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It’s not gasoline that should worry us; it’s diesel
American Thinker ^ | 21 Oct, 2022 | Andrea Widburg

Posted on 10/21/2022 6:08:32 PM PDT by MtnClimber

America’s shelves are stocked and packages mailed because of truckers—and there’s an earthquake coming to the world of American diesel.

During COVID, trucking in America slowed, leaving many shelves empty. However, no matter the madness, there were enough truckers hitting the road for Americans to have food in their stomachs, gas in their cars, and clothes on their backs. However, in less than a month, it’s entirely possible that trucking will become too expensive for many truckers. Why? Because the real emergency isn’t rising fuel prices; it’s rising diesel prices.

This is a story that’s been on the periphery of my mind for several months now but, somehow, there was always something of more pressing importance (or, sometimes, purely amusing interest). However, when you learn that America theoretically has only 25 days of diesel left, you suddenly perk up and start taking an interest.

[snip]

According to the EIA, the US now has just 25 days of diesel supply, the lowest since 2008; and while inventories are record low, the four-week rolling average of distillates supplied - a proxy for demand - rose to its highest seasonal level since 2007.

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Food; Society
KEYWORDS: diesel; recession
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1 posted on 10/21/2022 6:08:32 PM PDT by MtnClimber
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To: MtnClimber

No diesel means supply chain issues for almost everything, including food.


2 posted on 10/21/2022 6:08:41 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: MtnClimber

Diesel seems to be subsidizing gas. Yesterday gas went down 20cents but diesel was up. And diesel never went down like gas did.


3 posted on 10/21/2022 6:10:10 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: MtnClimber

I am not worried about anything this government is doing any more. This is all insane and no one cares enough to gather in crowds to demand something be done. If others, don’t care, I am not going to be manipulated into caring. Stuff it.


4 posted on 10/21/2022 6:10:54 PM PDT by MeneMeneTekelUpharsin (Freedom is the freedom to discipline yourself so others don't have to do it for you.)
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To: MtnClimber

Diesel is running $5/gal locally and had gone up about a dollar a gallon in the past 10 days.


5 posted on 10/21/2022 6:11:21 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Inside every leftist is a blood-thirsty fascist yearning to be free of current societal constraints.)
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To: MtnClimber

Why wouldn’t truckers just raise their price?


6 posted on 10/21/2022 6:12:52 PM PDT by TalBlack (We have a Christian duty and a patriotic duty. God help us.)
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To: MtnClimber

I just mailed a VERY small parcel to my kids in CA via UPS (<2 lbs) and it cost almost $16 for ground service. Hell yeah prices are going up! Even a few months ago that little thing wouldn’t have been more than $10-11. Thanks, Joe!


7 posted on 10/21/2022 6:14:06 PM PDT by FamiliarFace (“The man who does not read has no advantage over the man who cannot read.” - Mark Twain )
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To: MtnClimber

On my way back to Florida from Maryland on Monday, I talked to a trucker at a travel plaza (formerly known as a truck stop) in Virginia. He laid the problem out more succinctly than most people could.

One problem, among others, is that the refining process produces about 1 gallon of diesel for every 2 gallons of gasoline, and that relatively rare diesel is used in both trucks and trains. So as diesel prices rise, the cost of just about everything else rises as well.

The only things using gasoline are automobiles and light trucks (pickups), as well as small engines, such as lawnmowers. Everything else that moves uses diesel. so we’re screwed, and so are the truckers. The guy I talked to has a $13,000/month expense to keep his truck moving. Prior to President Butt-Head, I’m guessing it was maybe half that or a little more.


8 posted on 10/21/2022 6:16:11 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (FBI out of Florida!)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Home heating oil is also the same thing as diesel and that has gone through the roof recently.

We just got our tank filled up so theoretically we are set for this winter.


9 posted on 10/21/2022 6:24:47 PM PDT by metmom (...fixing our eyes on Jesus, the Author and Perfecter of our faith….)
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To: TalBlack

Farmers use diesel for farm equipment and some farmers did not bother to plant crops due to the high diesel prices.


10 posted on 10/21/2022 6:28:25 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

Has limited my rv ops. Only made one major trip this summer. It will require the dear leader out of office before we see any improvement. Looks like I will be on a forced savings program the next 2 or 3 years. So who says this bidet admin has no redeeming value. Save while you spend is a discipline that benefits all.


11 posted on 10/21/2022 6:34:33 PM PDT by whistleduck
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To: MtnClimber
No diesel means supply chain issues for almost everything, including food.

The problems are going to start well before supplies start to run out. Trucker contracts and pay rates don't change with the price of diesel, or at least not quickly as they need to in order to respond to changes in prices.

There's a price for diesel that above which, it's no longer worth starting up a truck to pick up a load, and we're getting really close to it. At that point, existing contracts either get cancelled/abandoned, renegotiated, or completed for a net loss.

Some truckers need to stay rolling to pay their insurance/truck payment/etc... and will take routes for a loss at least for a while hoping to ride out the bad times. Larger companies will absorb losses, maybe take an insurance hit or sell off assets to keep their balance sheets green. The others? Hopefully we won't find out, but the trend would almost certainly be toward bigger companies doing horizontal and vertical integration, not toward independent truckers and owner/operators.

Those impacts wouldn't be felt as strongly in the short term, but they would be felt greatly in coming years well past the point where any corrections or changes would matter. That's far more dangerous.

12 posted on 10/21/2022 6:36:29 PM PDT by jz638
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To: MeneMeneTekelUpharsin

“ I am not worried about anything this government is doing any more. This is all insane and no one cares enough to gather in crowds to demand something be done. If others, don’t care, I am not going to be manipulated into caring. Stuff it.”

I’m with you, brother!!

A small ray of hope coming in November but like always, I suspect the effort with new leaders will fall short and spiral right back to same old - same old. Seen it too many times.


13 posted on 10/21/2022 6:36:36 PM PDT by icclearly
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To: MtnClimber

Is this where I say duh,,


14 posted on 10/21/2022 6:36:41 PM PDT by waterhill (Resist)
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To: MtnClimber

My poor diesel truck is suffering.


15 posted on 10/21/2022 6:42:40 PM PDT by Bulwyf
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To: MtnClimber

$97 to fill up our Sprinter van.


16 posted on 10/21/2022 6:45:29 PM PDT by grumpa
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To: MtnClimber
OK, I'll bite.

Why would a farmer fail to plant a crop because of diesel prices?

17 posted on 10/21/2022 6:48:02 PM PDT by Mr. Lucky
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To: icclearly

You don’t think they are going to steal it again and turn us into Venezuela.

I will kill for my rights. For my children, my grandchildren

My God-given rights. I will fight to my deat
h

Pack a lunch and kiss your babies and tell them what a dirtbag you were when America fell.


18 posted on 10/21/2022 6:49:37 PM PDT by waterhill (Resist)
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To: jz638

Before Diesels took over in the 60s, big trucks, delivery vans, and farm equipment ran on LP gas. It may be time to back again.


19 posted on 10/21/2022 7:25:35 PM PDT by kaktuskid
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To: MtnClimber
>>25 days of diesel supply

Yes, no, sort of, maybe.

The USA is a big exporter of crude oil and refined petroleum products.

In 2021, we exported 8.54 million b/d (barrels per day) of petroleum. Same year, we exported 2.96 million b/d of crude oil.

As of March of 2022, we have been exporting 11.04 million b/d of diesel.

20 posted on 10/21/2022 7:28:03 PM PDT by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's for sure.)
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