Posted on 01/21/2022 6:34:06 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
Places with highest daily reported cases per capita
Seven-day average of daily new reported cases per 100,000 residents
Ugly death counts. Yesterday added multiple hundreds after the apparent close of counting.
Today, Tennessee did not report and was about 140 last Friday.
We are clocking along higher than the highest point of the August Delta death surge.
Russia’s death curve has inflected its decline and will now chase the case spike.
South Africa continues north of 100 daily deaths, about 8X the daily death level just prior to Omicron’s arrival.
This celebration of restrictions removal is just naive. The restrictions aren’t removed because it’s all over. They are removed because the spread is everywhere and there’s no point in trying to stop more spread.
Keep an eye on the Omicron sub variant. Nothing good is being learned about it.
Cases, Deaths and Test Positivity all show peaks here, but additionally, the CDC is showing that Hospitalizations have peaked as well (15 Jan, for a 7 day Avg. reporting period that ended on the 18th).
California and Texas have both crested their new cases in recent days, so the National decline in new cases should pick up speed next week.
Tom Peacock, a virologist at Imperial College, London, wrote in a tweet on Wednesday that BA.2 “may be some degree more transmissible” than the original Omicron variant but other information, such as disease severity, is still unclear.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
USA, first on Worldometer's report, with 333,928,328 population, is WORST in the world with a reported 887,643 Covid deaths in two years.
( 887,643 / 333,928,328 ) x 100 = 0.266 %
India, third on Worldometer's report, with 1,352,642,280 population, is third worst in the world with a reported 488,911 Covid deaths in two years.
( 488,911 / 1,352,642,280 ) x 100 = 0.036 %
China, 84th on Worldometer's report, with a population of 1,439,323,776, shows a Worldometer "official" number of Covid deaths as 4,636. China's percentage dead according to Worldometer? 0.0003 %
Aside from the ludicrous China numbers which Worldometer publishes, one may compare the USA and Indian numbers to properly conclude that the Fauci-led pandemic response is more than 7 times LESS effective than India's.
Proof of the incompetency of the CDC/FDA leadership in this "pandemic."
I wonder how much is Delta still sweeping through many states?
Very minimal delta. Omicron has uprooted it. I see about 2-5% delta currently.
Nationally, CDC expects new cases next week to be 99.5% Omicron, and 0.5% Delta.
How are variants identified in a clinical setting and at what sample rate?
Clinically omicron looks different then delta. One is a URI one is an LRI. Much different clinical look. Radiology is different as well. Of the cases I saw positive this past week, two were sick and looks like delta and about 50 were mild or asymptomatic and tested for other reasons. Then I did the simple math.
But seriously they are much different clinical presentations.
Worldometer is the underpowered, cobbled together peer of SNOPES in data reliability
1/7/2022, 10:36:04 PM · by ransomnote · 12 replies
worldometers.info ^ | 1/7/2022 | vanity
1/7/2022, 10:35:19 PM · by ransomnote · 10 replies
cnn.com ^ | May 19, 2020 | Scott McLean, Laura Perez Maestro, Sergio Hernandez, Gianluca Mezzofiore and Katie Polglase
Worldometer is the underpowered, cobbled together peer of SNOPES in data reliability
1/7/2022, 10:36:04 PM · by ransomnote12 replies
worldometers.info ^ | 1/7/2022 | vanity
;
1/7/2022, 10:35:19 ransomnote10 replies
cnn.com ^ | May 19, 2020 | Scott McLean, Laura Perez Maestro, Sergio Hernandez, Gianluca Mezzofiore and Katie Polglase
One of my adult children got COVID a few weeks ago and based on his symptoms, it appears to have been Delta. However, it was a mild case. We're in New Hampshire, and I think New England is among the last states to still have some Delta hanging around.
You are such a sheep
Is there a point to all your ghoulish caterwauling?
Everybody knows there’s been a virus for 2 years and some people die of it.
Sos what?
Is there a point to all your ghoulish caterwauling?
Everybody knows there’s been a virus for 2 years and some people die of it.
Sos what?
Why do you wonder that? There are many variants. Do you wonder about them all, or just the Delta variant?
I wonder about the data definitions, the data collections and data analyses, given the enormous anomalies available to be seen in all the “official” sources.
I do know some flu strains (typically the milder ones) tend to go for receptors in the Upper Respiratory Tract, and some of the typically nastier strains like H5N1 tend to go for receptors deep in the lungs. Is this what is happening with Omicron vs. Delta?
What has me puzzled is that Delta is described as generating exceedingly high viral loads in nasal passages: All seem to agree that's why it was much more infectious than earlier variants. Spreaders had mild head cold symptoms if any at all, and yet were able to chuck out astonishing virion quantities to those exposed to the spreader(s). I assumed this would happen B4 the infection progressed further in the spreader (lungs, bloodstream) making the occasional spreader / victim sick enough to go to the ER or be hospitalized. The "sick" with Delta ("sick" = your description - I'm not sure if that means seriously ill or hospitalized?) would only be a small fraction of those infected with Delta, unless they were hospitalized for something else. Only for purposes of discussion, I'll ballpark it at 10%. Nonetheless, if 10% of the Delta cases are "sick", that leaves 90% "mild or asymptomatic" by your description, some of whom one would expect to be in for other reasons, much as the Omicron cases. I am confused as to "where are they?"
The only explanations that make sense to me go back to previous discussions I had with BeauBo in which I concluded Delta is a sort of 2-stage disease: This from BeauBo's description of, in certain individuals, Delta moving on in from the upper respiratory tract to the lower respiratory tract and the bloodstream. OR, perhaps we have with Delta a situation where in approx. "10%" of the cases (contrived figure from above) Delta attacks the lower respiratory tract more directly(?), somewhat like H5N1, but in most cases attacks primarily the upper respiratory tract and would then be clinically indistinguishable from the even greater number of Omicron cases.
Personally, I think it's sequential, with some URI's progressing to LRI's, but, either way...
This would lead to me describing your cases in 2 groups: Group 1 = "Delta L" (the two LRI's.) Group 2 = Omicron + "Delta U" (the ~ 50 URI's). But, without sequencing or some other variant detecting test, Omicron vs. Delta U would be VERY difficult to differentiate. No?
OTOH, I suppose another consideration is that Delta L takes longer to develop, and the two "sick" cases you saw may therefor be Delta stragglers. So, new Delta infections might well be down to near zero, with all the Delta U cases pretty much having already run their course?
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