**There are currently 2 empty seats in the House. Deaths. Both Dems. Both safe districts. Special elections in Sept/Nov.**
It’s funny you’d think a rat governor would call for the earliest special election before the rep is buried.
Well, the overall point was that those 2 seats don’t matter. They aren’t changing. I limited the AI to 2% margin of victory.
More sub-2% seats are Dem than GOP. That means more targets, but . . . incumbents tend to be very powerful opponents, and we are losing one of those out of our 7. Their 15 seats have incumbents, and we could not win them even with Trump’s effect getting ballots cast.
I’ll put some time into these 22 seats and what the demographic flow is for those districts. Four years is plenty to move voters into or out of a district.