Posted on 11/04/2024 8:42:32 AM PST by Signalman
Veteran Iowa pollster Ann Selzer — whose stellar track record is currently in question after a bizarre Hawkeye State poll that found Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by three percentage points — was confused over what “D” and “R” meant in her own cross tabs.
While Selzer’s poll has long been viewed as the gold standard in Iowa, her latest presidential poll is turning heads after the bizarre result. If Selzer’s result proves accurate, Iowa would have shifted 11 points to the left in one election cycle, when Trump carried the state by eight percentage points. The poll also found Harris leading among senior voters by 19, even though the demographic supported Trump by nine in 2020 and four in 2016.
Conservative political analyst Ryan Girdusky analyzed the cross tabs of Selzer’s poll and compared them with her 2020 exit poll results, stating that the results were “straight crazy.”
Overall: D+3/R+8
Senior Women: D+35/D+6
Senior Men: R+2/R+32
Indies: D+7/D+4
Women: D+20/D+3
Men: R+14/R+19
Rurals: R+20/R+28
Suburbs: D+23/R+3
No College: R+12/R+17
College: D+30/D+7
For the indies to move nothing, she’s saying Republicans are shifting further to left than independents.
On Sunday, Selzer joined veteran political reporter Mark Halperin to discuss the results on the latest episode of 2Way.
“Okay. Could you just go through and say what you think about those criticisms?” Halperin asked in reference to Girdusky’s post. “Well, I’m trying, this is in a format that’s a little difficult for me to see. What does this D represent and the R represent?” the veteran pollster replied, seemingly not knowing that “R” and “D” stand for “Republicans” and “Democrats.”
So they’re saying that, and again, he says, read through the cells are cross-tabbed. So they’re saying that they know that this poll shows, and again, they say your sample is 3% more Democrats than Republican, whereas the electorate last time was 8% more Republican,” Halperin then explained. “It says that you had Indies voting Democrat plus four, whereas last time they voted for plus seven plus four. So they’re saying if you compare what you have with what happened in 20, according to the exit polls, it’s way too it’s way too big a change across all these groups in a uniform way towards pro Harris as opposed to Trump.”
“Yeah, well, this is the first time I’m seeing this, and so it’s sort of against my nature to think I understand everything that this is saying. And I haven’t cross-checked these numbers to know how that actually pans out,” Selzer answered. “But I’m going to say that it’s it is clear that senior women are an advantage to Kamala Harris in our poll. Kamala Harris wins by more than two to one, actually maybe even more than that among senior women. Kamala Harris wins by more than two to one, actually maybe even more than that among senior women.”
Dinero and Rubles.
I don’t know how this thread was posted twice. Moderator please delete one of them.
Selzer is a very stupid person. She also admittedly oversampled older liberal women.
D is for the democratic party and R stands for the Republican Party.
Which shows how ignorant and naïve she is.
“D is for the democratic party and R stands for the Republican Party.”
Do you really believe she doesn’t know that?
She purposedly oversampled more than just one Democrat-leaning groups to get the desired result. She sacrificed her reputation to give Kamala and her supporters a ray of hope.
I take them as damned and redeemed but that’s just me. :)
R stands for Republican d stands for demonic
She’s 68 years old. If her future business tanks it’s no big deal. Just call it a career.
And she is focusing on "senior women" in Iowa? She is intentionally obfuscated the data because she focused on such a small chunk of the Iowa electorate:
That's almost like focusing on the green-eyed, left-handed, young, tranny, dwarf part of the electorate.
Senior moment? Vaccine damage? Going the road of 0’biδen?
(There a are a lot of Rats that are going to have to feign dementia or exaggerate their incompetence over the next few years to keep from going to prison - it worked for 0’biδen to fool special counsel Hur)
“D is for the democratic party and R stands for the Republican Party.”
EVERYBODY here knows that. But this “highly respected and accurate” pollster does not know that???
going for her 15 minutes of fame before retiring.
Fake pollster.
Yep. She’s pushing 70 with secure reputation, and a main employer who is increasingly kook woke Leftist. No harm to her for faking it one time to help her dream of a kook Leftist woman president, or even just covering for The Steal.
Big payoff for her selling methodology, and a retirement gig being adored in endless MSM interviews.
HAS she joined BIDEN in the DEMENTIA list.
“I was just joking! C’mon guys, Of course I know what those initials mean. I have 13 years of experience. OMG!”
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