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Posted on 07/27/2025 3:23:39 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
The first rule of understanding Donald Trump is to never write him off. It’s no exaggeration to say he’s the most remarkable comeback kid of my lifetime: every time his political fate seems to be sealed, he always pulls back from disaster in the 11th hour.
I say this to add some context to what looks to be a genuinely dangerous situation for the Republican Party and the Maga project more generally. The Trump-Epstein scandal, now rolling on to week three, has proven itself seriously sticky for the administration. Figures across the Right-wing spectrum – from Karl Rove to Steve Bannon – are now warning that the Republicans will be under major electoral pressure come the 2026 mid-terms.
Trump has embarked on one of the most ambitious – and contentious – policy platforms in living memory. With a razor thin GOP majority already, if enough disappointed Republicans decide to stay at home, it could be sufficient to give the Democrats a significant victory, even without major switching between the parties.
There’s nuance here. Midterm elections are often bad for the incumbent, and rarely serve as a useful predictor for the future. Bill Clinton looked hopeless in 1994 after the “Republican revolution” – but does anyone now remember Bob Dole? Barack Obama faced a notorious “shellacking” in 2010, which led cocky Republicans to assume the 2012 presidential election was a shoe-in. Obama then cruised to victory. The dissipation of the promised 2022 “red wave” seemed to guarantee Ron DeSantis’ candidacy and resign Trump to the trash can of history. No need to tell you what happened next.
The point is that it can be hard to extract any obvious lessons from a mid-term performance. But that doesn’t stop politicians from trying.
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
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They also like to use the elections in New Jersey and Virginia as some bellwether of future election results.
New Jersey and Virginia hold state elections exactly a year after a presidential election, and exactly a year before the midterm elections.
I don’t know if there’s any particular track record from those two states elections, but have already heard political pundits and prognosticators talking about the GOP chances in those two states this year.
Washington and Lincoln will be held in just as high esteem-no one else-even if he quit now.
I’d hate to think of him as nothing more than a veto pen in 2027. Too much to pile on over and don’t forget the entertainment.
what a stupid article. So they think the Epstein files are the key to everything? Has this clown looked at the polling numbers hitting new rock bottoms for dims?
We are going to “hang on” with the inclusion of some RINO’s, OR we might slightly improve our margins. We aren’t going to lose to these scumbags, even if (though) they cheat.
Total crap. Crystal ball BS.
Virginia is a lost cause thanks to our candidate, so don’t believe the media when they blame it on Trump. As to NJ, not sure either way.
How could anyone find an excuse to vote against the GOP when Trump has done so much to improve Americans’ lives?
Just residual hatred.
We need to turnout in record numbers for the mid-terms. The democRats will. If we lose the house Maga stops.
Perhaps due to redistricting in Texas.
Good chance in NJ. It is trending right
Won't be easy since Trump's not on the ballot.
Democrats have TDS so they'll show up.
Think where we were on 7/27/24.
Rove and Bannon?
LOLOLOL
If MAGA wants to go into the abyss after it was shown to them how bad it was going to get, go ahead and don’t show up to the polls. The masks are off from here on out.
You will get Marxism shoved up you a$$ without disguise.
Wishful thinking on the left’s part.
Wishful thinking and leftist received wisdom masquerading as analysis. To be sure: the midterms are not shoo -in, but I agree with you that the notion the Epstein will spell the difference is just plain dumb
If we go back just one year and one month we are at the Biden/Trump debate that changed everything.
The Epstein thing is ridiculous.
However, common sense tells me we’re losing the House in the midterms.
I believe the senate looks better.
Hope I’m wrong on the House but people have short memories, and the better things go under Trump, Republicans won’t bother to vote and idiots will think everything is OK so no harm in returning democrats to power.
Yes, people are that stupid.
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