Pennsylvania doesn’t matter. It would be nice but it doesn’t matter. I have have him at 274 winning everything he is expected to win....
Michigan is included in that. He wins that and it’s over. He doesn’t even need Wisconsin
Not likely. PA eg will not be called tomorrow night due to various Abuses including fraud..
No state where Trump is leading at the end of vote count will be allowed to certify their results. That’s their plan.
Trump will win PA.. but the dirty little secret... he won’t need PA to win... Biden on the other hand cannot win without PA
If he has MI and WI (toss in either MN or NV for gravy) and PA isn’t needed.
This all hinges on FL, too, which I’m sure is in his column, but hey cheating happens.
PA is a decoy.
No, and that goes for either candidate. PA, MI, and WI won’t be called til late Wed minimum. If it’s close, even longer. Minnesota might be called by election night and if Trump wins there, it won’t cinch it but it’ll be damn near impossible for Biden to win.
bookmark
What time does Biden start throwing Ash trays?
I’d say the odds are excellent. Why? Because these states trend together. They are demographically similar in many ways. I think Trump will run the table on MI, WI, MN, and PA. The numbers are saying that and the early vote numbers I’ve looked at so far are horrendous for the Democrats. Polls have begun to trend Trump’s way in these states. At least in the polls that were sane in 2016 and kept their same methodology (I’m lookin at you IBD).
Trafalgar, Daybreak, and PPD have Trump either up or things rapidly moving towards Trump in all of these states. Barris said today that he’s seeing even more movement towards Trump in his polling and he was already projecting a lead in PA, which the campaign is projecting as per their phone call announcement earlier today.
Also, don’t forget that Trump has a GOTV effort that is TWENTY TIMES the size it was in 2016. He’s spent $60M on it with 3000 paid employees and 2.5 million volunteers. The GOTV effort is beyond anything that’s ever been done before. Far larger than Obama’s effort that won in 2012.
And the Dems? They have barely any GOTV at all. In most states, none. This will likely be looked back upon as the biggest blunder in political history.
To be Honest, California just might be in play tomorrow. A whole lot of folks aren’t too happy with the Democrat Plantation Bosses
A key question; Is another legal challenge likely to Pennsylvania’s voting counting policies. ....3 days...no signature match....no postmark.
Now that Barrett has joined this should be shot down. It’s ridiculous. I expect this one to go on for weeks. I expect to DjT to reject changes after initial election day tallies, so NO he won’t go quietly.
I’m expecting PA’s 20 EVs to NOT be necessary, however. Let’s hope.
Send “Orange Man Bad” federal and state government desperate Democrats home on Tuesday!
Supporting PDJT with a new patriot Congress and state government leaders that will promise to fully support his already excellent work for MAGA and stopping SARS-CoV-2 will effectively give fast-working Trump a “third term” in office imo.
Vote Republican Ticket!
For pure enjoyment, I want early devastation of Biden so the media meltdown will be epic. Love to see those tears. Looking forward to the FR election thread.
In PA, at the first site of D fraud, I’d play the same game. If they insist on sending in late ballots, let’s do it too, and better than they.
Unless it looks like a Biden landslide (unprobable), Media will delay results as long as possible.
In 2016, they delayed calling Georgia even after nearly 100% of the precincts had reported. IIRC, one news outlet even called it for Hillary and then retracted.
If the Media stops reporting results (around 8:30 p.m. ET), as they did in 2016, we can probably conclude that Biden has lost by EV numbers equal to or greater than Hillary’s loss.
Media will delay calling it until late, late, early, early Wednesday morning. By then, they will be forced to concede.
The odds are: pretty.effing.good.
Pennsylvania (PA) voting ‘closes’ at 8pm but, of course, they have 3 days to count the mail-ins. At 8PM, the total Electoral Votes, including PA’s is 297, BUT NC(15), FL(29) and PA(20) are very unlikely to be decided then. Thus, with a likely breakout of 110R/94D, this will be fingernail nibbling time.
Bt 9pm, there will be 41 states will polls closed and there will be THE SWING STATES of AZ(11), MI(16), MN(10) and WI(10) added to NC(15), FL(29) and PA(20) as slow to be called. Without those, my calculations show 211R/137D from ‘the usual suspects’!
My best guess for seeing a trend is when Florida(29) and Michigan(16) are called sometime before midnight. If the Trump ‘shy voter’ is real, then Trump looks very good over the continuing count. If the pollsters do have an accurate read, then Biden will be declaring victory by 4-5am.
I doubt Trump will need PA.