Posted on 03/21/2022 12:03:40 PM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
The Russian tabloid Komsomolskaya Pravda reports that, according to the Russian MoD's figures, the Russian Armed Forces have sustained 9,861 killed in action and 16,153 wounded in action in Ukraine. A shocking figure.
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
I am sure each side knows what they’ve lost. If they don’t then they’re professionally incompetent. Whether we get the truth is another matter entirely.
Shocking footage shows Russian ballistic missile destroying shopping mall [converted into weapons depot] in Kyiv, Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfZpoVp4op4
Blowed up real good.
As it turns out the Russian army has been grossly over estimated.
Three weeks ago I was told this was Alabama vs Mercer.
But it’s looking more like Akron vs. Bowling Green.
Add 20% and it would be more accurate
Make me wander if this was the same military strategy that the Soviets would have deployed take over Europe. Throw thousands of tanks and ground troops towards Europe and watch those countries fold. The US developed tactics and weapons to defeat this. Based upon that it would have been a slaughter of Soviet equipment and personnel.
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At the time the US had no tactics to defeat the Russians - it would have basically been a delaying action until the first ICBMs were launched by both sides.
US forces had very poor tactical communication often passing in the clear exact directions to their positions, while the Russians used 4-chan encrypted PPM systems and most tactical messages were passed using a 5 day pad (AABGF RFABF etc).
From where I sat in West Germany the Russians were 4km away. We monitored them continuously 24/7.
We faced 4 Russian Shock Armies (a division of forces no longer used) fully mechanized with 100,000 troops each and a total between them of 35,000 tanks. When they turned on their SA radars, we had 15 seconds before tactical nuclear detonation at our position.
When the Armies came through Fulda Gap, their first rest stop was 60km behind us. (We were unarmed basically.) Behind them would have come still more Armies as needed. A total mismatch. The slaughter would have been of NATO forces.
With the battlefield use of tactical nukes by both sides the Russians would have been at the English Chanel in 72 hours.
That’s how it was then.
or die as deserters shot by KGB troops.
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Rumor has it that units of Spetsnaz are filling that role now in the Ukraine.
Looks like a thermobaric 500 pounder - no secondaries I saw.
“Rumor has it that units of Spetsnaz are filling that role now in the Ukraine.”
Russian POW said Chechens are do that role now.
Komsomolskaya Pravda now says “we wuz hacked!”
Were those pre-Reagan years? I only ask because of the overall change in strategic planning, tactics, and weapons systems in dealing with the Soviets.
Since 1991 we’ve seen those tactics and weapons systems destroy Soviet weapons and Soviet advised troops get slaughtered.
Do you think the Russian MoD would really publicize such catastrophic figures if they were true?
Could have been hacked. But could also be a convenient excuse.
Were those pre-Reagan years?
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1966-70
Spent force?
I don’t buy it either, but there will be units that aren’t combat effective now, and more in 3 weeks
The MoD didn't release this. They'd never release such catastrophic figures to the public. The paper claims to have been hacked which is a reasonable explanation.
This isn’t 1940. Public opinion, even in Russia, won’t accept such losses.
Let’s look at the situation after 1 month of warfare.
Russia’s shock and awe attempt to control the skies failed. They still sent in the troops but Russian Corps have the supplies to fight for 3–5 days without resupply.
https://warontherocks.com/2021/11/feeding-the-bear-a-closer-look-at-russian-army-logistics/
“While the Russian army definitely has the combat power to achieve these scenarios, does Russia have the logistics force structure to support these operations? The short answer is not in the timelines envisioned by Western wargames. In an initial offensive — depending on the fighting involved — Russian forces might reach early objectives, but logistics would impose requirements for operational pauses. As a result, a large land grab is unrealistic as a fait accompli. The Russian army has the combat power to capture the objectives envisioned in a fait accompli scenario, but it does not have the logistic forces to do it in a single push without a logistical pause to reset its sustainment infrastructure. “
That research goes on to say
“NATO planners should develop plans focusing on exploiting Russian logistic challenges rather than trying to address the disparity in combat power. This involves drawing the Russian army deep into NATO territory and stretching Russian supply lines to the maximum while targeting logistics and transportation infrastructure such as trucks, railroad bridges, and pipelines. Committing to a decisive battle at the frontier would play directly into Russian hands, allowing a shorter supply to compensate for their logistic shortfalls.”
Ukrainian seem to have read this and their units fought a “fighting retreat” which means engaging the Russians from a distance while staying out of artillery range. Then retreat as the Russians try to close in and fight. This caused high losses for the Russians and slowed the advance.
After 5 days guess what? The Russian advance stops due to a lack of supplies. Russian units take to looting towns for food and many men start to surrender or desert. This is why the front line barely moved for weeks.
Russia tries to supply its priority forces via truck. The Ukrainians know this and their limited airpower targets supply trucks. Additionally Ukrainian Special Operations units ambush hundreds of tanks and supply trucks.
Most trucks and tanks are forced to use some of the few remaining highways and roads. So Ukrainians ambush them on this road again and again.
Russia is so low on trucks they are using civilian trucks now.
“
As the wider war in Ukraine enters its fourth week, the Ukrainian army and sister services have destroyed no fewer than 485 Russian trucks.
That’s more than a tenth of the trucks that belong to the Russian army’s 10 “material-technical support” brigades, which haul supplies, ammo and fresh troops from rail-heads to front-line formations.”
Even today
1. Russia has failed to take air superiority. Ukrainians still fly fixed wing combatant aircraft.
2. Airports aren’t taken at the time they need them
3. 4 generals are dead. The Germans didn’t face it until the fag ends of World war two.
Russian forces have taken excessive losses and captured very little in return. There are 50 cities with over 100,000 people they need to capture.
Russia has a LONG way to go to win this war and with a faltering economy, it may not be winnable.
Ukraine knows all of this. They know all they have to do is buy time and keep making this bloody. The Russians will hit a point where they don’t have any more money, men, and political support to continue this conflict.
I’d say there is a 40% chance Russian outright losses and is forced to pull out of Ukraine. If Russia does commit to the conflict for the foreseeable future and they manage to conquer Ukraine- well good luck keeping it pacified.
After a year of fighting, tens of thousands dead, and a collapsed economy could Russia afford to occupy a nation the size of Ukraine? Nope
I agree. Putin is a 70 year old man who is getting thousands of poor Russian men killed for nothing.
“don’t think Little Pukin would have invaded if Trump was still President.”
Not a chance.
Slow Joe broadcasted his moves loudly. Trump would do the unexpected and dictators hate that
That was in world war two when Russia was being invaded by a genocidal enemy.
Today is Russia invading a country. Not the same.
Russians do not support this, Putin’s, war
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