Posted on 03/19/2023 6:02:53 PM PDT by nickcarraway
Californians desperate for a break in the rain will find a glimmer of hope in a new forecast released Thursday by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center.
The outlook for the month of April leans toward below average chances of rain and snow for the state.
But don’t put away your umbrellas just yet – there are a few caveats to mention.
First off, there’s more rain in store before we even get to April. The next 10 days are likely to be very wet, as there’s already another atmospheric river lurking off the coast and heading our way.
Next week’s atmospheric river will probably peak Tuesday or Wednesday, National Weather Service meteorologist Dalton Behringer said. It’s too soon to say exactly which part of the state will be hardest hit, but state climatologist Michael Anderson said earlier this week that the storm’s impact zone could stretch from the Bay Area to San Diego.
Yosemite National Park extends closure as another winter storm heads toward California Once that storm passes, things are looking a bit drier, as is normal for April in California. “It’s not like we’re going into this crazy dry pattern or anything,” Behringer said. “It’s just April is typically the time that we would dry out and we’re seeing that pattern start to shift towards a drier pattern after the end of this month.”
Behringer cautioned against a misreading of the map (below), which forecasts in terms of probabilities – not certainties. The forecast calls for a 33% to 50% chance of below-average precipitation for California in April.
“That doesn’t mean that we’re not gonna see any rain,” Behringer said. “This tells you there’s a chance of below-normal precipitation, not how much below-normal precipitation. … We could still see an atmospheric river – that doesn’t mean you can’t get those to happen.”
Brian Garcia, warning coordination meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s Bay Area office, said it could even be months before we see prolonged stretches of dry weather.
“If we go deep into the crystal ball, then the week of the 27th we might have a few sunny days, but in all likelihood, we won’t dry out until we get deep into spring and early summer,” he told Nexstar last week.
Unbelievable, everybody complains about the drought now that it’s raining. They’re complaining about the rain.
I wasn’t complaining.
They ought to be praying that the rain won’t stop until their reservoirs are filled back up.
Yeah, I was talking about the whiny people in California
My grandson and I were planning on driving the coast highway from Monterey to Cambria while on vacation April 10 and 11. When I checked on Friday there were road 8 closures on our route due to landslides and washouts. Expected repairs to take “months”.
Now that there is the Science speaking.
“It never rains in California, But Girl, don’t they warn ya, it pours, man it pours..”
How "climate change" of them.
I can hear Creedence Clearwater Revival now with "WHO'LL STOP THE ATMOSPHERIC RIVER.."
Big Sur has gotten back to remote learning, because of the closures.
Anyway, I really hope you get to do this when it's possible.
As an alternate, could you go Santa Cruz to Bodega Bay, or farther North, then do the one you planned later?
They can’t fill the reservoirs to capacity because they haven’t completed any upgrades for the past 20 years. They haven’t built any new ones either.
No money for reservoirs but all kinds of money for reparations. MORONS!!!!!
Nice reference.
It's been longer than that. Plus CA voted in 2014 for a proposition setting aside $2.7 billion for water storage. Nothing has happened form that yet.
Watch the ENSO. The La Nina is nearly over and has now switched to neutral and El Nino is predicted.
That determines weather patterns in the Southwest.
This Bull S8it about climate change...
This last year, they talked about just how much the Tonga eruption was going to effect the weather. It pumped out a whole lot of water vapor into the atmosphere.
Like the man says..Enjoy the weather, its the only weather you got.
“setting aside $2.7 billion for water storage”
That money could have bought a lot of desalination capacity.
The ocean never stops being an ocean.
Where do you get that from? True vast amounts that could have been stored in new reservoirs will go to waste, but th existing large damaare able to fill to capacity. They’re counting on it to prevent spring flooding. Shasta, Oroville, New Bullards Bar, and San Luis have capacity of about 12 million acre feet between them. It’s possible that Shasta won’t quite fill, but all the others will be full to capacity
https://cdec.water.ca.gov/reportapp/javareports?name=rescond.pdf
No problemo
Snow melt should take care of that
Reservoirs are at 98% statewide
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