Posted on 10/29/2023 1:20:08 PM PDT by know.your.why
For the first time in decades, it's hard to ignore the threat of nuclear war. But as long as you're far from the blast, you're safe, right? Wrong. In this sobering talk, atmospheric scientist Brian Toon explains how even a small nuclear war could destroy all life on earth -- and what we can do to prevent it. A professor in the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at the University of Colorado-Boulder, Brian Toon investigates the causes of the ozone hole, how volcanic eruptions alter the climate, how ancient Mars had flowing rivers, and the environmental impacts of nuclear war. He contributed to the U.N.’s Nobel Peace Prize for climate change and holds numerous scientific awards, including two NASA medals for Exceptional Scientific Achievement. He is an avid woodworker. This talk was given at a TEDx event using the TED conference format but independently organized by a local community. Learn more at https://www.ted.com/tedx
Atlantic fish has always been better anyway.
Japan keeps dumping irradiated water and telling everybody it’s okay. Lol.
I’m all for nuclear power but building it on a fault is stupid and criminal in the least.
Do you understand the difference between having a nuclear weapon the size of a VW beetle and having a war head that will fit on an ICBM? Iran is not going to do a nuclear attack on anybody.
“Iran would unleash a nuke with zero tegrets”
If they had one which they dont.
Consider that 20 years ago they were very close or there and already had progressed substantially in the design for an ICBM - carried nuclear weapon.
We assess, from UN International Atomic Energy Agency [IAEA] reports and other sources, that Iran probably already has nuclear weapons. . . . prior to 2003, Iran was manufacturing nuclear weapon components, like bridge-wire detonators and neutron initiators, performing non-fissile explosive experiments of an implosion nuclear device, and working on the design of a nuclear warhead for the Shahab-III missile.
Tests were mostly atmospheric, underground or underwater to minimize fallout and dust ejected into the atmosphere.
Nukes targeted at cities are intended to maximize damage at ground level so they create far more fallout and dust
He’s a Nobel Laureate, like Mikey Mann?
Eventually - You are right. Those that prepare will live long and prosper.
Chernoobyl forests are hardly a sterile environment. I’ve not been there, but I can attest that the Bikini Atoll ecosystems {Bikini and Eneu Islands) show little that is unexpected except that the terrestrial and aquatic aquatic environments are different in their responses. Rad sources are dominated by the long-half-life isotopes. Biological damage is related to what ges ingested and incorporated in tissues.
For Chernobyl see:
What?
Maybe you mean nuclear weapons are different than thermonuclear weapons.
The forests of Chernobyl are FAR from normal (the tone of your comment, approaching gaslighting).
Maybe you ought to read some of those papers you linked.
You should look up how big they are in China.
Bingo!
You can take a tour of where they detonated the first and multiple bombs at Trinity twice a year.
The radiation levels at Trinity as well as Nagasaki and Hiroshima are far below what is natural in many other places.
My guess:
The “doomsday” nuclear apocalypse is real in so far that it will end the primary nations involved. We would cease to exist as an industrial, information, high tech society. The damage will be so great to industry, infrastructure, energy, communications, transportation, urban centers, the loss of life and in leadership/command and control will be so great that we as the US and Russia will basically be finished for the foreseeable future: https://nikemissile.org/targetmap.gif (Russia’s targets)
Older estimates from the Cold War, where they did some math and simulations and based things an what is likely a more realistic scenario (using realistic models for damage) put US casualties at ~25 million in the first 24 hours. Many more casualties would ensue within the next 30 days. The bulk of those in the next 30 days will die from radiation exposure or who survived but were badly burned etc.
Of course back then you had a lot of hardening: bunkers, shelters... which have mostly been removed (both private and public). But we also had a lot more nukes on both sides, but then again the stuff today is more accurate and reliable: https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Georgiy-Stenchikov/publication/26638523/figure/fig1/AS:394354716889091@1471032899509/top-Number-of-nuclear-warheads-in-Russia-USSR-the-US-and-the-total-for-all-the.png
Nonetheless, I think it would be devastating today - enough to “end us” in a practical sense. Einstein, often quoted as having said this, may not have, but it is true: “I know not with what weapons World War III will be fought, but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones.”
The probability of Russia using these is low (even now). Contrary to how we present Russia, they are doctrinal, have a very stable bureaucracy, a professional cadre of folks dealing with their nukes, and have safeguards in place. Where things get problematic is if fools like Lindsey Graham get their way: https://www.stripes.com/theaters/us/2022-03-04/graham-says-taking-out-putin-stop-ukraine-invasion-5225080.html If you have internal instability, a coup, then you get into a place where there are a lot of uncertainties and things you could have never predicted nor are in your and maybe even the leadership of Russia’s control. At that point is when I would be (very) concerned, i.e. all bets are off.
But the idea that it ends all life is a far stretch especially outside of those countries that were each others targets.
Iran has been within a year of developing a nuke for 25 years. 🙄. Making a bomb is one thing. Down sizing it to fit on an ICBM is a totally different deal. They don’t have that.
What they do have is a chit ton of silk worms so they could wreak some havoc on naval vessels in the gulf. That could actually happen. Conceivably they could block the straits.
BINGO
BS
Believe in human made climate change too?
Half life of nuc fuel is different than that of warheads. Airblasts produce little atmospheric debris. Relax. Plan. You can survive.
Take a deep breath, relax, and read.... It will be ok.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_War_Survival_Skills
Nice contribution. Thanks! Right on.
The guy’s big on global warming too... I’m giving it a pass.
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