Posted on 10/25/2020 12:55:28 AM PDT by RandFan
@Rasmussen_Poll
Florida: Trump 49%, Biden 46%...
@restorationpac
Our new RP/Trafalgar poll shows John James solidifying his lead in Michigan's U.S. Senate race.
@JohnJamesMI 49.7%
@GaryPeters 47.5%
@restorationpac
Our new RP/Trafalgar poll shows President Trump surging ahead in Michigan.
@realDonaldTrump 46.7%
@JoeBiden 44.9%
Black job approval
@Rasmussen_Poll
Morning Reader Data Points:
National Daily Black Likely Voter Job Approval For @POTUS - October 19-23, 2020
Mon 10/19 - 25%
Tue 10/20 - 24%
Wed 10/21 - 31%
Thu 10/22 - 37%
Fri 10/23 - 46%
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
We need PA and Wisconsin to fall in place.
With these three, we can lose Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. But the truth is, if we are taking Michigan and Ohio it is very unlikely that we will lose Pennsylvania. After the fracking gaffe, I am am in the Trafalgar poll firm camp which says we win the vote in Pennsylvania but are in danger of losing the count.
Haven’t seen any trusted polls on PA only fake ones with Biden leading.
Trump is holding 3 rallies there next week. I think he can close it especially after the debate. He needs those ads on the air which I’m sure they will do.
Things are moving in the right direction I think...
Trafalgar poll interview on the Dan Bongino webcast cited a few articles away, a demonstrably reliable polling firm, shows he believes Trump will win the vote in Pennsylvania but might lose the count in Philadelphia.
I am confident in Trafalgar because if one watches the game over the last several days one sees that Trafalgar leads the way, that is as a leading indicator, and the conventional polls draw along later.
On twitter there are very experienced handicappers who say the metrics look good in PA (voter registration numbers and donations to Donald Trump’s campaign from various key counties).
Also, I dont think they would send Obama and Sanders to PA if they were winning it as big as the fake polls suggest!
Those big screen anti fracking clips by Crazy Bernie that Trump plays at rallies featuring lying Slow Joe in his own words are devastating,
I think PA has become a Dem must win state like OH and FL are for GOP
It’s the only state Joe goes too.
If Biden loses just Florida (which he will), then the handicappers have him at less than a 50% chance of winning the election. All Trump needs to do is capture Pennsylvania, OR Michigan OR a combo of Wisconsin and Minnesota. He will hold Florida and Arizona and North Carolina. So the Upper Midwest will decide the race.
Yes and Biden knows OH and FL are lost so he has to dig in at PA but his oil/fracking stance is killing him. So he will replay on chaos and recount madness and Twitter not plowing a Trump won tweet
President Trump has dramatically improved his numbers throughout PA. Philly is a major no-show voter problem for the dems. That is why they have to vote for them (no signature matching, etc.). But Philly was running at 100% or better of registered voters in many precincts in ‘16. Not a lot of room to move the needle.
Chapter 2: If it is a mess, then the legislature picks the slate of electors and we hold both houses.
Victorty is secured if Trump wins PA given that FL OH NC and AZ are likely.
Biden win in PA narrows Trumps path substantially.
Trump must win MI OR win either of WI,MN AND ME02 to achieve 270 assuming NV and NH stay blue that Trump is fighting for.
If PA tips RED again look for a landslide Trump win.
Look to see Trump in PA. MI and WI alot in these final days and begin to worry if he takes a trip to ME.
Biden also will focus any visits and huge money in PA and the upper midwest down the stretch. Probably conceding FL and OH but still spending big in AZ, NC and NV.
If you see Biden or Obama in Clark county NV. Bet the farm on Trump.
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