Posted on 09/27/2021 11:54:05 AM PDT by Brookhaven
Someone has done a fantastic job of pulling data and putting up a calculator that allows you to look at different age groups and input different medial conditions to determine your chance of death should you catch corona.
We need more hard facts like this to help people make decisions.
And go buy the kid a coffee. Let him know Freepers appreciate his work.
That's 45 in 10,000. If 10,000 of these males catch covid, 45 will die. That's also 1/222. If 222 of these males catch covid, 1 will die.
A healthy 40-59 year old male: 2.65%. 265 in 10,000; 1 in 38.
Add diabetes and his chances of dying jump to 19.34%. 1934/10,000; 1/5.
IMHO, it really helps to turn percentages into absolute numbers. For me, it's much easier to grasp the risk.
How about a vaccine death rate calculator?
That would be far more useful
If the number of COVID “deaths” are anywhere close to accurate, I don’t particularly like the percentages.
If the stats were available for the vax, I think it would be a great idea. Unfortunately, it seems the powers that be are hiding that info.
This particular calculator doesn’t encourage anyone to get the vax. In fact, if I was a young person and saw these numbers I’d say: screw the vax.
Good calculator.
It should be noted that the rates apply to the infected and not the general population.
Time to fortify my covid bunker.
Under 40, the death rate isn’t dire at all.
Over 40, and they start to increase quickly.
How accurate are they? He’s pulling from official sources, so they are as accurate as they are making them.
But, if they are overestimating the numbers, then people under 40 have a miniscule chance of dying.
I am a reasonably healthy 63 y.o and I have a 5% chance of dying from the disease? That seems rather high.
If you are my age youd would do more than not like them
>> For a healthy male 20-39, the chance of dying is 0.45%.
Case mortality for that age group is more like 0.01% or lower.
Not sure I like this. Studies show that obesity raises your death rate 300%. Yet it does not ask that. Vitamin deficient people die 200% more often. Yet it does not ask that question. These two were the greatest death causing commodities according to the largest study in America on the issue.
Thanks for those numbers.
Sickening that ANYONE, in that age group, or any other, would make the choice to get the shots.
That would be far more useful
Strangely, that data isn't being captured.
And yet, this administration and their “scientists” shrugs at the border risk of unknown people streaming into this country, BLM terrorists can congregate and get in people’s faces without any government action, and we’re supposed to believe them?
I’m very surprised that the model does not take account of BMI. Seems like overweight is a very big co-morbidity.
Pretty cool, but he forgot the main one of BMI.
Yes. There is plenty of clinical evidence that obesity is far and away the number one risk factor for an adverse outcome from COVID infection.
One study based on a massive U.K. NHS database indicated that, for someone below the age of 50 and not overweight (i.e., a BMI below 25), the risk of dying from COVID was essentially too low to measure. Notably, the presence of any other co-morbidity was irrelevant. The only variable that mattered was weight.
GIGO
The immediate problems I see with this site is that he’s only able to compile and then project deaths based on data that makes it into the database, without regard to whether that is comprehensive data, and/or whether deaths attributed to Covid-19 are really FROM Covid-19.
For example, asymptomatic infections or cases of very mild-symptoms might never have come to the attention of the medical community. Those individuals would have survived, but are unlikely to have been included. This would result in overstating the chances of death.
Similarly, it isn’t clear if the data is accurate as to the cause of death. Extreme cases would be categorizing a death from an auto accident as a Covid-19 death when the victim happen to have Covid-19 at the time of the accident. This would also overstate the risk of dying “due” to Covid-19.
But, as noted by another, being 63 y.o. and otherwise very healthy, having a 1 in 20 chance (5.15%) of dying if I should catch Covid-19 seems very high vs. reality.
I just calculated my chance of dying if infected (I don’t believe it’):
Take extra precautions
You have an estimated 29.95% chance of dying from covid-19 if infected
Please note this is just an estimation, and not an absolute assessment of the effects covid-19 might have on you.
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