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Posted on 07/27/2025 3:23:39 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
The first rule of understanding Donald Trump is to never write him off. It’s no exaggeration to say he’s the most remarkable comeback kid of my lifetime: every time his political fate seems to be sealed, he always pulls back from disaster in the 11th hour.
I say this to add some context to what looks to be a genuinely dangerous situation for the Republican Party and the Maga project more generally. The Trump-Epstein scandal, now rolling on to week three, has proven itself seriously sticky for the administration. Figures across the Right-wing spectrum – from Karl Rove to Steve Bannon – are now warning that the Republicans will be under major electoral pressure come the 2026 mid-terms.
Trump has embarked on one of the most ambitious – and contentious – policy platforms in living memory. With a razor thin GOP majority already, if enough disappointed Republicans decide to stay at home, it could be sufficient to give the Democrats a significant victory, even without major switching between the parties.
There’s nuance here. Midterm elections are often bad for the incumbent, and rarely serve as a useful predictor for the future. Bill Clinton looked hopeless in 1994 after the “Republican revolution” – but does anyone now remember Bob Dole? Barack Obama faced a notorious “shellacking” in 2010, which led cocky Republicans to assume the 2012 presidential election was a shoe-in. Obama then cruised to victory. The dissipation of the promised 2022 “red wave” seemed to guarantee Ron DeSantis’ candidacy and resign Trump to the trash can of history. No need to tell you what happened next.
The point is that it can be hard to extract any obvious lessons from a mid-term performance. But that doesn’t stop politicians from trying.
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
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Figures you’d post tripe like this.
Bush 1 won the Gulf War with historic approval ratings.
He lost reelection the following year.
Many people take good times for granted. They think, we can now afford to spend more on social programs. We can afford to be more “compassionate.”
“Why is she so disliked??”
Black women just don’t do well as Republicans in elections, as why, anyone’s guess. Maybe it’s non-White Republicans not be very interested in voting for black candidates, but that’s a guess.
Part of the reason why the Republicans in the House, despite barely having a majority several years ago, voted to kick out George Santos was that they had the PERFECT candidate to replace him - and she was perfect (from a conservative viewpoint), but she was black, and she got trounced, and so we lost that seat long before we should have (typical GOP, getting a bit ‘cute’).
Are the midterms tomorrow?
Trump is likely to campaign in each battleground congressional district or any other district where the Republican has a decent shot.
Trump will do his usual hard work to get the job done. Some RINO’s won’t want him in their district but those who do are likely to be elected/re-elected. Why? Turnout. Also, don’t underestimate Scotty Pressler.
The fool writing this seems to think so. I have midterms a full 15 plus months away.
She wasn’t well known and also running against Tom Suozzi who was well known and, despite the fact i wanted him to lose, had a lot of moderate positions that appealed to voters- such as his stance against biden’s immigration policies...
It’s NJ and VA…best GOP can hope for is close race in VA and somewhat close race in NJ.
No…their confirmation bias is off the charts.
The GOP has decided it would rather lose....and it will badly.
Karl Rove?!?!? Really?!?
It’s July 2025.. election is November 2026.. and they are pumping up 3 weeks of headlines as a titanic shift?
Democrats should win the house under any standard model no matter what. The GOP margin is razor thin, and the opposing party nearly always gains seats in midterms.
However the Democrats are in the toilet.. we’ll see where things stand late next summer.
Right now I’d put odds on the GoP gaining senate seats in the mid terms and the Dems taking the house. However the Dem brand is so in the toilet, that could change before next fall.
If the Dems don’t take back the house next fall, it’ll be hard to argue they have any real relevance going forward
Time to buy votes when do the rebate checks arrive.
Yeah, Karl Rove always gets it right.😆
Good point, their confirmation bias is crazy. It was only last fall when only 2-3 polls showed Trump winning. Imagine that failure rate in any other industry.
So they had them at 19 percent, but here they are ready to win. Everybody likes their tyranny and coercion apparently.
The Dems, at least for awhile, on going to be "ON the OUTSIDE LOOKING IN!"
The author has an interesting backround.
It usually pays to check.
“However the Dem brand is so in the toilet, that could change before next fall.”
.
Wait ‘til voters hear Muslim Minneapolis Mayor OMAR FATEH speaking in his native Somali language.
Interpreted into English, he will be saying, “Things will now change in Minneapolis AND AT HOME”.
Trump-Epstein scandal??? Poppy is Poopy.
If the Republicans don’t deliver good MAGA things FASTER, they will be OUSTED!!!! MOVE IT!!
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