitious progress under the Climate Act is achievable, the 2030 goal itself is not practically feasible due to costs consumers simply cannot bear.

So they have actually calculated that the attempt to reach “net zero” emissions on the statutorily-mandated schedule will cost consumers an extra $42 billion per year by 2040. They don’t give us numbers for other years, but presumably other years would be comparable. So figure, $42 billion per year. Let’s say that that is slightly different from wind and solar being “cheaper” than our existing fossil fuel infrastructure.

Frankly, I think that the $42 billion per year is a very low-ball estimate. But for today, I will take it.

The state’s August 11 letter essentially advocates that the deadlines should be allowed to slip while we implement these policies more slowly. What the letter does not mention is whether the total cost of this transition will be reduced in any way by stretching it out or, alternatively, whether the cost will be equal or more if spread over a longer period of time. I can’t think of any reason why spreading the cost over a longer period of time would reduce the total cost. And thus, if the cost is “infeasible” for consumers, it will be equally infeasible if stretched out.

Justice Schreibman was extremely unimpressed by the very weak argument made by the state. From the court’s opinion (page 8):

Faced with this [statutory] mandate, DEC does not have the discretion to say no or to decide that it has the authority to choose not to follow the express legislative direction at issue. Under our system of separation of powers, upon concluding, based on its subject-matter expertise, that achieving the goals of the Climate Act might be “infeasible” for the reasons stated, the DEC had just two options. One, it could issue compliant regulations anyway, and let the chips fall where they may for the State’s political actors. Or, two, it could raise its concerns to the Legislature. . . .

The court’s decision gives the state until February 6 to issue the regulations. The reason for the three month window is that the state Legislature will not come back into session until January, and thus the option to ask the Legislature to reconsider is kept open.

But what is the exit strategy? Will they soon start spending $42 billion per year on a crash emissions reduction program that still will clearly be insufficient to meet the ridiculous mandates of the CLCPA? Or will they ask the state Legislature to revise the statute? The second option will bring a huge outcry from the dominant progressive group in the Legislature and their environmentalist backers, all of whom are convinced (without ever having done serious analysis) that wind and solar are cheaper than fossil fuels and only corrupt influence from oil and gas interests is preventing the energy transition.

Maybe they postpone the deadlines for a year or two. But when the year or two is up, the problem will be back bigger than ever.

There is no graceful exit strategy. The CLCPA will inevitably be abandoned. Exactly when or how, I don’t know, but it will happen.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: leftism

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1 posted on 11/16/2025 5:10:41 AM PST by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

A train wreck of their own making. It is what happens when you chase hallucinations.


2 posted on 11/16/2025 5:12:37 AM PST by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

>Our legislators, innumerate to a person, had bought into the fantasy

This is a great essay and man, that line there really, really nails it.


3 posted on 11/16/2025 5:17:37 AM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: StAntKnee; texas booster

Manhattan Contrarian ping


4 posted on 11/16/2025 5:22:59 AM PST by MtnClimber (For photos of scenery, wildlife and climbing, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

Prices of energy in the northeast have sky rocketed for years yet Democrats have a iron lock on political power. Hopes were raised for an upset in the NJ governor race in November based on high energy bills, but it didn’t pan out. It will take the lights going out before the public turns against save the earth prophecies.


5 posted on 11/16/2025 5:40:48 AM PST by DeplorablePaul
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To: MtnClimber

For perhaps the very best damnation and rational discourse on wind energy, check out the YouTube presentation of the Landman, Tommy Norris. This video might really make your day.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fmbZwxEnAFc&t=138s


6 posted on 11/16/2025 5:58:01 AM PST by bert ( (KE. NP. +12) QuidQuid Nominatur Fabricatur)
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To: DeplorablePaul
One, it could issue compliant regulations anyway, and let the chips fall where they may for the State’s political actors. Or, two, it could raise its concerns to the Legislature. . . .

The state Supreme Court of Ulster County notes that the sustainable Green Energy canard would certainly have perils to our Political actors;
yet, the item of consequence that should be entertained is how the peasants will react without regular electricity, affordable energy,
or winter heat. Pitchforks might be in the offing for the dawdling Politicians.

7 posted on 11/16/2025 6:24:00 AM PST by Thommas (The snout of the camel is already under the tent.)
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To: MtnClimber

It was my vague understanding that the State of New York was planning to rely on Quebec hydropower.

It was my thought that the Canadian greenies would want that power for Canada itself.

I don’t follow stuff in New York closely any more since all my close relatives in the State have died.

The wind in the Atlantic is too variable in location and speed to make wind power a realistic option.

That leaves solar power in southeast Virginia and eastern North Carolina as the best green option for the State.

The Northeast US and northern Europe would best be served by competitively priced nuclear power. I doubt they can get it.


8 posted on 11/16/2025 6:29:24 AM PST by Brian Griffin
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To: MtnClimber
A group called EARTHJUSTICE is setting the NY climate agenda.

TESTIMONY OF EARTHJUSTICE BEFORE THE SENATE COMMITTEES ON FINANCE, ENERGY AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS, AND ENVIRONMENTAL CONSERVATION REGARDING IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CLIMATE ACTION COUNCIL FINAL SCOPING PLAN

Liz Moran from New York Earthjustice (https://earthjustice.org/author/elizabeth-moran) is a radical environmentalist and you can see from the quote below she sees corporations as the enemy.

“Agreeing to a delay the administration previously opposed, while getting nothing for New Yorkers in return, is nothing short of a handout to wealthy corporate polluters while families are left suffering from higher and higher energy bills,” said Liz Moran, New York policy advocate for Earthjustice.

9 posted on 11/16/2025 6:34:12 AM PST by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

New York Earthjustice = more leftest Gibberish


10 posted on 11/16/2025 6:43:42 AM PST by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: butlerweave

“New York Earthjustice = more leftest Gibberish“

Yep. Nothing but hysterical obsessives.


11 posted on 11/16/2025 6:50:43 AM PST by TalBlack (Their god is government. Prepare for a religious war.https://freerepublic.com/perl/post?id=4322961%2)
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To: butlerweave
"New York Earthjustice = more leftest Gibberish"

It may be gibberish but this group is setting the climate agenda. Read the PDF I posted. They need to be exposed and taken down.

12 posted on 11/16/2025 6:53:00 AM PST by yesthatjallen
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To: MtnClimber

Are candles considered “renewable energy”?


13 posted on 11/16/2025 7:01:21 AM PST by ZOOKER
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To: MtnClimber

The problem is that the grid is shared. So when these commies fail it will cost everyone more to feed the grid. PA gets screwed.


14 posted on 11/16/2025 7:20:15 AM PST by kvanbrunt2
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To: MtnClimber

Exit Strategy ... Leave. People simply get out.


15 posted on 11/16/2025 8:02:59 AM PST by George from New England (escaped CT back in 2006)
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To: butlerweave

Hhmmmm...EarthJustice...weren’t they involved in the Spotted Owl fiasco in Oregon?


16 posted on 11/16/2025 8:10:33 AM PST by goodnesswins (Make educ institutions return to the Mission...reading, writing, math...not Opinions & propaganda)
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To: MtnClimber

Burn baby, burn.

OK, go ahead and shut down all power plants IN the city — then, no power can come in.

That is the way networks work — you must kinda have a “receiving” power plant.


17 posted on 11/16/2025 9:23:21 AM PST by bobbo666
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To: MtnClimber

The exit strategy is freezing to death in the dark.


18 posted on 11/16/2025 11:21:27 AM PST by Thud (quot)
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