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Another year, another season of failed hurricane predictions from the NOAA
American Thinker ^ | August 5, 2025 | Jack Hellner

Posted on 08/05/2025 10:25:36 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

NOAA, the “experts,” predicted an “above-normal” hurricane season this year. Of course they predict that every year, and the public has been told for decades that humans and our use of natural resources is the cause of increased activity.

After Hurricane Katrina, the public was told that hurricanes would be more numerous and active than ever. Instead hurricane activity was extremely calm for ten years after Katrina. It was a record low for hurricanes.

Why didn’t Al Gore predict the ten year drought in major hurricanes?

In a humorous statement, the “experts” said a ten-year drought in hurricanes occurs once every 270 years:

It has been a decade since the last major hurricane, Category 3 or higher, has made landfall in the United States. This is the longest period of time for the United States to avoid a major hurricane since reliable records began in 1850. According to a NASA study, a 10-year gap comes along only every 270 years.

How the heck would anyone know that since records had only been kept since 1850?

And this year, as of today, August 5th, no hurricanes have formed in the Atlantic despite the dire predictions. Only four named storms, those with over 35 MPH have occurred. So, we get articles explaining why this has happened by the same “experts” that predicted the active season. The experts say that strong wind shear is “disrupting” the storms they predicted, then also say that wind shear is diminishing. Then they note that if storms still don’t form when the wind shear dies down, moisture and stability would be the cause of the reduced activity. Who knew that stability might reduce the chance of hurricane storms?

What a striking command of the obvious.

Here are some things that haven’t caused severe storms, or an active season this year,...

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Weather
KEYWORDS: noaa; politicized; weather
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Bookies don’t take bets in the weather for a reason.


21 posted on 08/05/2025 11:35:35 AM PDT by Vaduz
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

this is still early season for hurricanes. I hope they’re wrong on the predictions still. I got stuck on a cruise ship during a September storm. I like that type of thing since I was a Navy sailor but many of the passengers couldn’t stomach it.


22 posted on 08/05/2025 11:41:30 AM PDT by TermLimits4All ("If you stand for nothing, you'll fall for anything.")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I live right outside of New Orleans. Lived through Katrina, which occurred on August 29, 2005, and two others on that date since. Late August and most of September are the worst, so it’s too early to declare this hurricane season as a nothing burger.


23 posted on 08/05/2025 12:00:13 PM PDT by murron
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I saw a report about how the annual African sand storm that sweeps across the Atlantic Ocean to N America was putting a damper on storm development. That was in late June so things may be revving up now ...


24 posted on 08/05/2025 12:12:31 PM PDT by ByteMercenary (Election 2020 was stolen by mail-in voting.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

There’s still 3 months of hurricane season left. Don’t taunt Happy Fun Ball.


25 posted on 08/05/2025 12:14:39 PM PDT by discostu (like a dog being shown a card trick)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

It’s still early. The Atlantic basin is about to open for business.


26 posted on 08/05/2025 12:27:07 PM PDT by Romulus ( )
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To: napscoordinator

True. The peak of the season is usually around mid-September. .


27 posted on 08/05/2025 12:30:43 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard ( Resist the narrative.i ifra cause inflations.)
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To: Sacajaweau

I hope they have a great time!


28 posted on 08/05/2025 2:11:42 PM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: V_TWIN
After Katrina, they predicted these Cat 5 would be a regular occurrence.

The next year (2006) was the least active since 1997.

And you have to look at the charts. I'm seeing Cat 5 but the time was like 4 minutes.

29 posted on 08/05/2025 2:34:49 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: Blueflag

Isn’t that just for ships on Lake Michigan?


30 posted on 08/05/2025 2:49:53 PM PDT by GingisK
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

How about a comparison plot:

Projected vs actual

I think weather prefiction is a swamp conspiracy to employ the otherwise unemployable, or just lazy palm readers.


31 posted on 08/05/2025 3:08:52 PM PDT by If You Want It Fixed - Fix It
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

We need a federal agency of witch doctors predicting hurricanes.

If the witch doctors have a better year than NOAA the witch doctors get all the funding going forward.

Follow the Science!

Lol.


32 posted on 08/05/2025 3:15:54 PM PDT by cgbg (It was not us. It was them--all along.)
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Early season monster Saharan dust plume, then followed by Canadian wildfire smoke that made it all the way to the Gulf. Both are cloud-killers. There’s another huge smoke plume that will eventually make it to the East Coast this week and disrupt if not crush Disturbance 2.


33 posted on 08/05/2025 3:24:14 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (TrumpII)
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To: Fury

Top of season is October 10th


34 posted on 08/05/2025 8:43:01 PM PDT by Keyhopper (Indians had bad immigration laws)
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To: crusty old prospector

Yeah, the dust puts a damper on canes forming, however, season peak is October 10th


35 posted on 08/05/2025 8:45:32 PM PDT by Keyhopper (Indians had bad immigration laws)
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To: Keyhopper

I thought the peak of hurricane season was early September.


36 posted on 08/06/2025 6:56:59 AM PDT by crusty old prospector
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To: crusty old prospector

Nope 10/10


37 posted on 08/06/2025 5:28:07 PM PDT by Keyhopper (Indians had bad immigration laws)
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To: Keyhopper
That ain’t what the Interweb says.

The peak of hurricane season in America, especially for the Atlantic basin (covering the U.S., Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean), occurs from mid-August through mid-October, with the absolute climatological peak around September 10. During this time, the majority of hurricanes and tropical storms form, and the potential for landfalls in the U.S. is highest.

38 posted on 08/06/2025 7:00:52 PM PDT by crusty old prospector
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