Exoplanets ping
Somehow gotta feeling we’re not on that list.
GIGO
Schrodinger’s cat died because someone neglected to feed it.
How many?
From the article:
“...the work relies on a lot of assumptions...”
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Understatement of the day.
I like watching the youtube videos of Prof. David Kipping of Columbia University. He’s addressed the topic of calculating the possibility of intelligent life in the universe several times, including a recent video last month:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iLbbpRYRW5Y
Right now, I am going to go with zero.
Of the star systems we’ve explored so far, 100% have life. Extrapolating this, there are approximately 400 billion civilizations in the Milky Way galaxy.
L8r
Yet scientists have no clue as to how life arrived on earth.
In a finite Universe (or at least one with a marked beginning), someone has to be first. We know we are here. Until there is evidence to the contrary, we are it. The rest is assumption and guesswork.
Hope they wiped their hands after pulling that estimate out.
If all the virtue signaling around now goes to outer space aliens will pass us by for lack of intelligent life.
Huge chunks of Earth are without intelligent life, including CHAZ/CHOP, North Korea, the DNC, China Communist Party, Joe Biden’s basement, CNN, House Speaker’s office, most colleges & universities, and the NYC mayor’s mansion.
Given the paucity of data available for assigning values to its various terms, I’ve always considered the Drake equation as - perhaps - slightly marginally better than pulling a number out of one’s anal orifice.
Fun stuff.
But the answer is “between zero and one”.
The killer of intelligent species is bureaucracy.
...It’s too efficient to avoid, and too hidebound to survive changes.
So, eventually, when there’s a change... bureaucracy destroys the species in response.
I have a pet theory thats a variation on answers to the Fermi Paradox. Most answers postulate war or violence or something to that being the Great Filter but I think thats kind of akin to stating that the cause of death in a car crash was smashing your head against the windshield. And besides we’ve already been there done that with war and all that other stuff for practically as long as we existed. The short of my theory is a civilization that advances too far down the tech tree gradually is effeminiatized by more and more technology and steadily grows more decadent and libtarded until it collapses. I think there might be something to it...especially with recent events.
“giving us a solid estimate of the number of civilizations in our Galaxy.”
Did anyone else find that hilarious?
“Revising” the Drake equation.