Let’s see how this shakes out.
No war? That sucks!
I ain’t buying it.
But the Russians are losing?
Why should Zelensky capitulate?
This will not make Biden happy. Watch for a false flag.
Deep States getting ready to cut their losses and move on to the next scam...
Strange.
No de nazifacation demand.
The Putin admirers daid Ukraine was craeling with Tiki Torch carrying Nazis.
No country is going to nuke Russia for breaking this proposed treaty. In fact, no country is going to invade Russia. They would help Ukraine defend herself, and might even go so far as to strike Russian logistics feeding the war. Earlier reports suggested UK, a nuclear power, had signed on as a guarantor. Apparently they spoke too soon.
Odd that when they say they want a nuclear nation as a guarantor they suggest China.
I think the UK, France, and USA would be much easier and more reliable.
I’m reluctant to give China any toeholds in European politics.
If Russia re-invades Ukraine in the future Turkey, Italy and Germany will write a strongly worded communiqué.
Perhaps Putin sees a window of opportunity here in which he can hold on to DPR, an expanded LPR and the Crimea as well as get a “neutral” status for Ukraine before the battlefield turns against him again.
Right now Putin is probably at his strongest militarily, absent a full mobilization of Russian society for war.
He is pounding the Ukrainian positions along the LOC in the east, and in two or three weeks unless something changes will probably have completed the taking of Mariupol.
But he doesn’t have any more effective military units in reserve to throw into battle beyond the forces he is repositioning from the north of Ukraine into the Donbass front.
The forces he is succeeding with now in the Donbass are doing so with artillery, which is the strongest arm of the Russian military.
But once the loitering munitions from the US arrive on the battlefield in large numbers, Putin’s advantage from artillery goes away.
Just as the javelins and NLaws and other portable anti-tank missiles have devastated his tank forces, these loitering munitions will devastate his artillery capability.
Indeed, it is probably the effectiveness of the Bayraktar drones that Ukraine was using before the invasion in LPR and DPR that partly convinced Putin to invade when he did - these drones along with other improved capabilities by the Ukrainian military raised the prospect that Ukraine might successfully retake the Russian-separatist occupied parts of Donetsk and Luhansk.
Also, experts have estimated that Putin is using up his stocks of precision-guided munitions. It will take months and months to replenish them if at all possible in the face of sanctions blocking access to sophisticated electronic components.
So now, perhaps Putin can negotiate something that allows him to spin a victory - Ukrainian neutrality plus Donbass plus Crimea plus perhaps even the Sea of Azov coast.
If he waits to accept a deal and the battlefield turns against him as it did in the north of Ukraine, then he may be left at the end with only occupied Crimea.
LOOK OUT FOR PUTIN’S POISON
According to this, Ukrainians are poisoning the invaders. They really are pulling out all of the stops to save their homes.
https://twitter.com/HromadskeRadio/status/1510291110760955917?cxt=HHwWmoCyxe3w0PUpAAAA