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Official exit poll seems to say that Youngkin beats McAuliffe, 51-49
Derived from CNN data. Any intellectual property is my own analysis. | 2021-11-02 | Dangus

Posted on 11/02/2021 4:16:29 PM PDT by dangus

Election-day voters choose Youngkin, 59-41. Overall, Youngkin is leading 51-49.

Caveat: CNN is NOT publishing the overall winner. Instead, they are breaking up the vote into five regions, and publishing the percent of each region each candidate gets. I am multiplying each candidate's portion of each region, and adding up the five regions. However, CNN rounds the results, so I'm calculating results by doing math on final results which have already been divided into five and THEN rounded. That means rounding can actually amount to an inaccuracy of several percentage points.

Please add info to comments as you get it


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: glennyoungkin; newjersey; terrymcauliffe; virginia
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1 posted on 11/02/2021 4:16:29 PM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/02/politics/virginia-exit-polls/index.html


2 posted on 11/02/2021 4:17:00 PM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

Exit polls are garbage


3 posted on 11/02/2021 4:17:31 PM PDT by for-q-clinton (Cancel Culture IS fascism...Let's start calling it that!)
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To: for-q-clinton

Too close.


4 posted on 11/02/2021 4:18:12 PM PDT by Col Frank Slade
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Fake ballots from China will change that…no worries…


5 posted on 11/02/2021 4:18:20 PM PDT by TnTnTn
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To: dangus

Too close. The Dems can make that up in hour with mail in ballots.


6 posted on 11/02/2021 4:18:35 PM PDT by outpostinmass2
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within the margin of steal.


7 posted on 11/02/2021 4:19:04 PM PDT by proust (All posts made under this handle are, for the intents and purposes of the author, considered satire.)
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To: dangus

With 1% in, Youngkin is winning 71-29%. From the exit poll data, 59% on election day would result in a Youngkin victory.


8 posted on 11/02/2021 4:19:07 PM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus
Election-day voters choose Youngkin, 59-41. Overall, Youngkin is leading 51-49.

The McAwful campaign now knows how many ballots need to be "found" somewhere ...

9 posted on 11/02/2021 4:19:23 PM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: dangus

WeThePeople2016
November 2, 2021 7:11 pm

Breaking911
@Breaking911
· 41m

BREAKING: ACLU files lawsuit to extend polling hours in New Jersey over ‘technical issues’ – WNBC

The Virginia Project
@ProjectVirginia
·
55s

I’m guessing this means the GOP might have won the Governor seat in NJ too


10 posted on 11/02/2021 4:19:41 PM PDT by CheshireTheCat ("Forgetting pain is convenient.Remembering it agonizing.But recovering truth is worth the suffering")
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To: dangus

Close enough for Democrats to steal the win.


11 posted on 11/02/2021 4:19:42 PM PDT by airborne (Thank you Rush for helping me find FreeRepublic! )
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To: dangus

Too close. The Rats can dump enough ballots at 4:00 am to steal it.


12 posted on 11/02/2021 4:19:45 PM PDT by colorado tanker
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To: dangus

Hope you’re right. Early voting makes it really tough to predict using election day exit polls, though. No one knows the exact breakdown of the early voting totals.


13 posted on 11/02/2021 4:20:23 PM PDT by Half_Retired
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To: dangus
Caveat: CNN is NOT publishing the overall winner. Instead, they are breaking up the vote into five regions, and publishing the percent of each region each candidate gets.

Just eyeballing it without doing the math, that would be a Youngkin win.

14 posted on 11/02/2021 4:20:48 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: dangus

Stop the count to rest for the night and come back tomorrow.


15 posted on 11/02/2021 4:20:49 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong)
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To: dangus

DemocRATs can cheat more than that. They van vote more than the number of registered voters in some precincts!


16 posted on 11/02/2021 4:21:00 PM PDT by MtnClimber (For photos of Colorado scenery and wildlife, click on my screen name for my FR home page.)
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To: dangus

It would be nice, but I’m not hopeful. I will honestly be surprised if Youngkin can actually oust McAuliffe.


17 posted on 11/02/2021 4:22:08 PM PDT by Jonty30 (My superpower is setting people up for failure, without meaning to. )
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To: dangus
From the article:

The electorate is also older than it was a year ago -- only about 9% are under 30, compared to 20% in 2020.

11% change in one year? Bull****. Even a stupid CNN editor should have called BS on that statement!

18 posted on 11/02/2021 4:22:27 PM PDT by 17th Miss Regt
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To: dangus

Wishful thinking….after the final votes are counted next Wednesday McAuliffe will eek out a 52% to 51% victory


19 posted on 11/02/2021 4:22:28 PM PDT by wny ( )
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To: dangus

Lucy is holding the football for you! lol


20 posted on 11/02/2021 4:22:30 PM PDT by US_MilitaryRules
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