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Will the Hispanic Right Turn Last?
City Journal.org ^ | October 21, 2021 | Noah Rudnick

Posted on 10/23/2021 9:09:43 AM PDT by freddy005

Will the Hispanic Right Turn Last? Noah Rudnick is the director of research at Cygnal, a Republican polling firm, and writes a blog about historical election trends. One of the surprises on Election Night 2020 was how much Donald Trump gained among Latino voters, especially in such regions as Miami-Dade County and the Rio Grande Valley in Texas that had long been Democratic strongholds. Later Pew polling of 2020 voters would show that Hispanic voters nationwide went from voting in 2016 for Hillary Clinton by a margin of 38 percentage points to voting in 2020 for Joe Biden by a margin of only 21 percentage points. This is a potentially seismic shift: as the Hispanic population continues to grow, especially in large swing states, its voting power becomes more and more relevant to winning the Electoral College. Geographic data confirm the trend.... Meantime, counties to the west, along the Mexican border, that aren’t majority Hispanic did not move toward the Republicans as much as the less-white surrounding counties. Last November, this shift came as a shock. But in retrospect, Democrats should have seen it coming—for a giant blinking red light appeared eight months before Election Day. .....Latino voters’ primary-voting patterns foreshadowed their eventual right turn.

....... Any dot to the left of the 100 percent line represents a place where Biden received fewer votes in the primary than Clinton did; any dot to the right represents a county in which he did better. Meantime, the closer to the bottom a data point is, the more it swung toward Republicans between 2016 and 2020. (Florida’s primary was noncompetitive in 2020...

(Excerpt) Read more at city-journal.org ...


TOPICS: History; Local News; Miscellaneous; Society
KEYWORDS: 2022election; 2024election; 2ndamendment; abortion; anthonyfauci; antipope; arizona; banglist; covidstooges; cygnal; election2022; election2024; elections; electoralcollege; florida; genderdysphoria; globalwarminghoax; greennewdeal; homosexualagenda; mexico; miamidade; newmexico; noahrudnick; nra; obamacare; plannedparenthood; republicans; righttolife; riograndevalley; romancatholicism; secondamendment; texas; trump; vaccinemandates; vote
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As someone with lots of Hispanics in the family...as of today, they're now split 55% -45% between Left and Right but that's been trending Right for the past five years!!
1 posted on 10/23/2021 9:09:43 AM PDT by freddy005
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To: freddy005

And they claim Trump lost.

And, they voted for Trump, not a political party.


2 posted on 10/23/2021 9:13:28 AM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: freddy005

I think it might last as they realize what’s at stake. Our Hispanic immigrants generally are very entrepreneurial, they want a good life for their families (and they don’t want their boy children being turned into girls by the schools) and they want to be able to have a good life, not the grim Dem life of lowered expectations.

I know a lot of Hispanics, and they’re actually pretty apolitical...but they’re not liking what’s going on now.


3 posted on 10/23/2021 9:14:24 AM PDT by livius
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To: freddy005

Well, that’s nice news.

There is this view in the media, and among liberals in general, that Hispanics are liberal on illegal immigration, and support liberal causes such as all the “LGBT etc” business.

I think it’s a shock to Democrats and media types, that not all Hispanics view the world the way they do. Regarding the media, too many of them are in a bubble in the New York/Washington axis, and just don’t get out enough.


4 posted on 10/23/2021 9:15:41 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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Doesn’t matter…can’t beat voter fraud…rats just count and ‘find’ more votes until they ‘win’…Pancho Villa voted for biden…5x….


5 posted on 10/23/2021 9:15:41 AM PDT by TnTnTn
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To: freddy005

Impeach 46.


6 posted on 10/23/2021 9:27:11 AM PDT by Belteshazzar (We are not justified by our works but by faith - De Jacob et vita beata 2 +Ambrose of Milan)
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To: freddy005

Hispanics are starting to figure out they are every bit as white as any Italian or other Mediterian European.


7 posted on 10/23/2021 9:37:17 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: freddy005

This certainly explains the rush to bring in Haitians.


8 posted on 10/23/2021 9:39:24 AM PDT by rbg81 (Truth is stranger than fiction)
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To: livius

For most immigrant groups, the longer you have been in the country, the bigger your stake in it. And the more conservative you become.


9 posted on 10/23/2021 9:40:25 AM PDT by rbg81 (Truth is stranger than fiction)
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To: Belteshazzar

It becomes more forceful if you say, “’Peach fawty-six!”


10 posted on 10/23/2021 9:53:50 AM PDT by 17th Miss Regt
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To: rbg81

Temporary fix, at best. There are only about 4 million of them and then Haiti is empty. There are 500,000,000 Hispanics of various shades to import.

When word gets around to the Haitians that the Dems want their vote but then want them to be consigned to the housing projects, the welfare system and eventual slaughter (as an inferior race) by Planned Parenthood, some may decide that Haiti is not quite as bad as their assigned spot in America.


11 posted on 10/23/2021 10:01:46 AM PDT by 17th Miss Regt
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To: freddy005
Will the Hispanic Right Turn Last?

Depends on whether the GOP is smart enough to continue in the direction that Trump set down for it. Conservative Hispanics are no more interested in the Bush/Cheney GOP than the rest of us are.
12 posted on 10/23/2021 10:01:52 AM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: 17th Miss Regt

Not 4 million, about 11.4 million.


13 posted on 10/23/2021 10:03:33 AM PDT by 17th Miss Regt
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To: freddy005

I can attest to that. Living in a blue city full of Hispanics the trump car rallies were huge with the majority of participants were Latinos.


14 posted on 10/23/2021 10:07:44 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: freddy005

I married into a large Hispanic family: 90% were life long Democrats, but very pro-life. It took a few years, but it’s been a strongly conservative vote
for 30+ years.


15 posted on 10/23/2021 10:18:56 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Gonzales! Come and Take It!)
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To: freddy005

The high rate of out-of-wedlock births in the Hispanic community guarantees it will become liberal forever.


16 posted on 10/23/2021 10:29:38 AM PDT by aimhigh (THIS is His commandment . . . . 1 John 3:23)
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To: 17th Miss Regt

“Peach’m!”


17 posted on 10/23/2021 10:59:12 AM PDT by Belteshazzar (We are not justified by our works but by faith - De Jacob et vita beata 2 +Ambrose of Milan)
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To: freddy005
Will the Karl Rove "Hispanics will vote Republican" myth never die?

Import 100 Hispanics. 20 maybe 30 will vote Republican. 70 to 80 will vote liberal Democrat.

Even if it was 50 50 it would be a wash.

Expecting Hispanics to save America is a pipe dream.

18 posted on 10/23/2021 11:05:48 AM PDT by yesthatjallen
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To: freddy005

Yes and it will become more pronou8nced. Two issues will drive the move to the right: abortion and lax borders.


19 posted on 10/23/2021 2:47:52 PM PDT by jmaroneps37
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To: aimhigh

“The high rate of out-of-wedlock births in the Hispanic community guarantees it will become liberal forever.”

Wow! You’re a genius.

You must also believe this: The high rate of abortions in the Hispanic community guarantees Hispanics will become extinct.


20 posted on 10/23/2021 3:43:21 PM PDT by sergeantdave (Federal courts no longer have any standing in America. )
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