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Steve Kornacki: Republicans face historical headwinds in 2026 midterms
NBC News ^ | July 8, 2025 | Steve Kornacki

Posted on 07/12/2025 8:26:28 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

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1 posted on 07/12/2025 8:26:28 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

This guy called the last three presidential elections correctly. He called 2024 EXACTLY. He disagrees.

https://youtu.be/lEGJ5IOHNZ4?si=EzirRWSbqq8teixx


2 posted on 07/12/2025 8:29:56 PM PDT by Fai Mao ( All Democrats are pedophiles )
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To: MinorityRepublican

Speaker Johnson is not a help.


3 posted on 07/12/2025 8:31:30 PM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: MinorityRepublican

The GOP will be out on Vacation I am sure...Maybe phone in the Mid-Terms...


4 posted on 07/12/2025 8:32:23 PM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: Fai Mao

There are hurricane force headwinds for 2026 and 2028 but the author has a bit of trouble with what is East, West, North and South. Those headwinds are on the democrat ship not the republican ship.

But what is the source of those hurricane force winds against the democrat party? It is quite simple. Except for the far left citizens most have discovered the democrat party is really a far left socialist and almost Marxist party. Some are openly Marxist. Secondly most have discovered most of the main stream media is not honest and it has become a political influence organization for the far left democrat party.

The Democrat party of old was the honorable and patriotic opposition party of the people. Odd is it not that that title now belongs to the Republican party. The democrat party has become the party of elite leftist, globalist, billionaires with a left wing agenda. That is what they are.


5 posted on 07/12/2025 8:53:00 PM PDT by cpdiii (cane cutter, deckhand, oilfield roughneck, drilling fluid tech, geologist, pilot, pharmacist ,MAGA)
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To: MinorityRepublican

The only headwind is Trump endorsing the Epstein gaslighting.

Everything else is going out way big time.


6 posted on 07/12/2025 8:58:24 PM PDT by Farcesensitive (Epstein didn't kill himself)
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To: MinorityRepublican

>> NBC News National Political Correspondent Steve Kornacki

...has ZERO credibility in my eyes.

Just spewing more of that desperate DemonRat propaganda.


7 posted on 07/12/2025 8:58:39 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Leftwing Hopium.

People don’t want higher taxes, more crime,riots, freeloaders, more perversion, climate extremism, anti- american hate groups and millions of foreign nationals swallowing federally mandated benefits. I’would bet him.


8 posted on 07/12/2025 9:02:18 PM PDT by epluribus_2 (!)
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To: cpdiii

2026 is a district by district knife fight.

Too early to tell.

Historically the outcome is bad.

Trump making it National would help.

More DOJ Epstein outcomes will not help.

Blondi needs to really kick ass at DOJ and clear many other cases in short order.


9 posted on 07/12/2025 9:03:18 PM PDT by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: All

Information:

There are currently 2 empty seats in the House. Deaths. Both Dems. Both safe districts. Special elections in Sept/Nov.

In 2024, a total of 22 seats were won by 2% or less. Of these, 15 were Democrats and 7 GOP.

16 members of the House are not running for re-election in 2026. Of these, Don Bacon won his seat by 1.8% as an incumbent. None of the other 16 had a 2024 victory margin < 5%.

We thus face 15 incumbent Dems in marginal seats. And of our 7 who won close races, one is retiring.


10 posted on 07/12/2025 9:26:11 PM PDT by Owen
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To: MinorityRepublican

If there is one thing republicans in congress know how to do it is lose.


11 posted on 07/12/2025 10:18:44 PM PDT by Organic Panic (Democrats. Memories as short as Joe Biden's eyes.)
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To: Paladin2

The republicans, Bondi and Patel are of no help. They’ve squandered this opportunity.


12 posted on 07/13/2025 2:54:17 AM PDT by nonliberal (Russia is not my enemy.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Can’t believe anything the MSM says. Lots of propaganda 24/7.


13 posted on 07/13/2025 3:02:54 AM PDT by FreedBird (p)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Yeah ok. Then explain this…”The Democratic Party’s credibility with voters has plummeted even further since the 2024 election, raising alarm bells as the party looks to rebuild ahead of the midterms and the next presidential election, according to a poll obtained by The Hill.”


14 posted on 07/13/2025 3:40:29 AM PDT by albie
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To: MinorityRepublican

Yeah, beating the rodents who have no money, no system for cheating thanks to Fractal, a PUBLICLY admitted 22% approval rating, and are on the wrong side of ANY issue Americans care about will be “tough” Steve.
Try again.
Sorry Surrender Monkeys.


15 posted on 07/13/2025 4:15:18 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Freedom is never free. It must be won rewon and jealously guarded.)
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To: cpdiii
You nailed it with your superb summary.

These people who proclaim Dems will take back Congress in 2026 just because historically mid-terms are bad for the incumbent president's party are (willfully) ignoring all the facts you laid out. The Dems ARE NOT a lock for winning in 2026.
16 posted on 07/13/2025 6:14:04 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: MinorityRepublican

Obliteration of the Deep State and draining the Swamp means something different to everyone.

To me, it may mean about 10 Democrats in Congress..that’s it.

A party essentially obliterated because of its criminal past.

Tick tock

That’s obliteration and draining and the longer it takes to get on the stolen election, the Wuhan Coup flu, and the cleaning of the elections, there’s always a risk that the Swamp gets reinforcements.


17 posted on 07/13/2025 6:45:04 AM PDT by delchiante
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To: MinorityRepublican

Headwinds only if they get complaiscent and keep fighting among themselves.


18 posted on 07/13/2025 7:16:22 AM PDT by Socon-Econ (adi)
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To: Owen

**There are currently 2 empty seats in the House. Deaths. Both Dems. Both safe districts. Special elections in Sept/Nov.**

It’s funny you’d think a rat governor would call for the earliest special election before the rep is buried.


19 posted on 07/13/2025 7:17:09 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Well, the overall point was that those 2 seats don’t matter. They aren’t changing. I limited the AI to 2% margin of victory.

More sub-2% seats are Dem than GOP. That means more targets, but . . . incumbents tend to be very powerful opponents, and we are losing one of those out of our 7. Their 15 seats have incumbents, and we could not win them even with Trump’s effect getting ballots cast.

I’ll put some time into these 22 seats and what the demographic flow is for those districts. Four years is plenty to move voters into or out of a district.


20 posted on 07/13/2025 7:50:44 AM PDT by Owen
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