Trafalgar Polls Accurate in 2016. No Reason to Doubt Them in 2020.

Self ^ | September 10, 2020 | MrChips

[MrChips]

All these Media polls out there suggesting a Biden win are discouraging. That is their purpose. Most, however, over sample Democrats by 8% or more. Ridiculous. The two parties achieved relative parity years ago.

But, the Atlanta-based Trafalgar Group was the most accurate state pollster four years ago. In fact, they were the only pollster to predict candidate Trump’s 2016 wins in both Pennsylvania and Michigan. Think about that. Quite a feat!

So, Don’t let yourself get discouraged. Be of good cheer! A few of their most recent polls are below.

[SmokingJoe]

Trump had much bigger rallies, but Clinton got more votes.

Clinton got more votes in California, the largest state in the country population which Clinton won by a huge 30%.
Take California out and Trump won the popular vote in the rest of the country.
Remember, Trump did not campaign California.

Rallies are not proof of results.

Yes they are.
Trump outperformed Hilary Clinton in the swing states where he was pulling in huge crowds despite Trump being way down in the polls in those states. In Wisconsin for example, Trump was way down by an average of 6.5% on RCP on election day l and still won.

[MrChips]

But wouldn’t that be Russian influence?

[trublu]

HRC crushed it in L.A. County. What about the rest of the state? Same with NY. She killed it in NYC.

[TECTopcat]

I was out in CA in Orange County and saw dozens of Trump signs and no Biden signs. Not saying CA will be going Red and A little known fact is that California still has more conservatives than most states (although many are moving out of state) and if you doubt that, look at the FR donations, CA always leads, conservatives are swamped by the minority vote, whites are down to 40% of the population thanks to years of illegal immigration. Population is 14% blacks and 42% Hispanics and 5 % Asians, Blacks went 92% Dem, Hispanics 70% Dem, Asians 75% Dem so many conservative know that this gives the other side a 46% to 14% lead before the 40% white vote is counted-so what happens is many conservatives know that CA will go blue so no sense in voting, sad but true.