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UPDATED: Johns Hopkins Study Saying COVID-19 Has 'Relatively No Effect on Deaths' in U.S. Spiked After Publication
PJ Media ^ | 11/28/2020 | Matt Margolis

Posted on 11/28/2020 8:25:19 PM PST by SeekAndFind

(Image: cdc.gov)

Conventional wisdom is that COVID-19 has caused thousands of deaths in the United States and nearly 1.5 million worldwide. This perception has been directly challenged by a study published by Johns Hopkins University on November 22.

Genevieve Briand, assistant program director of the Applied Economics master’s degree program at Johns Hopkins University, critically analyzed the impact that COVID-19 had on U.S. deaths. According to Briand, the impact of COVID-19 on deaths in the United States can be fully understood by comparing it to the number of total deaths in the country.

According to the study, “in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States.”

Wait, what? Really?

That’s what it says. And, it should come as no surprise that the study was deleted within days.

Luckily, a back-up copy remains on The Wayback Machine, and we can still read the study.

So, how exactly did the study conclude that COVID-19 has had “relatively no effect on deaths”? Here’s how the study made this determination:

After retrieving data on the CDC website, Briand compiled a graph representing percentages of total deaths per age category from early February to early September, which includes the period from before COVID-19 was detected in the U.S. to after infection rates soared.

Surprisingly, the deaths of older people stayed the same before and after COVID-19. Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups. However, this increase is not seen from the CDC data. In fact, the percentages of deaths among all age groups remain relatively the same.


(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Health/Medicine; Science; Society
KEYWORDS: chinavirus; chinavirusmortality; covid19; johnshopkins; mortality
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1 posted on 11/28/2020 8:25:19 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
Marvis Gutierrez and Ariella Shua, the managing editors of the JHU newsletter, assured Lead Stories that the article/study was not censored. “The article in question was retracted last night, as it was being used to spread misinformation about the pandemic. We have preserved the article as a PDF and posted an Editor’s Note: with full clarification about our decision, highlighting the inaccuracies of the study…We were not censored, but decided to retract the article based on the reasons outlined in the Editor’s Note.””
The author of the article on Briand’s study, Yanni Gu, responding to the article being pulled, posted the following on LinkedIn:

Today, on November 27th, The News-Letter officially posted their reason for retracting the article, stating inaccuracies in the analysis. I am frustrated at the explanation, and I think it is disrespectful to Dr. Briand’s hard work putting data together and doing an honest analysis. If her analysis was to be contradicted, then at least an equal-level analysis should be done to provide more data and thus a new conclusion. Dr. Briand and her work deserve such respect.
I have received many messages asking the reason for taking the article down, and so I would like to officially express my opinions here. I even got emails saying that thanks to me, people now will not be wearing masks or practicing social distancing. They called me “a COVID denier and a minimizer” and that I have no idea the damage and the lives cost in me writing such an article. I was devastated to receive such accusations, but I stand my ground. The goal is never to undermine the effects of COVID-19 but to suggest a possible over-exaggeration in death numbers due to the pandemic.

Professor Briand also responded to the pulling of the article, saying “Their decision to retract the article was their own. Yanni Gu did an excellent at reporting the content of the presentation. The full presentation is available at: Covid-19 Deaths: A Look at U.S. Data – YouTube. I explain during the presentation where I found and downloaded the data from, so anyone can easily replicate my analysis.”

_____

2 posted on 11/28/2020 8:27:42 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Why was it deleted?


3 posted on 11/28/2020 8:27:57 PM PST by The people have spoken (Proud member of Hillary's basket of deplorables)
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To: The people have spoken

Thou shalt not publish anything that goes against The Narrative (tm)


4 posted on 11/28/2020 8:30:10 PM PST by Personal Responsibility (If we disarmed democrats gun violence would decrease by 90%.)
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To: The people have spoken

RE: Why was it deleted?

See Post #2 above.


5 posted on 11/28/2020 8:35:03 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: Personal Responsibility

Follow the Lysenko-ism Science...


6 posted on 11/28/2020 8:36:09 PM PST by Paladin2
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To: Paladin2

Sweden: first 9m30s only:

Youtube: 13m22s: The Last Word on Sweden Viral Issue - Understanding the Reality!
by Ivor Cummins
Title says it all. I’m sick of hearing falsehoods and nonsense about Sweden. Why don’t people just look at the bloody data? Well - why don’t they?...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J3vDsKEOIQI


7 posted on 11/28/2020 8:37:55 PM PST by MAGAthon
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To: The people have spoken

Can’t have people finding out how badly they’ve been lied to for political reasons.


8 posted on 11/28/2020 8:38:38 PM PST by bigbob (Trust Trump. Trust the Plan.)
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To: MAGAthon

social media censorship discussed:

Youtube: 20m21s: 23 Nov: Peter Hitchens (Daily Mail UK) urges people to ‘stop swallowing this garbage’ on Covid restrictions
by TalkRadio
Speaking with talkRADIO’s Mike Graham, the journalist said: “Unless we can show this thing was wrong from the start, we’re stuck with it until at least the spring, and quite possibly forever.”
It comes after health secretary Matt Hancock warned Covid measures will be needed through the winter despite the latest successful vaccine trials.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bh3u0W1ajks

above references a Ross Clark/Daily Mail article, which is what the following is about, yet it has no link to Clark’s article that I could find!

23 Nov: Daily Mail: Department of Health in climbdown after online swipe at The Mail’s analysis of Covid-19 facts and figures
•The Mail said Government predictions on potential fatalities were inaccurate
•Whitehall spin doctors used official Twitter account to try to rubbish the report
•The department failed to identify a single error in the figures and data we used
By David Churchill
The Health Department was forced into a humiliating climbdown yesterday after accusing the Mail of ‘misleading’ readers.
On Saturday we published a two-page analysis raising multiple questions about ministers’ handling of the pandemic and their use of data to justify draconian lockdown rules.
We pointed out that Government predictions on potential fatalities were wildly inaccurate and deaths are not far above average for this time of year.
Shortly after publication, Whitehall spin doctors used the Department of Health and Social Care’s official Twitter account to try to rubbish the report...
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8976195/Department-Health-climbdown-online-swipe-analysis-Covid-19-facts-figures.html

following has 9,600 comments, 43,000 shares. yet I had great trouble finding this article, even when seaching the exact date parameters, author, newspaper, & various key words! had to find a link from a Russia Today article?

22 Nov Updated 23 Nov: Daily Mail: What they DON’T tell you about Covid: Fewer beds taken up than last year, deaths a fraction of the grim forecasts, 95% of fatalities had underlying causes... and how the facts can be twisted to strike fear in our hearts
By Ross Clark
Despite the fearmongering, the number of Covid-19 deaths is significantly lower than the peak back in April
•Latest ONS estimate shows that in the week ending November 14, new infections were already levelling off
•GCHQ staff have been embedded in a Cabinet Office team in Downing Street to provide Boris Johnson with real-time updates of Covid-19
•Analysts will sift through vast amounts of data to ensure Boris Johnson has the most up-to-date information
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8971669/amp/What-DONT-tell-Covid-facts-twisted-strike-fear-hearts.html

worth reading all as well:

22 Nov: Russia Today: UK Health Dept pilloried after issuing vague objection to Daily Mail article challenging govt’s Covid-19 narrative
The Mail pointed out that the number of daily deaths being reported in the country is not unusually high for this time of year, adding that 95 percent of Covid-related deaths involved people with serious underlying conditions. The government’s fears of hospitals being overwhelmed by Covid-19 patients were also questioned, with the Mail reporting that only 31 percent of intensive care unit beds are currently occupied by patients that have tested positive for coronavirus.

The analysis caused a sensation on social media, and even caught the attention of the Department of Health and Social Care...
https://www.rt.com/uk/507478-health-department-daily-mail-coronavirus/


9 posted on 11/28/2020 8:38:58 PM PST by MAGAthon
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To: MAGAthon

Tweet: Urban Pictures
Clashes between police and anti-lockdown demonstrators in London. Protesters are calling for an end to lockdown restrictions...
VIDEO: 1m40s: - 28 Nov 2020
https://twitter.com/Urban_Pictures/status/1332700795075260418

Tweet: Toby Young, Gen Sec, Free Speech Union; Editor of Lockdown Sceptics; Assoc editor, Spectator
Appalling. This is what a police state looks like. His crime? Exercising his right to peacefully protest.
VIDEO: 43sec - 28 Nov 2020
https://twitter.com/toadmeister/status/1332700653316083712

Tweet: Martin Daubney, Journalist, former Member European Parliament
Here we go again. Why do the Met #TakeTheKnee to #BlackLivesMatter & soft-soap #ExtinctionRebellion – yet send in the bovver-boys to an anti-lockdown protest, or when somebody they don’t like speaks at Speaker’s Corner?
It’s blatant two-tiered policing
PIC - 28 Nov 2020
https://twitter.com/MartinDaubney/status/1332708401277767680


10 posted on 11/28/2020 8:39:32 PM PST by MAGAthon
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To: SeekAndFind

Oh boyo. Bookmarking this. Nothing like spreading a narrative and destroying independent analysis that goes against the narrative


11 posted on 11/28/2020 8:40:44 PM PST by Karliner (Heb 4:12 Rom 8:28 Rev 3, "...This is the end of the beginning." Churchill)
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To: bigbob
paging the panic demics...paging the panic demics....

people are dying in the US just like they always do.....

12 posted on 11/28/2020 8:41:00 PM PST by cherry
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To: SeekAndFind

Supporting this particular study is grasping at straws.


13 posted on 11/28/2020 8:43:26 PM PST by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: SeekAndFind

How can you create hysteria with facts like that?


14 posted on 11/28/2020 8:45:09 PM PST by joshua c (President Elect joshua_c. Hey if Joe can do it.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Their paper should have stated "In fact, it has relatively no effect on THE AGE DISTRIBUTION OF deaths in the United States.” This is an interesting finding. But that modified statement is quite different than saying there is "no effect on deaths in the US."

We HAVE had an increase in deaths called "excess deaths" over the normal average baseline for recent years. It's hard to refute


15 posted on 11/28/2020 8:50:54 PM PST by ProtectOurFreedom ("Inside Every Progressive Is A Totalitarian Screaming To Get Out" -- David Horowitz)
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To: All

https://web.archive.org/web/20201126163323/https://www.jhunewsletter.com/article/2020/11/a-closer-look-at-u-s-deaths-due-to-covid-19


16 posted on 11/28/2020 8:52:51 PM PST by Doofer ( )
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To: Personal Responsibility

Exactly need the narrative to keep going to keep up total government control over people


17 posted on 11/28/2020 8:54:43 PM PST by Lod881019
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To: The people have spoken

To find the answer, read the explanation given by the publishers that retracted it. You don’t want the rest of us to have to the work of reading the answer and reporting it to you second-hand, do you? You’re not helpless, right?


18 posted on 11/28/2020 9:03:30 PM PST by imardmd1 (Fiat Lux)
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To: SeekAndFind

This is a misrepresentation of the data. CCP-19 kills people in the same proportions as the aggregate of other causes of deaths. Therefore, the proportion of deaths by age group will not change.

The total deaths will be higher, and the overall life expectancy will be lower. Some things will offset the CCP-19 deaths, such as reduced accidents due to less travel and lower rates of infectious diseases due to mitigation.


19 posted on 11/28/2020 9:05:30 PM PST by calenel (Tree of Liberty is thirsty.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Went to post the student paper they linked to on Facebook, and it gave me a warning and asked if I still wanted to post it...


20 posted on 11/28/2020 9:08:41 PM PST by AndyTheBear
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