Posted on 01/12/2022 7:26:00 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
Places with highest daily reported cases per capita
Seven-day average of daily new reported cases per 100,000 residents
Also Utah - ICU counts are continuing to decline slowly, completely oblivious to the surge. Even that has a very negative second derivative at this point. Three weeks and it starts fading to nothing.
Ice pick is a good description. Or stalagmite. Whatever descriptor it clearly has spread like wildfire. I’d guess it relates to increased travel and gathering over the holidays.
I also think there is a perversity to our public policy especially in the big blue cities. Of course red cities will get slammed the same either way, but this idea that you need to show proof of vaccination to enter public/social life for a disease that isn’t stopped by the vaccine simply means that the vaccinated are spreading the virus among other vaccinated in bars, restaurants, clubs etc. The unjabbed can’t eat in restaurants or go to the gym so they are probably less likely to get infected as a result. Or put another way, the vaccines give people - and public policy makers - a false sense of security.
In any case, I hope you’re right and the numbers will drop rapidly in the coming weeks. I don’t think South Africa is the best comparison for a lot of reasons. We should look at what is happening in Europe as it appears they got Omicron a tad bit earlier than we did.
Optimism is far more dangerous than pessimism. It leads to cavalier behavior and consequent death.
So stop with the rosey scenarios. Victory over the Virus is the only path to Dem midterm survival, so no idea why people are doing this.
If you vaxtards would stop supporting the derp political play, we may get back to 'normal'.
Attaboy, Owen. Keep that fear cheerleading up. You're doing great. Bet you get a bonus.
Yes!!!
Don't you know WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!!!!!!!
#DOOMDOOMDOOM
I’d love to see the real, low number of deaths where the one and only cause was the China virus.
meanwhile, every couple of weeks, FakeNewsMSM pretends something covid is happening BIG in China, while the official figures have barely moved since the start of the “pandemic”:
China #154 of 155 countries tallied:
Statista: Coronavirus (COVID-19) deaths worldwide per one million population as of January 12, 2022, by country
#154: China
Confirmed cases - 117,077;
cases in last 7 days - 1,169;
Confirmed deaths (total) - 4,849
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104709/coronavirus-deaths-worldwide-per-million-inhabitants/
if it’s not a weapon against the West, then what is it?
Lies.
Damned lies.
Statistics.
A better comparison would be SA’s Delta wave with their Omicron wave, rather than comparison “between waves”. But with SA, for many reasons, comparison is difficult anyway.
France is in some ways a better comparison. But, they are not much ahead of us. In any event, their Omicron fatalities are not particularly encouraging. However, I’m more concerned about ours, in 2 more weeks and thereafter (very slow falloff?) The area under our curve is what counts, and despite what a lot of very cold (or misled) people on FR say, it is still a lot of carnage.
On the economic front, Omicron seems to be generating a lot of cases sufficient to send people to ER’s, then home feeling “awful” for a week. That alone is a big hit to our economy, and therefor everyone’s wellbeing. Of course our Gov’t exacerbates the situation.
EXTREMELY good point. There is much news of test kit shortages. And if, say, 40% of home test kit positives are not reported...
In any event, I've learned any apparent slowdown or even reduction of curve velocity has to go on for over a week before it can be "trusted".
Of course, what I really wish is to wake up and find this has all been a bad dream...
Well, if you just take flu and sort of exaggerate everything, you get fairly close. Some characteristics more than others, depending on the variant. That sort of similarity applies to the vaccines' performance, too.
Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation estimated that we’ve hit the peak of 6.2 million cases (many are not reported like you said or people are asymptomatic or just ignoring symptoms on their own) on 1/6 so we are already on our way down. We are already peaking in NYC and DC among other East Coast hotspots.
More are taking notice of the huge anomalies in the “official” data, reported as if gospel truth from government entities that would “never” lie to us. This pandemic has been messaged, the data collection massaged, and the “official” statistical reporting chock full of errors and anomalies. Officially, 4,849 Covid deaths in China over two years, says JHU.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/region/china
Worldometer says 4,636.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
When the anomalies are this BIG, the data collection itself can only be seen as bogus. All those graphs, and advice that we "stop with the rosey [sic] scenarios" is laughable. And it aligns with the "state agenda." Heil Fauci. Heil Pfizer. Heil WHO.
Incomplete assumption. Greatly increased infectiousness, shedding, and higher viral loads upon infection screw that all up. Then that is exacerbated by a large % of the population unvaccinated and basically not taking any precautions at all. Even many of the vaccinated have been mal-informed by gov't and media or are loaded with misconceptions and / or misinformation about what vaccines for respiratory viruses can do: Result is another big swath of people blithely risking repeated exposures to high viral loads.
Given the above I am frankly impressed the vaccines are reducing serious and fatal cases as much as they have. Be under no illusions: Without the vaccines, and with behaviors the same as what we have now, we'd likely be running several thousand fatalities a day - maybe since Delta got seriously going.
Can you imagine the squalling if the COVID vaccines were as effective as an average year's flu vaccine in reducing CFR?
Another report, the details of which show the same ENORMOUS anolamy.
China “official” deaths as of 13 January 2022:
“8,312 reported COVID-19 deaths based on Current projection scenario by May 1, 2022”
https://covid19.healthdata.org/china?view=cumulative-deaths&tab=trend
JHU, Worldometer and IMHE all “official” reporters of Covid’s deaths, say China's deaths are under 10 K over two years for a population of about 1.4 billion.
See any anomaly there? If the data is bogus AND reported, the reporting itself should be questioned. Not just for China.
Since money is a substance that is created from nothing by the Federal Reserve, there doesn’t really have to be any significance to economic impact. If money is disappeared and there’s a problem you just create more of it. This was discovered in 2009 and it was on going until this year oh, and I suspect. It will continue pass this year as soon as the impact of the virus is more clear.
Has to France or Europe being the correct foundation for modeling, at least the seasons are correct. South Africa has a young population and it’s summer time and it is astonishing to me that folks are not realizing that the current up spike in deaths taking place there should more or less not be possible.
Inside the US the breadth of infection is so wide that there’s little chance of old folks avoiding it. One would suspect that’s where our deaths are coming from, and more people turn 65 every day.
The Rhode Island chart really looks like it has passed peak. NY and NJ seem to be inflecting. Several others in the NE (on the CDC website) seem to be breaking. I expect that next week it will be clear, that many Local/State waves are decisively cresting and dropping.
On another thread, Freeper Mrsmith posted that wastewater analysis in Massachusetts indicated that they had passed peak. It seemed to me that that wastewater analysis was a leading indicator to the change in reported case numbers ( by about a week).
I found it interesting that the wastewater analysis (in Mass.) showed a much more rounded shape, as compared to the steep “Ice Pick” shape of reported cases.
Our numbers are up but not anywhere near where it was the last 2 spikes. Notable since the outpatient numbers are so much higher. Sometimes whole families in a week.
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