Posted on 10/14/2020 9:30:32 AM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide
Biden down a full point in 24 hours.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
that’s what i said in another post!
Don’t want the POTUS mad at you for 4 years...a vengeful one :)
If he really was up this much, then he’d be making campaign stops in Texas, not swing states.
/thread
My observation over the years is that you add 5 points to the republican candidate at the time of election. With mail in ballots, all bets are off.
If we pull this off...they might actually need to report the news for a change, if for no other reason than the demoralization that will ensue when they’ve been screaming ORANGE MAN BAD for 4 years with no result.
Both. Joe is 120 years old, isn't he?
Biden has never led among the American voters, these so-called polls are Fake News designed as part of the DNC Election Theft scheme, and nothing more. Biden himself knows this well, which is part of his reason for hiding in the basement instead of campaigning for the presidency. (He also does not want to be the next victim of Arkancide so that the DNC’s Political Bosses can install the Harris woman in the White House.)
Correction: 1980 also
YEP!
If I recall, Carter was kicking Reagan's butt in 1980 as well. Then we had the sudden Reagan SURGE the weekend before the election. Yeah, right.
So you’re saying all the polls that went into this average had a zero margin of error? Might want to take a statistics course before posting about polls.
+++++
Your concern about margin of error is certainly appropriate for a single poll and particularly one with a small sample size. But Real Clear Politics is averaging a fairly large number of these small sample size polls.
I’m no statistics wiz but it seems to me that the margin of error for the RCP average is inherently much less than any single poll.
Best joke all day
Biden is not campaigning but his surrogates, including Kamel-oe are campaigning in his stead at the ACB confirmation hearings.
Joe Biden was never tied with Trump, much less ahead.
Anyone who thinks he was, tell me why.
if memory serves the polls had Carter way ahead of Reagan in the polls.
Buy a small basket of peaches. Eat half of them and throw away the rest. Then estimate the weight of each and add it up. Average the sum. That’s how the Real Clear Politics Polling Average works.
As expected todays presidential Rasmussen poll shows almost complete recovery from the “response bias” that has tanked most of the polls over the last 2 weeks.
Today went from Biden +12 to Biden +5. The other polls will begin improving soon also. Response bias was to be expected after the week of crises (SC nomination, debate, Trump covid.)
Fortunately it’s over.
Exactly, it's like comparing apples and oranges. Statistics from polls only describe the sample population. I will write that again, they only describe the sample population. Different sampling methods on different sample populations are only interesting to math midgets. The media would have you believe that there is a correlation with the entire population, all likely voters for instance, but they do not produce correlation statistics. Even when discussing margin of error pollsters and the media tend to be deceiving. That statistic is simply the error in measuring the sample population. This would be analogous to the error in measuring a 1 kg weight, which will not weigh 1 kg every time even it is weighed with the same scale multiple times, assuming a high degree of accuracy - four or more significant digits. Thus, MOE is not related to overall population as a whole, again, all likely voters.
Lies, damn lies and statistics.
But don't get the wrong idea about stats, there are a useful tool when used correctly and interrupted corectly.
And Wyoming, and Mississippi, and the Dakotas.
1st thought is : 'they don't care'.
2nd thought: maybe they do care once he's not facing re-election, with control of 3 branches (theoretically, pending ACB)
. Lots of things could happen they do not like, beginning with libel and slander laws as it pertains to politicians and those who report upon them. Mergers. Monopoly law. Standards & practices applying to cable. Internet bias.
Oh, yeah, lots of reasons to play nice. The Ds devastation is at stake, which explains Pelosi's meltdown. She'd be responsible for all of it.
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