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How the Trump Whale Correctly Called the Election
WSJ ^ | 6 Nov 2024 | Alexander Osipovich

Posted on 11/08/2024 5:35:51 AM PST by DUMBGRUNT

The mystery trader who calls himself ‘Théo’ is on track for a payday of nearly $50 million

Théo is set for a huge payday. He made his wagers on Polymarket, a crypto-based betting platform, using four anonymous accounts.

He concluded the polls were overstating support for Vice President Kamala Harris. Unlike most armchair political commentators, he put his money where his mouth was, betting more than $30 million that Trump would win.

In his emails and a Zoom conversation with a reporter, Théo repeatedly criticized U.S. opinion polls. He was particularly critical of polls conducted by mainstream-media outlets that, in his view, were biased toward Democrats and tended to produce outlier poll results that favored Harris.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Chit/Chat; Hobbies
KEYWORDS: payday; polls
When your hobby pays for itself.

Gotta hunch, bet a bunch.

1 posted on 11/08/2024 5:35:51 AM PST by DUMBGRUNT
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To: DUMBGRUNT
“He concluded the polls were overstating support for Vice President Kamala Harris….”

We all knew that! It's your typical Liberal con

2 posted on 11/08/2024 5:40:57 AM PST by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Théo means ‘God’.....................Just sayin’.................


3 posted on 11/08/2024 5:44:45 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: Red Badger

—”Théo means ‘God’”

Nice catch!


4 posted on 11/08/2024 5:51:02 AM PST by DUMBGRUNT ( "The enemy has overrun us. We are blowing up everything. Vive la France!"Dien Bien Phu last message)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

Never bet against God.

You’ll lose..................


5 posted on 11/08/2024 5:55:31 AM PST by Red Badger (Homeless veterans camp in the streets while illegals are put up in 5 Star hotels....................)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

If the Blue states had required voter I.D. the margin of victory would be much larger.


6 posted on 11/08/2024 6:07:29 AM PST by Tom Tetroxide
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To: DUMBGRUNT

I wonder if he added to his Trump wager during the Selzer Plunge. Do Selzer and The Whale have any connection?


7 posted on 11/08/2024 6:58:41 AM PST by jjotto ( Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.)
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To: DUMBGRUNT

I wonder if he added to his Trump wager during the Selzer Plunge. Do Selzer and The Whale have any connection?


8 posted on 11/08/2024 6:58:42 AM PST by jjotto ( Blessed are You LORD, who crushes enemies and subdues the wicked.)
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To: Tom Tetroxide

I remember when I voted for the first time in ‘84 and even up until a few years ago; even blue Hawaii, where I live you had to have a picture ID to vote. Not sure if that is still the case.


9 posted on 11/08/2024 7:38:51 AM PST by Jean2
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To: Jean2

From the Hawaii website.

All registered Hawaii voters will automatically receive a mail ballot before each election.

A copy of your ID is not required when you vote by mail, but the signature on your mail-in ballot must match your signature on file with the state.

If you choose to vote in person, you may be asked to provide current ID or recite personal information. See the page below for more details.
https://www.voteriders.org/states/hawaii/

I don’t know how many Hawaiian residents vote by mail compared to doing it in person. I did find this article that says...

If current trends hold, in-person voting will amount to just a fraction of all voting, with voters clearly favoring mailing in or dropping off their ballots.
https://www.civilbeat.org/2024/11/hawaii-voter-turnout-surpasses-primary-numbers/

Who knows how strict they are about requiring you to show ID at the voting precinct and the overall state of voter integrity is at the moment.


10 posted on 11/08/2024 9:22:22 AM PST by Tom Tetroxide
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To: Tom Tetroxide

Thank you for the info.


11 posted on 11/08/2024 9:47:40 AM PST by Jean2
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