2026 is a district by district knife fight.
Too early to tell.
Historically the outcome is bad.
Trump making it National would help.
More DOJ Epstein outcomes will not help.
Blondi needs to really kick ass at DOJ and clear many other cases in short order.
Information:
There are currently 2 empty seats in the House. Deaths. Both Dems. Both safe districts. Special elections in Sept/Nov.
In 2024, a total of 22 seats were won by 2% or less. Of these, 15 were Democrats and 7 GOP.
16 members of the House are not running for re-election in 2026. Of these, Don Bacon won his seat by 1.8% as an incumbent. None of the other 16 had a 2024 victory margin < 5%.
We thus face 15 incumbent Dems in marginal seats. And of our 7 who won close races, one is retiring.