Posted on 09/18/2025 10:54:06 AM PDT by jerod
Early emissions estimate says Canada’s climate progress has stalled
Years of progress on bringing Canada's carbon emissions down have stalled, and future progress looks increasingly fragile, according to an early 2024 emissions estimate from the Canadian Climate Institute (CCI).
The leading climate policy think-tank, which publishes its estimates a few months before the government does, is saying for the first time that Canada will not meet its 2030 emissions target.
Emissions from the oil and gas industry rose, especially the oilsands, offsetting any emissions reductions in other sectors like transportation and buildings, it said.
The institute estimates 2024 emissions at 694.3 megatonnes of carbon dioxide — almost flat from 2023. They're now 8.5 per cent below 2005 levels, a far cry from Canada's target of reaching 40 to 45 per cent below those levels by 2030.
"The reductions required to get from where we are today to there would require 40 megatonnes [of carbon dioxide] reductions a year, which is a huge number," said Dave Sawyer, CCI principal economist. "We have no precedent for it and we certainly don't have policy oriented to drive that level of emission reductions."
The gap is a sobering message from Sawyer's organization, whose policy papers and estimates have a significant influence in guiding government and private sector action on climate. But he stresses that fighting climate change is "not a pass-or-fail test" and the report should be taken as a push to course-correct in terms of climate action.
"We have a short-term emergency right now with [U.S. President Donald Trump] and the economic impacts of the tariffs, but that's not a reason to kill the long-term policy signals and expectations."
Meanwhile, Environment Minister Julie Dabrusin told CBC News in response to the report that her government still has some tools left to use.
"The way we're approaching it, it's a moral obligation to fight climate change for the future, our future generations. It's existential."
Why is the prognosis so poor?
Sawyer said that in previous years, the government had room to improve policy and get back on course to meeting climate goals. But in recent months, the new Mark Carney government has pulled back on key climate policies during a crucial time, largely due to backlash from people concerned with affordability, as well as industries focused on competitiveness.
Carney repealed the consumer carbon tax earlier this year, a key election issue. Earlier this month, his government announced that it was pausing the electric vehicle sales mandate, which would have required automakers to make 100 per cent of their new vehicle sales zero emissions by 2035 in response to pressure from the car industry.
He is also currently in talks with Alberta over oil and gas policy, with reports that the industry's emissions cap, proposed under the previous Trudeau government, might be up for negotiation.
As long as the population keeps increasing... Which it does every year... We will emit more Co2.
Here is another news flash. Nobody is going to meet their climate goals. They are utopian and not achievable.
Here is another news flash. Nobody is going to meet their climate goals. They are utopian and not achievable.
Unprecedented mouse fart.
Dystopian, not Utopian goals.
we are all doomed, eh?
Plants love CO2!
I just wonder what percentage of the populations of the US and Canada actually believe this glowbul warming propaganda?
I have a feeling the covid scam woke a lot of people up to the fact that science in general can and will be a leftist scam.
the UK/Davos’ colony in North America is failing in their globalist agenda.
Unchecked Canadian wildfires have been polluting the planet for years and making the air in the northern parts of the US a health hazard. Canada needs to get their act together about preventing forest fires.
The hoax is collapsing from the weight of reality. Trump’s election was a death blow to the con.
The climate changes here in central KS nearly every day.
😵😵😵😵😵😵. What shall we do?
Yeah, same as I heard in Michigan as a kid: If you don’t like Michigan weather wait a few minutes. It’ll change.
Local DJ said he had an invention idea of an ice scraper for car windshields on one end and a sunblock dispenser at the other end.
The day before there was frost at sunup and the high reached 80 degrees. 1970s so before Greta and Gore.
Photos....
The female dogs (assume) mean you could have shown Greta and AOC.
WEXIT will give Ottawa the opportunity to meet its goals for a utopia free of carbon. Of Canada East will have less industry, jobs, quality of life, etc.
Enjoy that utopia. Say hi to the unicorns while you’re there.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.