Posted on 07/27/2022 8:22:03 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
A pair of researchers at the University of Miami has found evidence that suggests global warming could lead to more heavy rain events over volcanoes around the world leading to more eruptions and mudslides. In their paper published in the journal Royal Society Open Science, Falk Amelung and Jamie Farquharson, describe how they used climate models run under various scenarios to learn more about the probability of increased heavy rainfall events over active volcanoes.
To find out if the increase in future heavy rainfall events is likely to involve volcanoes, the researchers first created a map of all known active volcanoes. They then ran a standard climate model that has been used to predict weather changes in the coming years and visualized specifically where increases in future heavy rainfall events might occur. They then compared the maps of volcanoes with the sites identified by the model.
The researchers ran the model under nine scenarios corresponding to various temperature and greenhouse gas emission estimates. In the worst-case scenario, the model showed more heavy rainfall events occurring over 716 active volcanos, most of which were located in the infamous Ring of Fire, the African Rift and several island chains in the Antarctic and Pacific oceans. Under the medium scenario, the number was 506. They also noted that approximately 100 volcanos would actually see fewer such events. The researchers suggest their findings indicate that officials in likely impacted areas should take note of the likely increase in dangerous events under their jurisdiction.
(Excerpt) Read more at phys.org ...
One more useless computer model which has nothing to do with reality.
“These people are real rocket doctors.”
Helluva good line. The elites want to tax the weather.
If the data is accurate (and uncorrupted) it should produce a model which is somewhat accurate in its predictions. To date, I haven’t seen any models even remotely accurate. If there were, the fanatics would be crowing about them.
Common sense says when exiting an Ice Age, temperatures will increase.
Thanks! This really damning out of his mouth/pen/computer.
Quote from Prof. Stephen Schneider, Stanford Professor of Climatology, lead author of many IPCC reports.
“I don’t know why our side always chops this quote up, the full quote is so much more daming and chopping it up makes it look like we are taking it out of context and trying to be deceitful.
The full Quote!”
On the one hand, as scientists we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but – which means that we must include all the doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands, and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well. And like most people we’d like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change.
To do that we need to get some broad based support, to capture the public’s imagination. That, of course, entails getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This ‘double ethical bind’ we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula.
Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both.
37 posted on 7/27/2022, 9:48:32 AM by qam1 (There’s been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that’s left is the bill to pay)
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Global Warming Is there ANYTHING it can’t do?
End
Indeed mother nature shakes head.
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