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Pollsters Warn of Flawed Election Day Predictions: ‘People Are Going to Be Shocked’ by ‘Shy,’ ‘Hidden’ Trump Voters
Breitbart ^ | 31 Oct 2020 | HANNAH BLEAU

Posted on 10/31/2020 1:22:53 PM PDT by Hojczyk

Notable pollsters are cautioning Americans to refrain from getting too comfortable with polling predictions as Election Day approaches, suggesting polls may not account for “shy” or “hidden” Trump voters– those who are largely responsible for President Trump’s upset victory four years ago. In this election, the magnitude of such voters could be even greater.

All eyes are on key swing states, such as Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, and even Minnesota as Election Day swiftly approaches. Over the weeks, Breitbart News has spoken to dozens of Trump supporters across those states, Florida and Wisconsin, particularly, who also expressed the belief that the silent majority will show up in a greater volume than in 2016.

“We have everything, and I said, well, after hearing that they were going to pack the court, I finally said I’m putting my Trump flag up,” Bryce, a Wisconsin resident, recently told Breitbart News.

“Wouldn’t you know? Dozens in my neighborhood went up. The lesbian couple across the street — they’re very nice people; we love them — I didn’t think they’d ever put one up. They’ve got a Trump flag. There’s a lot of support that is sleeper support,” he continued.

“It’s like you gotta just ‘shh’ — just be cool,” he said. “Show up to the polls and vote, you know.”

“It’s like it’s a secret but when you meet somebody else in the secret society that supports Trump — because you can’t do it publicly or people will rip you. You know,” Bryce added when asked if there is a bigger and stronger silent majority from 2016:

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


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1 posted on 10/31/2020 1:22:53 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

But Ari Fletcher assured us the polls were solid and Biden was going to win? How can this be?


2 posted on 10/31/2020 1:25:12 PM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: Hojczyk

Lesbians for Trump?

I’ll take it.


3 posted on 10/31/2020 1:26:00 PM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: Hojczyk

I will not be shocked because I am a “shy” Trump voter. Registered Indy and and I assume optimistic dems are counting indys as on their team.


4 posted on 10/31/2020 1:26:37 PM PDT by pnut22
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To: Hojczyk
How many people are like this that are not at rallies or cannot get in I Ronna McDaniel @GOPChairwoman · Oct 30 Great to have @realDonaldTrump back in Michigan! ✅ 13,733 signups ✅ 49.0% (!) NOT Republican ✅ 30.5% didn’t vote in 2016 Thank you, Waterford Townshiip.
5 posted on 10/31/2020 1:28:03 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: Hojczyk

Our Great President Donald J. Trump, savior of our Republic, will win with north of 350 EVs.


6 posted on 10/31/2020 1:28:53 PM PDT by nesnah (Liberals - the petulant children of politics)
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To: Hojczyk

It will be disingenuous when the media expresses SHOCK at a Trump win.

I happen to believe that this is solid. I expect a landslide.
But I understand the polls (to some extent) tell a different story, and Fraud is always a factor.

If Biden wins, I will be upset but not shocked.
If Trump wins, the media will be upset and SHOCKED. But they will be lying when they say they are shocked.

All possibilities are on the table, and honest people recognize this.


7 posted on 10/31/2020 1:29:11 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: nesnah

Unconditional surrender, or I am prepared to move upon your works immediately

US Grant

Nothing’s changed.


8 posted on 10/31/2020 1:34:43 PM PDT by tenthirteen
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To: Hojczyk

In my area, having a Trump sign means threat of violence, vandalism of your property, cancel culture, and possible threat of harassments at work.


9 posted on 10/31/2020 1:36:06 PM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Hojczyk

Trump is gonna win NYS...


10 posted on 10/31/2020 1:36:47 PM PDT by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds.)
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To: Hojczyk

I read here a few days ago that 20 years ago and before, polling outfits would call landlines and get roughly a 50% response rate. Now with Caller ID and cell phones ubiquitous, they only get about a 2% response rate. So they are starting off with inherent bias in the polling - they are only getting answers from people who want to talk to pollsters. Who knows what kind of people want to do that? That alone injects so much bias and is in no way a true random sampling. Their so-called “margin of error” is a complete fiction.

Worse still, many of these polls take 30 minutes or more to complete - usually 29 minutes of leading questions about the economy, the virus, etc before they get to the question of “who ya gonna vote for”? It takes a certain kind of person willing to answer 30 minutes of questions from a random outfit. Again, not representative of the population on whole. And the national polls, fuggetaboutit! Those polls often oversample states that are pretty much a lock for one or the other candidate anyway and it is irrelevant. The EC is decided by state not by national vote.


11 posted on 10/31/2020 1:37:48 PM PDT by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: tenthirteen

From Men In Black when the alien crash lands on a farm and the farmer comes out with his shotgun.

Alien: Drop your projectile weapon.
Farmer: You can have my rifle when you pry it from my dead hands.
Alien: You’re proposal is acceptable.


12 posted on 10/31/2020 1:39:37 PM PDT by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: Hojczyk

Seeing more and more of these stories...

Something’s happening.


13 posted on 10/31/2020 1:39:39 PM PDT by Magnatron
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To: mewzilla

That’s a heck of a call. Not entirely impossible given the 100,000s of people who have fled the city over the past months. But still seems unlikely.


14 posted on 10/31/2020 1:40:45 PM PDT by monkeyshine (live and let live is dead)
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To: ClearCase_guy
All possibilities are on the table, and honest people recognize this.

Honest people and informed people. There are less of the latter.

A relative and a neighbor are Fox News people. They think Trump is going to lose. Another relative is a CNN viewer. She is convinced Trump screwed up the Wu Flu and focuses on the superficial parts of Trump's persona. When pressed with questions her view on all issues is conservative.

We here on FR are better informed, but the media have truly polluted the electorate with warped perspectives. This is deliberate to make the case that Trump stole the election.
15 posted on 10/31/2020 1:43:18 PM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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To: Hojczyk

One man explained he’d rather avoid a fight than have to shoot somebody. These Biden people are violent.


16 posted on 10/31/2020 1:46:02 PM PDT by gitmo (If your theology doesn't become your biography, what good is it?)
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To: LostInBayport

I agree on all points — especially your last one.

I do expect Trump to win in a landslide. Heck, I think we have a chance to win back the House. And I’m very sure the media is all set to yell “Cheating! Russia! Collusion!” and also “Did you see the polls? No way he could have won! This whole second term is even more illegitimate than the first one!”


17 posted on 10/31/2020 1:47:56 PM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: monkeyshine

My wife got a call from what sounded like a pollster last week. She said I don’t talk to strangers and hung up.


18 posted on 10/31/2020 1:48:36 PM PDT by shelterguy
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To: Hojczyk

Not sure the outcome, but there are a lot of people from the “locked” groups who are pro Trump, and a lot of normally pro GOP groups who are pro Biden.


19 posted on 10/31/2020 1:52:27 PM PDT by redgolum (If this culture today is civilization, I will be the barbarian)
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To: ClearCase_guy
And I’m very sure the media is all set to yell “Cheating! Russia! Collusion!” and also “Did you see the polls? No way he could have won! This whole second term is even more illegitimate than the first one!”

Did you get an advance copy of their talking points? I swear when I read that I heard it in Schmucky's voice.
20 posted on 10/31/2020 1:53:15 PM PDT by LostInBayport (When there are more people riding in the cart than there are pulling it, the cart stops moving...)
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