Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Losses, Morale and Counterattacks Stymie Russia’s Donbas Offensive
Moscow Times ^ | April 18, 2022 Updated: 15 minutes ago | James Beardsworth

Posted on 04/18/2022 6:21:19 AM PDT by GonzoII

A weekend buildup of Russian troops in the eastern Ukrainian city of Izyum was yet another sign of an upcoming Russian offensive in what appears to be the opening maneuvers of a more bloody phase of the war, according to analysts.

Having dispersed from both sides of the Dnieper river north of Kyiv earlier this month, Russian troops appear to be planning a “pincer movement” down from Izyum in the north, and up from Mariupol in the south, in an attempt to push Ukrainian forces out of the Donbas region and deliver a key victory to Russian President Vladimir Putin ahead of May 9 when Russia marks the Soviet defeat of Nazi Germany. But experts warn that a depleted Russian army struggling with morale problems, Ukrainian counterattacks and supply issues, may fail to achieve its ambitious goals.

“The Ukrainians have the advantage of being on the defensive,” said Robert Bell, a former NATO official and professor at Georgia Tech University, who added that attackers traditionally need a 3:1 ratio over defenders to advance successfully.

Ukraine has recently drafted up to 20,000 troops, and with Western supplies of air-defense systems, anti-tank missiles and ammunition, looks able to survive a war of attrition.

Despite Russian troops encircling the city of Mariupol shortly after the beginning of the war, they have made little headway along the Izyum axis because of issues with supply and morale, according to a report published Monday by the Institute for the Study of War.

Ukrainians remain in heavily fortified positions to the west of the line of contact with separatist forces that has been in place since 2015, explained Bell....


(Excerpt) Read more at themoscowtimes.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: clownworld; donbas; europe; keinerdgasfursie; russia; ukraine; war
" While Russian forces regroup ahead of the anticipated offensive, Ukrainian troops have been using the breathing space as an opportunity to recapture territory.

Ukraine seized the Kharkiv region towns of Bazaliyivka and Lebiazhe, as well as part of Kutuzivka, local governor Oleh Sinyehubov said Sunday. If confirmed, this means Russian supply lines between the Russian city of Belgorod and Izyum have been severed. "


1 posted on 04/18/2022 6:21:19 AM PDT by GonzoII
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

🥱


2 posted on 04/18/2022 6:23:26 AM PDT by Prince of Space ( Let’s go, Brandon!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Prince of Space

Moscow Times? Can’t be
Russian.


3 posted on 04/18/2022 6:24:13 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

Impossible!

Ukrainians are cut off, surrounded, defeat is immenient!


4 posted on 04/18/2022 6:40:20 AM PDT by FreshPrince
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

If the Russian Navy is now hesitant and harassed landing troops and supplies from the Black Sea, The Russian positions in southeastern Ukraine will deteriorate. Imagine there is a fair amount of screaming and finger pointing within the Russian high command.


5 posted on 04/18/2022 6:57:39 AM PDT by allendale
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

It seems that Ukranian intellegence obtained from the ether has been very effective in pin pointing and then killing Russian generals and senior officers.

In the current phase, it would be prudent for the general and command not to get too close to the front even though it is necessary.

I wonder if those feeding the GPS locations of Russian command can find the command posts inside Russia but close to the front. I wonder if Ukraine will kill them in Russia


6 posted on 04/18/2022 7:02:11 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. N.C. +12) Promoting Afro Heritage diversity will destroy the democrats)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: allendale

No way the Russian navy gets within 90 miles of the Ukrainian coast. The Neptune ASM has a 170km radius.


7 posted on 04/18/2022 7:08:29 AM PDT by DownInFlames (P)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII
And just East of Donbas Mother Russia was calling her heroes to overcome actual Nazis in Stalingrad.
Today she weeps for her people.


8 posted on 04/18/2022 7:09:19 AM PDT by DUMBGRUNT ("The enemy has overrun us. We are blowing up everything. Vive la France!"Dien Bien Phu last message)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII

Russia’s vietnam.

I do not believe Russia can ‘win’ in a way that they want.


9 posted on 04/18/2022 8:17:10 AM PDT by VAFreedom (Wuhan Pneumonia-Made by CCP, Copyright Xi Jingping)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: GonzoII; All

Where is the Moscow Times currently based? It can’t be in Russia with an article like this...


10 posted on 04/18/2022 9:09:37 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
Founded about 1992 in Russia by a Dutch journalist and based in Moscow. In 2022 moved operations to The Netherlands. Owned now by two Russians and the original Dutch founder. Russian language version blocked in Russia now.

Appears to have a very, very good pedigree.

I think I got all that right.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Moscow_Times

11 posted on 04/18/2022 11:25:10 AM PDT by Hootowl99
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: DIRTYSECRET

Moscow, Idaho


12 posted on 04/18/2022 11:27:48 AM PDT by shotgun
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson