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Allan Lichtman forecasts Harris win in November.
X ^ | 7/29/2024 | Colin Rugg

Posted on 07/30/2024 6:56:58 AM PDT by Phoenix8

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To: Phoenix8

Lichtman is providing cover for the massive cheating that will follow.


41 posted on 07/30/2024 7:14:51 AM PDT by libh8er
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To: Roadrunner383

My point is that Kamala is the worst possible candidate they could run.

If we can’t beat her we would lose the election to a chimp.


42 posted on 07/30/2024 7:14:59 AM PDT by cgbg ("Our democracy" = Their Kleptocracy)
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To: Phoenix8

1. short-term economy: the economy is great! We can afford to eat noodles from WalMart!

2. long-term economy: the whole world is flocking to the dollar!

3. policy change: we have lots of “newcomers”, yeah!

4. foreign/military failure: Russia is down to fighting with shovels!

5. foreign/military success: we ran a successful test to see if Afghans can fly when jumping off transport planes!

5. incumbent charisma: who doesn’t love a yellow school bus?


43 posted on 07/30/2024 7:15:05 AM PDT by packagingguy
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To: Phoenix8

Biden didn’t win in 2020


44 posted on 07/30/2024 7:15:17 AM PDT by roving (Deplorable Erectionists Listless Vessel )
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To: Phoenix8
If Trump wants to win now, he needs to focus like a laser on one group of voters and one group only. He needs to turn out white males without college degrees. He needs to tailor his message to white males without college degrees.

Forget everyone else.

I'm sure Trump understands this. This is the very reason why he picked JD Vance.

45 posted on 07/30/2024 7:17:09 AM PDT by Gena Bukin (Trump/Vance 2024!!! VOTE!!! VOTE!!! VOTE!!!)
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To: Phoenix8

Oh my, look at all of the Democrat and anti-Trump activists on this thread, lol.


46 posted on 07/30/2024 7:17:35 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: nikos1121

Yup. Only if they cheat. Which we can count on.

I don’t think the same rules apply that have been in place for decades. People are awake. People have learned so much about their fake government and fake media. So much has been exposed, and the uni-party is no longer the ruling body.

If things were the same as the past, I might think the guy is correct, but things are very different now. Very different. Cheating, however, is the one constant.


47 posted on 07/30/2024 7:17:53 AM PDT by JudyinCanada
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To: bigdaddy45

“Let the proxies point out how stupid she is.”

Yes. Let surrogates do that. And let female POC surrogates destroy her continuously.

He and Vance should stick to the issues.


48 posted on 07/30/2024 7:18:48 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (It's not as if Biden has the nuclear codes or anything. 😳)
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To: napscoordinator

No, he was correctly betting that when there is no incumbent the race more often goes to the challenger. As is the case this time around.


49 posted on 07/30/2024 7:19:46 AM PDT by Frank Drebin (And don't ever let me catch you guys in America!)
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To: nwrep
This is the incumbency advantage, which is transferred to Harris.

This seems like a stretch. If he was objective, which he isn't, he would put this on hold or dicard it for now

50 posted on 07/30/2024 7:21:07 AM PDT by frogjerk (More people have died trusting the government than not trusting the government.)
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To: Phoenix8
Iran sure hopes Harris wins
51 posted on 07/30/2024 7:23:12 AM PDT by martin_fierro (< |:)~)
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To: Phoenix8

Nope. Wait until September.


52 posted on 07/30/2024 7:24:25 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: Roadrunner383

*If the black vote turns out for Harris in MI-WI-PA, she could win those states. Those states would have gone for Hillary in 2016 except the black vote was lower than expected”

I agree. If Kamala continues to generate enthusiasm amongst black voters, especially black women, then I won’t be surprised one bit if Kamala wins those three states.


53 posted on 07/30/2024 7:27:42 AM PDT by Armscor38
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To: Phoenix8

Is Lichtman the Jean Dixon of Psephologists?


54 posted on 07/30/2024 7:28:43 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (לעזאזל עם חמאס)
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To: Phoenix8

When is this little liberal wimpy ho gonna go away? He’s been around too long.


55 posted on 07/30/2024 7:29:26 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (My Pronouns are : He Be, She Be, We Be, and HeBeJeebees.)
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To: Phoenix8

Yes. Everyone was SURE Hillary had a 95% chance of beating Trump in 2016.

I remember some liberal woman in New York once famously cried out, “How could Nixon have won such a victory? Nobody I know voted for him.”


56 posted on 07/30/2024 7:31:05 AM PDT by Gnome1949
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To: frogjerk
"This seems like a stretch. If he was objective, which he isn't, he would put this on hold or discard it for now"

And he hasn't been objective in several categories this time around.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Keys_to_the_White_House

It's a long road until someone gets to put the key in the front door as the 47th. All the pearl clutchers need to stop blindly believing the people who've done nothing but lie to you for decades. How much do you all need to take before you begin to awaken?

If you're in the other camp who believes there's nothing can be done, 'The beast is too powerful!! Flee for your lives!', then go, wait for defeat, 'May your chains set lightly upon you.'

The rest of us know the road is never easy and there's much work to be done.

57 posted on 07/30/2024 7:31:10 AM PDT by Frank Drebin (And don't ever let me catch you guys in America!)
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To: Lonesome in Massachussets
Is Lichtman the Jeane Dixon of Psephologists?
58 posted on 07/30/2024 7:33:33 AM PDT by Lonesome in Massachussets (לעזאזל עם חמאס)
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To: Phoenix8

We are gonna see the 1968 convention replay in Chicago.

The protesters are already lined up.
I wouldn’t doubt that this time they get onto the convention floor.


59 posted on 07/30/2024 7:34:49 AM PDT by crz
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To: Phoenix8

I love these threads. It brings out the smug Never-Trumpers like flies to sh!t.


60 posted on 07/30/2024 7:38:07 AM PDT by Redplum
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