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Islamic Republic close to collapse in Iran, civil war possible after US, Israeli decimation of nuclear capabilities: experts
NY Post ^ | 8/30/25 | Chris Harris

Posted on 08/31/2025 11:19:00 AM PDT by Libloather

The winds of change could soon blow on Iran, according to a new report.

The Islamic Republic is facing collapse, indicates the report, issued by UK-based Henry Jackson Society this week, as the UN accuses Tehran of executing nearly 900 people already this year “as a tool of intimidation.”

If the Islamic Republic falls, “there is a danger that regime collapse could lead to a vacuum of governance that is accompanied by civil war,” according to the findings.

“This is an outcome that must be avoided at all costs for the Iranian people, and every step must therefore be made to ensure that any transition is quick and painless,” it added.

The current Iranian regime “remains wedded to the Iranian revolution,” according to the report.

It added that the Ayatollah’s regime is committed to “reconstituting its nuclear program and exporting terrorism both regionally and internationally makes it an ongoing danger to the West.”

Targeted attacks launched by Israel with the US in June on Iranian nuclear sites “set back the regime,” the report said, but “it has not eliminated the strategic and security threats posed by the regime.”

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Conspiracy; History; Local News; Travel
KEYWORDS: experts; iran; iranianrevolution; israel; kgbfailagain; nuclear
I hear Ali is vacationing at Martha's Vineyard.
1 posted on 08/31/2025 11:19:00 AM PDT by Libloather
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To: Libloather

millions of people have been hoping that the crazy IslamoNazi Iranian dictators can be removed from the scene (and that the Iranian people can install a decent, moral, and PEACEFUL government again)

but damnit these terrorist regimes (whether in Iran or the Fakestinian murder gangsters in Ramallah and Gaza, or the Hezvballah in Lebanon, or.. or... or....) these blood-thirsty Islamists tend to be replaced by other blood-thirsty Islamists (and not with decent, moral, and Peaceful governments)

we will see...


2 posted on 08/31/2025 11:22:38 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: Libloather

The need to change the regime in Iran is vital and if that means supporting the Taliban yes.

MTG was upset the US sent the Taliban 5 billion I know why our government did.

A few months ago a UN General Assembly resolution condemned the Taliban on human rights treatment of women etc. most nations voted yes and 12 nations like Iran, Russia, China and North Korea abstained.

But two nations voted no the United States and Israel.

That’s how deep the commitment to encircling Iran and taking out its current goovernment goes.


3 posted on 08/31/2025 11:23:44 AM PDT by Nextrush (FREEDOM IS EVERYBODY'S BUSINESS, REMEMBER REV; NIEMOLLER)
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To: Libloather

I can’t see the regime setting up free elections, & allowing candidates to run. That means it will probably be a military junta if the mullahs are forced out.


4 posted on 08/31/2025 11:28:03 AM PDT by Twotone ( What's the difference between a politician & a flying pig? The letter "F.")
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To: Libloather

Iran is a perfect example of why the Second Amendment is so vital to our country. Only the Islamic Republic has guns in Iran so the Iranian people craving freedom are virtually helpless.


5 posted on 08/31/2025 11:32:23 AM PDT by KevinB (I don’t really care, Margaret.)
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To: All

Iran has elections. The winning candidates are Shiite Muslims, like 90+% of the population. Islam is important to the population. If you run non Muslims, they will lose. Always.

What exactly do people think elections are going to do? They just had one last year. They elected Shiite muslims.


6 posted on 08/31/2025 11:32:51 AM PDT by Owen
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To: Libloather

I thought the eggheads in the DemonRAT weaponized “media” said our attack caused no harm to the muzzies’ nuclear capabilities.


7 posted on 08/31/2025 11:33:06 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (Is this damn country so hard up for Judges that we have to hire Sparkle Sookananan from Trinidad?)
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To: Libloather

“. . . . the UN accuses Tehran of executing nearly 900 people already this year “as a tool of intimidation.”
——-

Who are we to criticize their culture??


8 posted on 08/31/2025 11:33:21 AM PDT by Freedom4US
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To: faithhopecharity
we will see...

What we will most likely see is the rebel forces viciously crushed by the Islamic government. Just like the last several times. Civil wars overturn a government very rarely and the rebels almost always require outside aid and sanctuaries to prevail. Are they getting that?

Israel is surely providing some assistance. It is not clear if the USA is providing anything of substance or anything that is effective. The outcome of the Iranian civil conflict will depend on that.

And we are distracted by our own civil conflict which could go to a hot civil war if things break wrong.

9 posted on 08/31/2025 11:38:20 AM PDT by flamberge (The times, they are a' changing.)
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To: Libloather

That type of story has been around for a long time.
On the brink. Watch for news flash of the overthrow of the theocratic government.

We’re still waiting.

I though the CIA was supposed to take care of those civil wars and regime changes in other countries. They’re still on the payroll.


10 posted on 08/31/2025 11:39:21 AM PDT by frank ballenger (There's a battle outside and it's raging. It'll soon shake your windows and rattle your walls. )
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To: flamberge

Understood.


11 posted on 08/31/2025 11:48:45 AM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: Libloather

Chicago alone had more than many more than 900 murders recently. Then you add DC, Oakland, NYC, Baltimore, etc and there are probably more than 900 murders every week.


12 posted on 08/31/2025 11:49:34 AM PDT by Bobbyvotes (Term limits will get rid of corrupt politicians faster than delivery of Jimmy Johns sandwich)
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To: Libloather

“The Islamic Republic is facing collapse”
***************************************

I’ve noticed the NY Posts puts out a lot of propaganda especially when it comes to the Mideast. There’s no popular support for regime change in Iran now especially after we just bombed them causing them to rally around their government. Not to mention both Russia & China have been pouring in large amounts of advanced military weapons. The US and Israel are planning for another attack soon but I doubt it will go as well as they think.

And Iran’s retaliatory attack against Israel is likely to seriously decimate them. They used primarily their older missiles last time around with only a few of their hypersonic missiles. Russia just provided Iran with its S-400 missile system further complicating matters.

Because Israel has nukes Iran held back some during the last encounter but pledged that won’t be the case next time around. Iran didn’t intentionally target civilian targets last time but that policy too might change. Do the Israelis really want to risk it? Maybe Netanyahu and the nutjob settlers who dream of a Greater Israel do but I doubt the rest of the Israelis want this. And who is going to pay for the tens of billions Israel will require for rebuilding after this is over? I just don’t see this ending well for anyone.


13 posted on 08/31/2025 11:52:04 AM PDT by jimwatx
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To: frank ballenger; Libloather
Could. Asked by an article by the society with a big. old question mark.

Regime Collapse in Iran: A Necessity for Regional Stability?

So, about the author, as found in the PDF:

Barak M. Seener is an Associate Research Fellow at the Henry Jackson Society and the founder of Strategic Intelligentia and the Gulf Futures Forum. Barak also co-hosts The GeoGodfather Wars podcast on geopolitical affairs. Previously, Barak was a Global Intelligence Manager at HSBC and the Middle East Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) on whose behalf he has debriefed international defence and security policy makers and diplomats on matters relating to Middle East security. Barak has lectured at NATO as well as the Royal College for Defence Studies. He also staged the world's first, and hugely successful, conference in London at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) on Palestinian statehood. This examined the security Implications for the region bringing together leading Israelis, Palestinians, US and European representatives in London 2011. Prior to joining RUSI, Barak was one of the Henry Jackson Society's founders in Westminster and was the Henry Jackson Society's Greater Middle East Section Director.

Barak published a book in 2018 entitled, “Commercial Risks Entering the Iranian Market: Why sanctions make investment in the Islamic Republic of Iran a high-risk proposition”.

Barak has published and provided analysis and expert commentary for a range of international broadcasters including Al-Jazeera, BBC, CNN, Chinese CCTV, Fox News, Sky News, Voice of America, and news outlets such as Bloomberg, Reuters, Associated Press, the Evening Standard, Jerusalem Post and Xinhua.

Barak has published in publications including Newsweek, The National Interest, The American Interest, Jane's Intelligence Review and Jane's Islamic Affairs Analyst on counter-terrorism, US-China dynamics, risks to supply chains, globalization and the end of the liberal international order, transatlantic relations, universal jurisdiction, nuclear proliferation and Middle East issues including the Arab Spring, tensions in Libya, Egypt and Syria, strategic and security dynamic between Iran and the Gulf, and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.

If you've read that far, now go back and read to identify the self-promotion, the banking and RUSI relationships. And the FACT that this fellow has been a very busy JOURNALIST. Busy at messaging....

I recall another "trusted " Barak.... He spelled the Arabic name with a "c" in it.

14 posted on 08/31/2025 12:02:09 PM PDT by Worldtraveler once upon a time (Degrow government)
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To: Libloather

B.S.


15 posted on 08/31/2025 12:12:37 PM PDT by GrumpyOldGuy
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To: GrumpyOldGuy

Could we speed up the process by mining the harbors?


16 posted on 08/31/2025 1:38:00 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: Owen

There are factions within the Shiite sect, plus there are Zoroastrians, etc. And then there are secularists and also secular communists.

The problem in Iran isn’t the average Shiite, it is a particular end times sect, which oddly enough gets along with Deodbandis (a wahabbist end times sect) better than it does with fellow Shiites.


17 posted on 08/31/2025 2:13:18 PM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustmilents offered here free of charge)
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To: Owen

There are factions within the Shiite sect, plus there are Zoroastrians, etc. And then there are secularists and also secular communists.

The problem in Iran isn’t the average Shiite, it is a particular end times sect, which oddly enough gets along with Deodbandis (a wahabbist end times sect) better than it does with fellow Shiites.

And also, the problem is the support that these radical sects get from Russia, North Korea, and China.


18 posted on 08/31/2025 2:15:23 PM PDT by piasa (Attitude adjustmilents offered here free of charge)
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To: Libloather
"The Islamic Republic is facing collapse"

Just like China.

19 posted on 08/31/2025 3:55:37 PM PDT by yesthatjallen
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