Posted on 03/19/2023 6:02:53 PM PDT by nickcarraway
Californians desperate for a break in the rain will find a glimmer of hope in a new forecast released Thursday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.
The outlook for the month of April leans toward below average chances of rain and snow for the state.
But don’t put away your umbrellas just yet – there are a few caveats to mention.
First off, there’s more rain in store before we even get to April. The next 10 days are likely to be very wet, as there’s already another atmospheric river lurking off the coast and heading our way.
Next week’s atmospheric river will probably peak Tuesday or Wednesday, National Weather Service meteorologist Dalton Behringer said. It’s too soon to say exactly which part of the state will be hardest hit, but state climatologist Michael Anderson said earlier this week that the storm’s impact zone could stretch from the Bay Area to San Diego.
Yosemite National Park extends closure as another winter storm heads toward California Once that storm passes, things are looking a bit drier, as is normal for April in California. “It’s not like we’re going into this crazy dry pattern or anything,” Behringer said. “It’s just April is typically the time that we would dry out and we’re seeing that pattern start to shift towards a drier pattern after the end of this month.”
Behringer cautioned against a misreading of the map (below), which forecasts in terms of probabilities – not certainties. The forecast calls for a 33% to 50% chance of below-average precipitation for California in April.
“That doesn’t mean that we’re not gonna see any rain,” Behringer said. “This tells you there’s a chance of below-normal precipitation, not how much below-normal precipitation. … We could still see an atmospheric river – that doesn’t mean you can’t get those to happen.”
Brian Garcia, warning coordination meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office, said it could even be months before we see prolonged stretches of dry weather.
“If we go deep into the crystal ball, then the week of the 27th we might have a few sunny days, but in all likelihood, we won’t dry out until we get deep into spring and early summer,” he told Nexstar last week.
Late July or August before hgwy 1 opens to Cambria
101 is the route til then...
We’ve got a campsite for Kirk Creek the first night. I just don’t think there will be Hwy 1 access from the north or south. There’s a road that cuts across Fort Hunter Ligget down to ocean that would work but I’m sure it has issues as well. We’re going to Yosemite too. The falls should be raging. Of course, that’s assuming the park’s reopened by then. Crazy weather out there.
whose complaining?
the cold and rain (interspersed with glorious days here) does a Divine job of shutting up the climate wags. it’s a normal thing for those of us who have a long memories in CA.
Unbelievable, everybody complains about the drought. Now that it’s raining. They’re complaining about the rain, with the exception of nickcarraway. 🤪
Earthquake upgrades haven’t been done across all reservoirs. Key big ones, yes but many others let water out for safety or let it out to save a damn minnow.
I’m waiting for the mudslides myself. I was told there’d be mudslides.
FWIW, once (IF?) the dams and the like all fill back up, they’ll talk about how climate change has caused an apocalyptic winter that nearly washed the state into the ocean, and how the pressure on the dams is too much, so they have to dump it to the ocean. (So that they can then go back to screaming about the draughts, and the summer fire season).
Before 2023, “atmospheric rivers” were called storms.
Here in Southern California, the hills are green and the yellow mustard flowers are in bloom.
Oh it never rains in sunny California
No doubt due to climate change. But so was the drought. That’s the good thing about climate change....it’s the answer for everything.
Fort Hunter Ligget was an army training ground when my dad was stationed at Ft Ord 1960-63. When I was a kid we listened to the beach boys on little japanese radios. Dad took us to Hunter Litteg a couple times. I can’t recall why we went or what we went to see. I just recall going there and the name.
Did the army sell Fort Hunter Ligget when they sold ft ord?
Ha ha.
It seems as if California is forever complaining that (1) they are suffering from a drought or (2) it’s raining too much. Can’t they just shut the hell up and accept the weather.
That normal for san Fran to San diego coastal region bitch and moan when it rains
Fort Hunter Ligget is still a base to this day.
You really think that set aside money was planned for that, bet it went for yhe train to nowhere.
The last time I was out there in 2018 it was an operating base.
Maybe so. But there are a couple hundred of reservoirs of various sizes. The nominal water use is 1 acre foot per person per year, so the big four I named, each of which is capable of being filled to the brim, hold enough water for 50 million people, over 25% more than the state population.
“Before 2023, “atmospheric rivers” were called storms.”
“Atmospheric river” is a much more descriptive and specialized term for a certain meteorological condition in this part of the country. I would think only an uneducated person would be opposed to it.
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