If you would like more information about what’s happening in Oregon, please FReepmail me. Please send me your name by FReepmail if you want to be on this list.2: UGA
3: Michigan
4: FSU
5: Washington
6: Oregon
7: Texas
8: 'Bama
9: Oklahoma
10: Ole Miss
✌️
Georgia and Florida State, oh just kill me now!
Marvin Harrison Jr. (Son of Colts legend Marvin Harrison) is an absolute beast. He’ll be in the top 10 draft picks for sure, probably the overall #1 selection.
I guess OSU is ahead based on two ranked victories for OSU vs. none for Michigan and Georgia and one for FSU.
Born and raised in Columbus, Ohio, I’m a huge Buckeye fan.
They do not deserve this ranking. They should be number 3 at best. Hit or miss offense (QB), but Marvin Harrison Jr!
Defense is a beast, though.
We’ll know for sure in a few more weeks.
Hey! How did UNDEFEATED Air Force slip from 17 to 25?
Go Noles!!!!!
It is completely absurd OSU is ranked #1
Michigan has not played any good teams yet:
ECU
UNLV
BGSU
RUTG
NEB
MINN
IU
MSU
Not exactly murderers’ row. PSU and OSU coming up - those will be about the only real tests Michigan gets.
I’d flip the Noles and Michigan, otherwise it looks good.
Supposedly the ranking is based on strength of schedule, results against common opponents, head to head results, wins against ranked opponents (in the prior week CFP) and the conference championships.
Between the undefeated teams, the strength of schedule is the only thing that applies at this point. They aren’t supposed to count average margin of victory. Therefore Michigan shouldn’t be in the top four.
With the one loss teams, Texas shouldn’t be ahead of
Oklahoma and since Alabama shouldn’t be ahead of Texas, Oklahoma would have to be 7th.
Go Ducks
There’s more attention here than is warranted to who is #1 through #3. This will sort itself out.
Who should be #4? And on what grounds? Florida State has by far the easiest path to winning out, and for this reason alone the easiest path to making the CFP. The committee is leaning into this, at least to some extent.
#5 Washington, meanwhile, is only the 2nd-best team in the PAC12 and it is not close. Washington has a last-minute home win against the best team, Oregon, and as such the committee has little choice but to put Washington in at #5. This is hugely problematic to the committee because Washington has peaked in any event and is unlikely to win out. The bottom line is that OREGON is nearly everyone’s choice to go to the CFP if any one of OSU, GA, MI or FSU falters.
I base all of this on the hypothesis that betting markets are quite efficient. The odds on FSU making the CFP are the best of any team (!!!) and yet the odds that it will end up champion ... not so much. FSU is a very, very good but not championship caliber team. The odds strongly indicate that they are a notch below Oregon.
Next, OSU — they have a relatively easy path the entire rest of the way, as most of their tough games are behind them. They win ugly ... perhaps ... but in retrospect the ND game was the only one where the final result was ever in question; the victory margins are not at all bad; and looking forward the point spreads show that gamblers see them as dominant.
WITH ONE EXCEPTION: THE OSU-MICHIGAN GAME. The UM is favored by 6 points and the Fanduel odds of Michigan rather than OSU making the CFPs, title game and national champion clearly indicate gamblers’ expectations that the UM is far superior. It is so freaking clear that the only conclusion one can draw is that the people who are putting down real money view the UM as the better of the two teams.
Georgia is Georgia. There’s not a lot to say about this team’s dominance. I will say, though, that people have written Alabama off way too early. They could give Georgia a very hard time in the SEC championship game. I take nothing away from GA — a great team — but neither GA nor MI is as invincible IMO as the gambling community thinks.
So ... for me ... 1T MI, 1T GA, 3 OSU, 4 Oregon or FSU.
Where would I put my money? Ohio State. They have just one obstacle in their way — Michigan — and all but one of their deficiencies has been resolved. The talent is best-in-country. No team has a better or more proven defense. The offense is rounding into form, with the RB room in better shape, the offensive line finally coming together, MHJr the best player in the country, and Ryan Day et al brilliant offensive schemers. Kyle McCord is the one remaining gaping hole and I see the chances as much better than even that other elements of that offense will cover up his shortcomings by enough to keep them very much in that OSU-MI game. I would not make OSU the favorite in that game, but the current odds are crazy irrationally lopsided in Michigan’s favor.
If you would like more information about what’s happening in Oregon, please FReepmail me. Please send me your name by FReepmail if you want to be on this list.