Posted on 10/28/2020 6:15:30 AM PDT by ConservativeDude
Two-and-a-half weeks before the 2016 presidential election, GOP presidential candidate Donald Trump trailed behind Democrat Hillary Clinton by an average of 6% in national polls, a statistic that buoyed Clinton supporters, yet failed to rattle diehard supporters of Trump...
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Another fun fact, no Republican was won nor obtained more than 22% of the vote in Washington D.C. since they started voting for President in 1961.
No Repub has led in the polls in the last 50 years.
I remember watching “Washington Week in Review” the weekend before the 1980 election. Two of the four panelists predicted Carter would win. I was shocked to hear this, as I had recently attended a Reagan rally at an Ohio airport, and saw the same spirit and enthusiasm that is at the Trump rallies this time. I even got to shake hands with RR as well!
And Reagan did indeed carry Massachusetts in 1984--with 51.2% of the vote.
You’re right — I was thinking (or not thinking) of 1972.
There was absolutely no indication, at least from my perspective, that Carter would lose as much as he did.
To be honest, I thought Carter would win.
Actually, the polls did not pick up the ‘Reagan Democrats,’ especially the union households who would not be honest in a poll because many polls were commissioned by the unions.
I’ll be right behind you in California. For what it’s worth.
The one honest pollster at the time was the late Pat Caddell.
He went to Carter on Saturday before the election and told him not only that he would lose, but he was accurate to within about 1% of the actual total.
I recall news footage of Carter looking like a deer in the headlights that weekend.
Not quite, he did win his home state of Minnesota in 84 unless you meant in successive elections.
Can anyone tell me what happens with unspent campaign contributions?
It seems clear that Biden has all but stopped campaigning, and that obviously saves a ton of cash.
Well they are spending hundreds of millions in media. But still...good question
he ran for senate and lost after Wellstone died
When has a poll EVER had the R candidate ahead in a presidential election?
That was 1972, not 1984.
FWIW, as of 11/1/1980 the (always unbiased and nonpartisan) New York Times had Reagan ahead of Carter 235 to 145 in electoral votes with the remainder, they said, being too close to call.
Perhaps he's earmarking it for his legal defense fund.
good recall!
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