Posted on 01/25/2024 8:52:25 AM PST by mikelets456
2024 Pennsylvania GE:
Biden 47% (+8) Trump 39%
A new poll from Susquehanna Polling and Research suggests an eight-point edge to President Joe Biden (47%) over likely Republican challenger Donald Trump (39%).
(Excerpt) Read more at heartlandsignal.com ...
Assuming the election is close, Pennsylvania is one of the few battleground states.
I’ve arranged these battleground states from the states that lean R to those that lean D.
*Georgia (16)
*Arizona (11)
*North Carolina (14)
Nevada (6)
Wisconsin (10)
Michigan (16)
Pennsylvania (19)
Assuming we win the states we should win plus Maine#2 PLUS the states I’ve starred, we come up 8 EVs short of winning and 7 EVs short of tying.
Nevada + Nebraska#2 fetches a tie in the Electoral College and a probable win in the House.
Wisconsin OR Michigan fetches a win.
Ohio and Montana are interesting as the Democrats have Senate seats in those states that we should win.
Five states (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) are twofers, being presidential battleground states AND having Democrat Senate seats we could win in a good year.
We shouldn’t prematurely cut off any of the above mentioned states, and even be on the look out for developing situations in the New Jersey and Virginia Senate races. As per usual, we are going to be massively out-spent. On the other hand, Trump is a terrific campaigner which is worth a lot of money.
The head honchos...who they elected. Hope they enjoy selling apples and pencils while wearing cardboard belts as Democrats kill the automobile industry.
I’m driving one now....next one won’t be.
Accurate...
Just means that Soros machine has delivered the first 400,000 pre-voted ballots to the distribution centers...
In addition, some polls may now include the 60-million MIVs already in the country, a large percentage of whom will also be voting this year...
The Obama communist organization, now in the WH, could receive 115-million votes this time...
Obama’s 4th term is imminent...
Biden up 8 in PA is laughable.... love to see the internals, because they have to be beyond comical.
PA, sadly the GOP of PA was part of the 2020 steal, and did NOTHING to rectify any of the malfeasance that went on here. Fortunately other states have.
With that said, is PA winnable for Trump? Yes, but given what was allowed to happen in 20 here, its a tough one. I have no doubt he’ll win the legitimate vote handily, but he’s going to have to win the state by a HUGE legitimate margin to overcome the flagrant nonsense they know they can get away with now.
We shall see. In an honest election Trump will take PA by 5-8 points against Biden, on the low end. After what they let happen in 2020, which is still mind numbing to think about, I can’t say even that will be enough.
Sorry, but PA 2022 was not stolen. 20, absolutely.
22, no.
OZ was a craptastic candidate, who stood absolutely no shot. Had Fetterman been able to actually campaign he would have handily beaten Oz by 8-10 points.
OZ was the absolute worst candidate I have seen in my life run for statewide office as a Republican. The race was over the second he was the nominee.
Barnette would have actually made it a race, had all other things been equal, but she wasn’t the right “kind” of republican so they made sure to attack and destroy her harder then they have ever attacked any Democrat ever.
Folks who keep trying to claim Oz lost due to fraud in 22 are just fools. Oz lost because he was an abslute turd of a candidate, with no political base, no connection to the state, and just a horrible horrible choice. “Well at least he’s not the other guy” is not going to win you statewide in PA as a Republican, period.
Don’t believe it, I’d love to see the internals, because I guarantee they are laughable.
39 to 46 is the R vs D registration here... so to come out with that poll in this environment, the cooked those books hard.
Indeed. The PA GOP was mostly in on the steal in PA in 2020. Is there any indication that they won’t be again in 2024?
No there is no indication of action that the PA GOP won’t be on the take this time around as well.
Trump is going to have to absolutely crush it in PA, to pull off a win.
Can he do it? I think it’s possible, but he’s going to have to win it big..
The winds are blowing in his favor, if Biden actually is on the ballot in November and the economy and garbage keep the way they have been it’s possible.
We shall see.
Legitimate vote Trump is likely to win PA handily. Will it be enough is the real question.
I’d like to see the map to 270 not depend on PA if possible…
There is some cognative dissonance there but I think for some they vote for one not because they are a fan of one but rather posess a vitrioloc hatred for the alternative.
Work on fetterman endorse djt that would shake things up ya low probability
The problem with PA is the GOPe of PA are basically democrats...
Anyone who watched what they did to Kathy Barnette at the end of the 2022 senate Primary and thinks that the GOP Establishment is not corrupt and owned and just a UNIPARTY controlled by globalists, then they are just a special kind of stupid.
They attacked her harder and nastier than they have ever attacked any Democrat in my lifetime.
The GOP of PA was an active participant in the 2020 steal, period.
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