Assuming no unexpected stumbles elsewhere, these two (Florida and Michigan) with Arizona would do it.
With these three, we can lose Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. But the truth is, if we are taking Michigan and Ohio it is very unlikely that we will lose Pennsylvania. After the fracking gaffe, I am am in the Trafalgar poll firm camp which says we win the vote in Pennsylvania but are in danger of losing the count.
Haven’t seen any trusted polls on PA only fake ones with Biden leading.
Trump is holding 3 rallies there next week. I think he can close it especially after the debate. He needs those ads on the air which I’m sure they will do.
Things are moving in the right direction I think...